Belgium vs France

Belgium v France - France to win

  • Away record: they've won eight and drawn one of their last nine on the road.
  • Head-to-head: Belgium have lost their last five against them, a run going back to June 2015.
  • Life without Mbappé: he missed the last Nations League meeting between these two, and France still won 2-1 thanks to a Kolo Muani brace (SI).
  • Firepower: Despite missing Mbappe, France has the most well-stocked attack in Europe. Dembélé, Olise, Doué and Cherki are all in the predicted XI.
  • They weren't too convincing against Turkey, securing a 1-0 win and ending the game with less xG than their opponents but hopefully that will act as a wake up call for Zidane's men.

Turkey vs Italy

Turkey v Italy - Turkey to win

  • Better underlying numbers: they made their League A debut against France and outshot them on xG (1.21 to 1.17), testing Maignan more than once in the second half.
  • Red card: the 1-0 defeat was sealed when keeper Cakir was sent off after a VAR review.
  • Italy's opener: they lost 2-0 to Belgium in Rome, conceding around the midpoint of each half. It was their first competitive defeat to Belgium since 1972.
  • A new-look Italy: Mancini is in his first week back after Gattuso paid the price for another failed World Cup play-off. Italy have three more games within a week, including a trip to France.
  • Home: Playing at the Atatürk Spor Kompleksi in Bursa gives Turkey a loud, home atmosphere. Italy were already booed off after a poor showing in Rome; an away trip to a motivated Turkish crowd is a different test.
  • Italy looked disjointed and were comfortably beaten by Belgium. Vincenzo Montella’s team is further along in its development than Roberto Mancini’s current Italy side, which is still searching for an identity.

Sweden vs Poland

Sweden v Poland - Sweden to win

  • Head-to-head: Poland have lost eight of their last ten meetings, winning just once.
  • Sweden beat Poland 3-2 in the World Cup play-off final earlier this year, with Viktor Gyökeres scoring a late winner.
  • Home record: Sweden are unbeaten in their last four at home (two wins) and in their last eight in the Nations League.
  • Poland's form: they haven't won in four. The 0-0 with Bosnia was their second blank in three, and they created only one big chance in it.
  • Attack: Isak and Gyökeres both scored against Romania and while Isak being out will be a blow, Gyokeres is good enough to carry the attack.