EV Eagle's five best value bets for Monday, from Newcastle vs Everton in the Premier League and Deportivo vs Osasuna in LaLiga.
Monday’s football features Newcastle vs Everton in the Premier League and Deportivo vs Osasuna in LaLiga. Oddschecker’s EV Eagle has picked out five selections that offer positive expected value.
The model compares its own probability for each outcome with the probability implied by the bookmakers’ odds. We’ve selected five of its best value bets for Monday, 2 November 2026, covering player shots, shots on target, tackles and to score or assist markets.
EV Eagle’s Best Value Bets for Monday
| EV Eagle Tips | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Willock Over 1.5 Shots | 17/20 | William Hill |
| Thierno Barry Over 2.5 Shots | 1/1 | William Hill |
| Ante Budimir To Score Or Assist | 7/5 | Paddy Power |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Over 0.5 Shots On Target | 1/1 | bet365 |
| Ante Budimir Over 0.5 Tackles | 4/5 | Ladbrokes |
Odds last updated at 08:50 Monday, 2 November 2026.
TIP 1: Joe Willock Over 1.5 Shots vs Everton
Best odds of 17/20 with William Hill.
1pt advised stake.
- AI Probability: 68.5%
- Odds Implied: 54.1%
- Expected Value: 26.7%
Willock Shots, last 9 starts: 2, 0, 1, 5, 2, 5, 2, 3, 3
He’s had two or more shots in seven of his last nine starts, and he averages 3.01 shots per 90 in the Premier League. He had two shots, both on target, and an assist against Everton in the cup on Thursday.
He’s in the predicted Newcastle XI. With Lewis Miley and William Osula both doubtful, he should get the minutes.
Everton allow 14.5 shots a game in the league, so Newcastle should have plenty of the ball at home.
17/20 is a big enough price for a midfielder shooting at this rate.
TIP 2: Thierno Barry Over 2.5 Shots vs Newcastle
Best odds of 1/1 with William Hill.
1pt advised stake.
- AI Probability: 56.0%
- Odds Implied: 50.0%
- Expected Value: 11.9%
Barry Shots, last 10 starts: 2, 2, 3, 5, 3, 2, 5, 4, 3, 8
He’s had three or more shots in seven of his last ten starts and averages 3.55 shots per 90 in the Premier League. He scored and assisted in Everton’s 3-1 cup win over Newcastle on Thursday.
He leads the line in the predicted Everton XI.
The matchup is a good one. Newcastle are allowing 17.2 shots a game in the league and have conceded 14 in eight.
Evens on a striker with this volume against a defence this open is the best value tonight.
TIP 3: Ante Budimir To Score Or Assist vs Deportivo
Best odds of 7/5 with Paddy Power.
1pt advised stake.
- AI Probability: 47.7%
- Odds Implied: 41.7%
- Expected Value: 14.5%
Budimir Goals, last 8 starts: 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 2, 1, 0
He’s scored in five of his last eight starts, including back-to-back games against Betis and Racing Santander in October. He has seven LaLiga goals at 0.82 per 90 and puts 1.75 shots on target per 90.
Osasuna have scored only ten in their last ten league games, so the goals rely on him, and he’s in the predicted XI.
Deportivo have conceded 13 in their last ten league games, and Osasuna are missing Romain Del Castillo, which leaves Budimir to carry the attack again.
7/5 on a striker who’s scored in five of eight starts is a fair price with a clear edge.
TIP 4: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Over 0.5 Shots On Target vs Newcastle
Best odds of 1/1 with bet365.
1pt advised stake.
- AI Probability: 52.9%
- Odds Implied: 50.0%
- Expected Value: 5.8%
Dewsbury-Hall Shots On Target, last 10 starts: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 2
He’s had a shot on target in five of his last ten starts. He gets plenty of attempts away, averaging 2.52 shots per 90 in the Premier League, but only 0.76 of those per 90 are on target, and he’s drawn a blank in his last three starts.
The matchup is what makes this playable. Newcastle allow 17.2 shots and 5.1 on target per game in the league, and he’s in the predicted Everton XI behind Thierno Barry.
He had two shots in the cup win over Newcastle on Thursday, and with that much space on offer he only needs one to hit the target.
TIP 5: Ante Budimir Over 0.5 Tackles vs Deportivo
Best odds of 4/5 with Ladbrokes.
1pt advised stake.
- AI Probability: 62.7%
- Odds Implied: 55.6%
- Expected Value: 12.8%
Budimir Tackles, last 8 starts: 0, 2, 0, 2, 0, 2, 1, 1
He’s made at least one tackle in five of his last eight starts and averages 1.17 tackles per 90 in LaLiga. That’s a solid return for a centre-forward who works from the front.
He plays the full 90 most weeks, going the distance in seven of those eight starts, so he has the whole match to get one in. He’s in the predicted Osasuna XI.
It hasn’t been steady lately: he’s alternated blanks and twos in his last five starts, and he drew a blank at Sevilla last time out. But a striker with 90 minutes and that per-90 should register one more often than not.
