The EV Eagle has four betting tips for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League.
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When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Tip 1: Enzo Le Fée 2+ Shots vs Brighton
Best odds of 10/11 with Ladbrokes/Coral when writing. 2pt stake advised.
Enzo Le Fée’s shooting consistency makes him an appealing option to register two or more shots against Brighton. He has reached that mark in nine of his last 12 Sunderland appearances.
His home record provides the strongest support, with at least two attempts in six consecutive home starts. He also recorded two shots in his only appearance against Brighton last season (away).
With this selection requiring attempts rather than shots on target, Le Fée does not need a clinical afternoon to deliver. Assuming he starts, his six-game home streak hitting this mark makes 2+ shots a compelling angle.
Tip 2: Pascal Groß To Score or Assist vs Sunderland
Best odds of 19/10 with William Hill when writing. 1pt stake advised.
Pascal Groß catches the eye at 19/10 to score or assist against Sunderland, having registered a goal involvement in four of his last five matches.
September’s Premier League Player of the Month delivered two goals and three assists during the month, demonstrating why this combined market suits him. Groß has been both finishing chances and supplying teammates, giving this selection two routes to success.
Brighton’s attacking form adds to the appeal. They beat Coventry 5-0 and Arsenal 3-0 in September, with Groß scoring in the victory over the reigning champions.
19/10 implies a 34.5% chance of a goal or assist. His four returns in five matches should not be treated as a forecast, but that consistency, coupled with Brighton’s attacking output, makes the price an appealing option.
Tip 3: Marcus Tavernier To Score or Assist vs Chelsea
Best odds of 5/2 with bet365 when writing. 0.75pt stake advised.
Marcus Tavernier appeals at 5/2 to score or assist against Chelsea, having registered a goal involvement in four of his previous five Premier League away appearances for Bournemouth. That consistency on the road provides an encouraging starting point against a defence struggling to keep opponents out.
Chelsea have conceded a league-high 12 goals in their opening five matches, averaging 2.4 goals against per game. Their vulnerability has extended to Stamford Bridge, where they have shipped five goals across their first two home league fixtures.
Tavernier has already scored away at Manchester City and Newcastle this season, showing he can deliver in demanding fixtures. Those performances strengthen the case that a trip to Chelsea need not prevent him from making another contribution.
At 5/2, his recent away returns and Chelsea’s defensive record make that an attractive price to consider, with the assist element providing another route to a winning selection.
Tip 4: Kevin Schade Anytime Goalscorer vs Aston Villa
Best odds of 11/4 with Coral/Ladbrokes when writing. 0.75pt stake advised.
Kevin Schade appeals at 11/4 to score against Aston Villa, having netted four goals across his last six Premier League starts. The Brentford forward has been providing a regular goal threat and now faces a defence that has struggled to keep opponents out.
Villa have conceded in all but one game this season, shipping two or more goals in three of their previous four matches. That vulnerability strengthens the case for backing Schade, particularly with Brentford arriving unbeaten in all competitions after a 3-0 victory over Chelsea before the international break.
With four goals in six league starts and an opponent conceding regularly, Schade looks an appealing option in the anytime goalscorer market at 11/4.
