Brighton v Aston Villa

My first pick of Saturday is for Brighton to beat Aston Villa at home.

Villa have to dust themselves down after their devastating defeat against Manchester City, and eight defeats from their 11 away games—coupled with a growing injury list—very much justifies Brighton’s favouritism.

Albion were by far the better team at Villa Park earlier in the season, before Aaron Mooy’s red card changed the game, and while they’ve been inconsistent of late, their last two home performances against Chelsea and Bournemouth leads me to believe they’ll win this crucial game to push well clear of the bottom three.

Brighton - 1pt @ 17/25

Southampton v Wolves

At 6/4, Southampton are great value to beat Wolves at home.

The Saints, spearheaded by the prolific Danny Ings, have won five of their last six in all competitions, and no longer look in remote relegation danger.

They will seriously fancy a go at Wolves, who are winless in five, having lost a tough FA Cup replay against Manchester United, with a relatively small, tired squad following a gruelling Europa League group stage campaign.

Southampton to beat a knackered Wolves looks a bet.

Southampton - 1pt @ 6/4

Arsenal v Sheffield Utd

Finally, I have a Sheffield United/draw double chance at The Emirates.

The Blades beat Arsenal in their game at Bramall Lane back in October, and thus far they’ve only lost to Liverpool and Manchester City on their travels – though these have come in their last two trips.

While there’s been a level of improvement with Arsenal since Mikel Arteta’s appointment, they’ve still won just one of their four Premier League matches under the Spaniard, and are without top scorer and skipper Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

United have proven themselves to be devilishly difficult to play against, and just one defeat to non-Liverpool/Manchester City opponents in their last 15 in all competitions is evidence of such.

At odds-against, this double chance is worth backing.

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Sheffield United/Draw - 1pt @ 53/50