How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Tuesday's Results:

Nikola Krstović – Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1pt - VOID
Álvaro Carreras – Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt - LOST
Folarin Balogun – Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1pt - 17/20 - WON
Achraf Hakimi – Over 1.5 Shots - 1pt - 1/1 - WON
Vinícius Júnior – Over 2.5 Shots - 1 pt - 49/50 - WON
Shots & Shots on Target Acca - 0.5pt - 6/1 - WON
+4.8pts

Running P+L: 23.5pts

Tip 1: Ibrahim Maza - 2+ Shots - 1.25pts

Best odds of 17/20 with BetMGM. As short as 2/5 elsewhere.

This bet has landed in 16/20 starts for Maza, and in all five Champions League starts. He also had 3 shots in the previous meeting vs Olympiakos.

Club Brugge v Atletico Madrid

Tip 2: Raphael Onyedika - Over 1.5 Fouls Committed - 1pt

Best odds of 1/1 with Coral/Ladbrokes. As short as 2/5 elsewhere.

Onyedika has committed 2+ fouls in five straight Champions League matches, and in 7/8 including Champions League qualification matches. The only match this didn't land was against Rangers, when Brugge were 3-1 up on aggregate and won that match 6-0. He had four fouls when Club Brugge hosted Arsenal in December 2025.

Bodo Glimt vs Inter Milan

Tip 3: Jens Hauge - Over 0.5 Shots on Target - 0.75pts

Best odds of 19/20 with Coral/Ladbrokes. As short as 4/11 elsewhere.

Jens Hauge has had at least one shot on target in 7/9 Champions League appearances this season, and at home he is 4/4 including SOTs against Man City, Spurs, and Monaco.

Wolves vs Arsenal

Tip 4: Mateus Mane - Over 1.5 Shots vs Arsenal - 1pt

Best odds of 19/20 with betway. As short as 4/7 elsewhere.

Mateus Mane has been Wolves' bright spark this season since coming into the starting eleven, and he has been shooting with consistency.

In the Premier League, Mane has had 2+ shots in 7/9 starts including 4 vs Liverpool, 4 vs Man City, and 3 vs Chelsea. 

Tip 5: Declan Rice - Over 1.5 Tackles vs Wolves - 1.25pts

Best odds of 5/6 with Sporting Index. As short as 1/2 elsewhere.

After putting in two tackles vs Brentford last week, Declan Rice has now had 2+ tackles in 8/10 away starts for Arsenal. 

Recent central midfielder tackle stats vs Wolves:
E. Anderson - 5
Sangare - 4
A. Santos - 2
Caicedo - 7
A. Scott - 2
L. Cook - 2
Rodri - 3
B. Silva - 2

EV Eagle's Wednesday Accumulator (0.5pt stake)

Ibrahim Maza - Over 1.5 Shots
Raphael Onyedika - Over 1.5 Fouls
Jens Hauge - Over 0.5 Shots on Target
Declan Rice - Over 1.5 Tackles

Best price of 10/1 with Coral/Ladbrokes. As short as 4/1 elsewhere.