After a barren run of four straight defeats, Schalke finally put some points on the board last Sunday, securing a 1-1 draw with Union Berlin.

While this is hardly a result to shout home about in its own right, David Wagner will be quietly delighted Schalke’s abysmal losing streak is over. However, coming up against a very good Bayer Leverkusen side straight after is far from ideal.

Leverkusen played pretty well but were ultimately outclassed by Bayern last time out—losing 4-2, which is hardly a disgrace—and I still feel Peter Bosz’s men are more likely to finish in the top four than Borussia Monchengladbach, despite Marco Rose’s men currently residing in the Champions League places courtesy of goal difference.

I just have one tip for this: Bayer Leverkusen to win with a -1 handicap, priced at a mightily generous 8/5.

After being hammered by Dortmund and struggling Augsburg, Schalke only gained one point against Union, Fortuna Dusseldorf and Werder Bremen (the latter two residing in the bottom three), so I’m certainly not chalking their point at Union down as a corner turned; the visitors were indebted to goalkeeper Alexander Nubel for coming away with anything at all.

As for Leverkusen, barring a slightly anomalous hammering at the hands of Wolfsburg, they’ve been very good since the league’s restart, and three consecutive away wins against Bremen, Gladbach and Freiburg—two of these victories by margins of at least a couple of goals—is a very promising sign.

Schalke are woeful going forward (with just 35 goals all season), and while defensively they’re fairly average, this goal-rich Leverkusen side still have the ability to take them to the cleaners if they’re on song, particularly if Kai Havertz returns to fitness in time.

Leverkusen -1 - 2pts @ 8/5