The EV Eagle is up 23pts on the 25/26 season and has four tips for Saturday's Champions League Final.
Eberechi Eze Over 1.5 Shots – 1pt
Odds Implied: 51.28% | AI Probability: 61.52% | Expected Value: 19.96%**
19/20 with 10Bet & BetMGM
Eze continues to operate as Arsenal’s primary attacking outlet and his shot volume has remained extremely strong in recent matches.
Eberechi Eze Shots: 3, 3, 0, 3, 3, 1, 4, 3, 7, 0, 0, 3, 5
He is averaging 3.05 shots per 90 across his last 20 games and consistently gets into positions to test the goalkeeper or pull the trigger from range. Given his current role and confidence levels, the two-shot line looks very achievable.
Bukayo Saka Over 1.5 Fouls – 1pt
Odds Implied: 46.08% | AI Probability: 46.76% | Expected Value: 1.47%**
6/4 with PricedUp / StarSports
Saka’s likely duel with Khvicha Kvaratskhelia could turn this into a far more physical game than his usual Premier League averages suggest.
While Saka averages 1.1 fouls committed per league match, this specific tactical matchup looks key. Kvaratskhelia remains PSG’s most aggressive dribbler and regularly forces defenders into recovery fouls when isolated one-v-one.
Saka has also been booked in two of the three times he has faced PSG previously, showing this fixture tends to demand more defensive intensity and tracking work from him.
BetAhoy
Cristhian Mosquera Over 1.5 Fouls – 1pt
Odds Implied: 48.08% | AI Probability: 55.16% | Expected Value: 14.73%**
11/10 with Sporting Index / SpreadEx
Mosquera’s matchup against Kvaratskhelia again stands out as one of the clearest foul angles in the game. PSG’s winger consistently attacks defenders directly and forces repeated defensive interventions.
Cristhian Mosquera Fouls Committed: 1, 1, 4, 1, 0, 3, 0, 2
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Fouls Won: 0, 1, 2, 0, 1, 4, 4, 3
With Hakimi potentially not starting, PSG are expected to build more attacks down the left side, increasing the likelihood of Mosquera being isolated and repeatedly forced into stopping transitions or dribble situations. His recent foul numbers already support the line strongly.
Désiré Doué To Score Or Assist – 1pt
Odds Implied: 37.04% | AI Probability: 43.49% | Expected Value: 17.42%**
19/10 with BetMGM
Doué continues to emerge as one of PSG’s most explosive attacking threats and his underlying Champions League numbers are outstanding.
Désiré Doué xG + xA in the UCL: 0.28, 0.16, 0.03, 0.55, 0.39, 0.84, 0.66, 0.52, 1, 1.22
Désiré Doué Scored OR Assisted: 1, 0, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 2
With the level of attacking quality PSG possess, any of their front players are capable of producing decisive moments, but Doué’s recent form and involvement levels make him especially appealing. His brace in the 2025 final showcased his ability to deliver on the biggest stage and he continues to generate elite attacking numbers.
