Lecce vs Genoa predictions, lineups, odds and bet builder tips: read the probable XIs, team news and standout betting angles before this Serie A clash.
Lecce vs Genoa Match Summary
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Match Date | Sunday 1 November 2026 |
Match Time | 17:00 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare |
Lecce vs Genoa is a proper scrap in the lower half of Serie A, with 14th hosting 13th at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare and next to nothing between them.
Lecce need a reaction after a 5-1 hiding at Frosinone in midweek. Eusebio Di Francesco's side are shipping goals, and home comforts have not been much comfort lately.
Genoa arrive full of confidence after a 2-0 win over Juventus, and the Lecce vs Genoa betting odds make Daniele De Rossi's side 8/5 (Coral) favourites.
History backs the hosts: Lecce are unbeaten in their last 5 home matches against Genoa in all competitions, and Genoa have drawn a blank in 3 of the last 4 Serie A meetings with Lecce.
Lecce vs Genoa Form
Lecce have lost four of their last five, and the 5-1 defeat at Frosinone summed up a back line in freefall. They see less of the ball than anyone in the division, so set pieces, where they lead the league, and quick breaks carry the attack, with Konan N'Dri and Amar Fatah the outlets out wide.
Genoa are flying by comparison, with three wins from their last four, and their defence has gone over 200 minutes without conceding. The catch is travel: they have lost every league game on the road this season. Tommaso Baldanzi pulling the strings behind Vítinha and Milutin Osmajić gives them a direct, mobile front three to aim at a shaky Lecce rearguard.
Lecce vs Genoa Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Lecce: Medon Berisha (Injured/out), Santiago Pierotti (Injured/out), Lassana Coulibaly (Injured/out), Ivan Ilic (Injured/out), Willem Geubbels (Injured/doubtful), Kialonda Gaspar (Suspended)
Genoa: E. Havel (Injured/out), Lorenzo Venturino (Injured/out), Mikael Ellertsson (Injured/doubtful)
Lecce
The big call in the Lecce vs Genoa lineups is up front, where Di Francesco must assess Geubbels. If he misses out, Paco Esteban is favoured over Stulic to lead the line between N'Dri and Fatah. Gaspar serves the second game of his ban after his red card against Juventus, so Jamil Siebert partners Tiago Gabriel, while Coulibaly, Ilic and Berisha remain sidelined in midfield.
Genoa
De Rossi could tinker with the side that beat Juventus. Ellertsson is a doubt with an ankle problem, with Mario Mitaj ready to step in, and Hamed Traorè is expected to give Amorim a rest in midfield. Baldanzi looks set to start behind Vítinha and Osmajić, although El Shaarawy is pushing hard for a starting spot.
Lecce vs Genoa Predicted Lineup
Lecce
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Wladimiro Falcone; Danilo Veiga, Tiago Gabriel, Jamil Siebert, Antonino Gallo; Mohamed Kaba, Oumar Ngom, Youssef Maleh; Konan N'Dri, Paco Esteban, Amar Fatah (probable)
Genoa
Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Justin Bijlow; Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez; Mario Mitaj, Morten Frendrup, Hamed Traorè, Tommaso Baldanzi, Kingsley Ehizibue; Vítinha, Milutin Osmajić (probable)
Lecce vs Genoa Key Stats & Match Facts
Lecce have had 15+ shots in 4 of their last 4 matches (Serie A).
There have been 11+ shots on target in 6 of Lecce's last 9 matches (Serie A).
Lecce have received 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 matches vs Genoa (Serie A).
Youssef Maleh has made 3+ tackles in 3 of his last 4 appearances vs Genoa (Serie A).
Lecce vs Genoa Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Genoa to edge a messy, open fixture. The visitors carry a 43% win probability against 31% for Lecce, and a home defence that keeps leaking goals hands De Rossi's front two plenty to aim at. Our Lecce vs Genoa prediction leans towards the away side, but not without Lecce landing a blow of their own.
Best Bets
Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Lecce have seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 Serie A games, and the model projects about 2.7 goals. The projections land on 2.72 total goals, and Over 2.5 is flagged as five-star value across a raft of bookmakers. With Lecce this open at the back, the line looks generous.
Both teams to score: Yes, in the Both Teams To Score market. The model sees Genoa (1.49 expected goals) and Lecce (1.23) both finding the net. Both teams to score carries a 54.84% probability, which sits comfortably alongside a Genoa-leaning game. Counter attacks are the hosts' standout strength and defending them is a known Genoa weakness, so a home goal is far from fanciful.
Lecce vs Genoa Bet Builder
Our Lecce vs Genoa bet builder tips combine a Johan Vásquez card, Over 1.5 Genoa cards, a Genoa win and Over 2.5 goals in one four-leg punt.
Johan Vásquez has been carded in 3 of his last 5 Serie A appearances. Genoa play an aggressive game, and he is set to start in the back three.
Genoa's discipline is a reliable angle, with this leg landing in 7 of the side's last 9 matches. Against Lecce, they have been booked twice or more in 7 of the last 10 Serie A meetings.
Genoa hold the stronger win probability, while Lecce have been behind at both half time and full time in 6 of the last 8 Serie A outings they have played.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lecce's last 6 Serie A games. The line also carries a 51.12% probability, which ties in neatly with a Genoa win.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 23/1 and is as short as 16/1 elsewhere.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builder with Oddschecker's Exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.
Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Lecce vs Genoa Talking Points
The big question is whether history or current form wins out. Lecce have been stubborn at home to Genoa, but this back line has conceded at least 2 goals in 5 of its last 6 Serie A matches, and Gaspar's suspension forces Siebert in alongside Tiago Gabriel. Genoa, meanwhile, are still chasing a first away point of the season under De Rossi. Something has to give, and we think it is the Lecce defence, which is why goals underpin our Lecce vs Genoa best bets.
Lecce vs Genoa Predictions FAQs
When is the Lecce vs Genoa Italian Serie A game?
The match kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Sunday 1 November 2026.
Where is Lecce vs Genoa being played?
The match is being played at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare.
What competition is Lecce vs Genoa in?
Lecce vs Genoa is a Serie A fixture in the 2026/2027 season.
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