Our Barcelona vs Aston Villa Champions League preview, including a 13/1 bet builder tip and a correct score prediction.
Barcelona host Aston Villa on matchday four of the Champions League league phase. Hansi Flick's side have scored 57 goals in 14 games this season and beat Alavés 6-1 on Saturday, but they lost 4-2 at Paris Saint-Germain on matchday three and have not kept a clean sheet in five. Unai Emery's Villa are one of five sides on a perfect nine points, having beaten Club Brugge, Fenerbahçe and Viking with 12 goals scored, but they arrive without a win in two after a 3-0 defeat at Bournemouth and a 1-1 draw with Fulham. Davide Massa is the referee.
Barcelona vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tips
1. John McGinn over 1.5 shots at 11/4
McGinn starts on the right of Villa's attacking three behind Nicolas Jackson, with licence to drift inside and shoot from the edge of the box. He averages 1.41 shots per 90 minutes this season and has had two or more shots in five of his 15 appearances: three against Brentford, three at Coventry, three at Club Brugge, two against Fenerbahçe and two against Arsenal. Two of those came in his three Champions League games, and he had one against Viking. He averaged 1.61 shots per 90 last season. Bet365 offers 11/4.
2. Matty Cash to be booked at 21/10
Cash starts at right back and has been booked in five of his 11 appearances this season, against Fulham on Saturday, Manchester City, Brentford, Tottenham and Brighton. That is 0.52 cards per 90 minutes, up from 0.27 last season, when he was booked in five of 21 games. He commits 1.89 fouls per 90 and has made two or more fouls in six of his 11 games, including four against Manchester City and three at Newcastle. He comes up against Anthony Gordon and Alejandro Balde on Barcelona's left, with the hosts averaging 72% possession at home, so he will spend long spells defending. Barcelona's home opponents have been shown 2.83 cards per game in their last six home games, against an average of 2.0, and Davide Massa has averaged 4.34 yellow cards and 26.17 fouls per game across his last 35 matches. Bet365 offers 21/10.
3. Barcelona to win at 27/100
Barcelona have won six of their seven home games this season, losing only 2-1 to Real Madrid, and have scored 29 goals at Spotify Camp Nou. They average 3.21 xG and allow 0.97 xG per home game, and they have won 12 of their 14 games in all competitions. They bounced back from defeats to Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid by beating Alavés 6-1 on Saturday. The clubs have met four times, all between 1978 and 1983, and Barcelona won both home games, 2-1 in the 1978 UEFA Cup and 1-0 in the 1983 Super Cup. Unai Emery has won three of his 30 games against Barcelona as a manager, with six draws and 21 defeats. Bet365 offers 27/100.
Barcelona vs Aston Villa Betting Tip
Best bet: Barcelona over 2.5 goals at 4/7
Barcelona have scored three or more goals in 11 of their 14 games this season, and in five of their seven home games. They have averaged 4.14 goals, 22.3 shots and 3.21 xG per home game, including 7-2 against Racing Santander, 6-1 against Alavés on Saturday and 5-1 against Feyenoord in the Champions League.
Villa have conceded 12 goals in seven away games this season, including 4-0 at Brighton, 3-0 at Bournemouth last week and 3-2 at Club Brugge on matchday one. They have faced 5.29 shots on target per away game, and they have conceded at least twice in three of their last five away games.
Barcelona have averaged 20.4 shots per game this season and failed to reach three goals only against Athletic Club, Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid. Coral, Ladbrokes, Sporting Index, Spreadex, Betway and William Hill offer 4/7, with 8/15 at bet365.
Who Is the Favourite to Win Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Barcelona | 2/7 |
| Draw | 13/2 |
| Aston Villa | 17/2 |
Barcelona are 2/7 with Coral, Ladbrokes, William Hill and IvyBet, or 27/100 with bet365, after scoring 57 goals in 14 games. Villa are 17/2 with AK Bets and Betfair Sportsbook, or 7/1 with bet365, despite winning all three of their Champions League games. The draw is 13/2 with AK Bets and 6/1 with bet365. Barcelona Draw No Bet is 1/10 with bet365, and Aston Villa Draw No Bet is 13/2 with Betfair Sportsbook and Paddy Power.
Barcelona vs Aston Villa Score Prediction
Barcelona 3-1 Aston Villa at 9/1
Barcelona have scored 29 goals in seven home games this season, averaging 22.3 shots, 8.29 shots on target and 3.21 xG per game at Spotify Camp Nou. Yamal has averaged 5.51 shots per 90, Raphinha has had two or more shots on target in six of his 12 games, and Barcelona scored six against Alavés on Saturday from 13 shots.
Barcelona have conceded 18 goals in 14 games and have not kept a clean sheet in five, letting in four at Paris Saint-Germain and two against Real Madrid. Villa have scored in four of their seven away games, averaging 1.77 xG per away game, and Jackson has eight goals in 12 games. Villa scored three at Club Brugge, three at Coventry and three at Tottenham.
Barcelona have conceded exactly once in four games this season and won all four, beating Feyenoord 5-1, Sevilla 3-1, Galatasaray 4-1 and Alavés 6-1. Both teams to score is 2/5 with bet365, and Barcelona have won by two or more goals in 12 of their 14 games. Bet365, BoyleSports, IvyBet and PricedUp offer 9/1 on Barcelona 3-1 Aston Villa.
Barcelona vs Aston Villa Value Betting Tips
Barcelona vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups
Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Joan García; Cancelo, Martín, Cubarsí, Balde; Pedri, Rodri; Yamal, Fermín López, Gordon; Raphinha.
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Suzuki; Cash, Lindelöf, Torres, Maatsen; Kamara, Gomes; McGinn, Manzambi, Mbaye; Jackson.
Out for Barcelona: Dani Olmo, Jules Koundé, Xavi Espart, Eric García, Roony Bardghji, Andreas Christensen.
Out for Aston Villa: Amadou Onana, Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Matteo Ruggeri.
