We pick out a 23/1 bet builder for Aston Villa vs Man City in Saturday’s early Premier League game.
Aston Villa vs Man CitySee All Odds
Aston Villa host Man City in Saturday's early Premier League game. Enzo Maresca's side have won all seven league games and sit three points clear at the top on 21 points. They beat Ipswich 3-2 last weekend and AEK Athens 5-1 on Tuesday.
Unai Emery's Villa are 12th on eight points but are unbeaten in six games in all competitions since losing at home to Nottingham Forest. They won 1-0 at Newcastle on Saturday and beat Viking 3-1 on Wednesday. Villa are still waiting for a first home league win this season. Peter Bankes is the referee.
Aston Villa vs Man City Bet Builder Tips
1. John McGinn over 1.5 shots at 7/4
McGinn starts on the right of the Villa attack and has had two or more shots in five of his 12 appearances this season, averaging 1.56 shots per 90. He had three against Brentford in Villa's last home league game, two against Fenerbahçe, three at Coventry, three at Club Brugge and two against Arsenal. He has two goals and three assists this season and averaged 1.57 shots per 90 last season. Villa had 20 shots against both Brentford and Fenerbahçe and 21 against Viking at Villa Park. Bet365 offers 7/4.
2. Rúben Dias over 1.5 fouls committed at 9/4
Dias starts at centre back for City and has committed two or more fouls in four of his last five games: two against AEK Athens, two against Ipswich, two at Liverpool and five against Sunderland. He has hit the line in five of 11 appearances this season, averaging 1.44 fouls per 90. Villa's home league opponents have committed 15.33 fouls per game this season, against a league average of 11.9, with Brentford making 24 and Forest 16 at Villa Park. Dias will be up against Nicolas Jackson, who has five goals this season and averages 3.63 shots per 90. Bet365 offers 9/4.
3. Ian Maatsen over 0.5 fouls committed at 8/15
Maatsen starts at left back after recovering from an ankle injury. He committed 1.02 fouls per 90 last season and made at least one foul in 11 of 23 games, and he made five against Arsenal at Villa Park in August. City's away league opponents have committed 14.67 fouls per game this season, against a league average of 11.16, with Manchester United making 17 against them and Liverpool 19. Maatsen faces Iliman Ndiaye down the City right, and Ndiaye wins 2.96 fouls per 90 for City. Bet365 offers 8/15.
4. Iliman Ndiaye over 1.5 fouls won at evens
Ndiaye starts on the right of the City attack and has won two or more fouls in five of his seven appearances for the club, averaging 2.96 fouls won per 90. He won two against Ipswich, two at Liverpool, two against Sunderland, five in 45 minutes at Manchester United and two against Coventry. Villa's home league opponents have won 11.67 fouls per game this season, against a league average of 11.16. He faces Maatsen and the Villa midfield, where João Gomes commits 2.32 fouls per 90 and Boubacar Kamara 1.72. Villa made 17 fouls against Arsenal at Villa Park. Bet365 offers evens.
Aston Villa vs Man City Betting Tips
Man City to win at 4/6
City have won all seven league games, scoring 19 goals from 15.13 xG and conceding seven from 10.05 xG against. Away from home they have won 4-1 at Crystal Palace, 1-0 at Manchester United and 3-0 at Liverpool, conceding once in three games. Erling Haaland has 12 goals in 10 appearances this season, and Rayan Cherki has six.
Villa have not won any of their three home league games, losing to Arsenal and Forest and drawing with Brentford. They have scored three goals at Villa Park in the league from 3.43 xG and conceded five from 4.38 xG against. They have faced 15.9 shots per league game this season.
City's only defeats in all competitions this season came against Arsenal in the Community Shield and against PSG in the Champions League. Coral and Ladbrokes offer 4/6, with 13/20 at bet365.
Who Is the Favourite to Win Aston Villa vs Man City?
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 4/1 |
| Draw | 7/2 |
| Man City | 4/6 |
City are 4/6 with Coral and Ladbrokes, or 13/20 with bet365, after seven straight league wins. Villa are 4/1 with bet365, Paddy Power and Betfred. They have won five of their last six games in all competitions and beat City 1-0 at Villa Park in October 2025. The draw is 7/2 with AK Bets and Betfair Sportsbook, or 10/3 with Paddy Power and Sky Bet.
Aston Villa vs Man City Score Prediction
Aston Villa 1-2 Man City at 8/1
City have scored 33 goals in 12 games in all competitions from 25.71 xG and average 16 shots per game. In the league they have scored 19 in seven, scoring at least once in every game and at least twice in five of them. Haaland leads the way with 12 goals, Cherki has six and Phil Foden has four goals and three assists. City have had 65% or more of the ball in five of their seven league games. They scored three at Anfield and four at Selhurst Park.
City have conceded seven league goals from 10.05 xG against and kept three clean sheets, but they let in three against Sunderland, two against Ipswich and four against PSG at the Etihad. Villa have scored in all six games since the Forest defeat, with 18 goals in that run. Jackson has five goals, Ross Barkley four and Emiliano Buendía three. At Villa Park they have scored 12 goals in five games in all competitions, including 6-0 against Fenerbahçe and 3-1 against Viking, and they have averaged 15 shots per home game.
Four of City's seven league wins have come by a single goal, and both teams scored in four of the seven: 2-1 against Bournemouth, 4-1 at Palace, 5-3 against Sunderland and 3-2 against Ipswich. Villa are scoring freely in all competitions, while City's attack has produced at least two goals in nine of their 12 games. Villa beat City 2-1 at Villa Park in December 2024 and 1-0 in October 2025, and City lost 2-1 at home to Villa in May. Bet365 offers 8/1 on Aston Villa 1-2 Man City.
Aston Villa vs Man City Value Betting Tips
Aston Villa vs Man City Predicted Lineups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Suzuki; Cash, Lindelöf, Torres, Maatsen; Kamara, Gomes; McGinn, Manzambi, Buendía; Jackson.
Man City (4-2-3-1): Donnarumma; Nunes, Dias, Guéhi, O'Reilly; Anderson, Fernández; Ndiaye, Foden, Doku; Haaland.
Out for Aston Villa: Amadou Onana, Matteo Ruggeri, Aaron Wan-Bissaka. Modou Kéba Cissé and George Hemmings are doubts.
Out for Man City: Antoine Semenyo. Joško Gvardiol and Mateo Kovačić are doubts.
