Sassuolo vs Fiorentina predictions, probable lineups, odds and bet builder tips. Explore the best bets and key stats before Monday's Serie A clash.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Match Summary
Competition | Italian Serie A (2026/2027 season) |
|---|---|
Match Date | Monday 2 November 2026 |
Match Time | 17:30 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
Two leaky defences collide when Sassuolo vs Fiorentina kicks off at the MAPEI Stadium, with both sides stuck in the lower half of the Serie A table. Expect a messy one.
Alberto Aquilani's Sassuolo sit 15th in the table. Injuries to Jay Idzes, Fedde Leysen and Ismaël Koné hardly help a side that has shipped 22 league goals this season.
Paolo Vanoli's Fiorentina have failed to win nine of their last 10 Serie A matches. Even so, they head the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina betting odds at 6/4 (Bet365).
Fiorentina edge the previous meetings record, winning three to Sassuolo's two, with one draw in between. Neither side can claim any real hold over this fixture.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Form
Sassuolo have lost their last three Serie A matches. Worse, they have conceded at least two goals in six of their last seven league outings. No side in the division has been breached more often straight after half-time. The threat comes from the flanks, where Armand Laurienté and Domenico Berardi carry most of the attacking load.
Fiorentina are no tighter at the back, conceding at least two goals in eight of their last nine Serie A matches. The flip side is an attack that shoots on sight, and they lead the division for completed dribbles and goals from outside the box. Franco Mastantuono is the danger man on the right, with Mateo Pellegrino leading the line.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Sassuolo: Fedde Leysen (Injured/out), Ismaël Koné (Injured/out), Jay Idzes (Injured/out), Kristian Thorstvedt (Suspended)
Fiorentina: Marin Pongračić (Injured/out), Arthur Atta (Injured/out), Fabiano Parisi (Injured/out), Luca Ranieri (Injured/doubtful)
Sassuolo
Aquilani is without Leysen, Koné and Idzes through injury, while midfielder Kristian Thorstvedt is suspended. The Sassuolo vs Fiorentina lineups point to a mirror match, with Sassuolo's probable XI a 4-3-3 built around Nemanja Matić in the engine room and Sebastiano Esposito through the middle.
Fiorentina
Vanoli has Fabiano Parisi, Marin Pongračić and Arthur Atta out injured, and defender Luca Ranieri is doubtful. Fiorentina's probable 4-3-3 has David de Gea in goal, Nicolò Fagioli sitting in front of the back four and Mateo Pellegrino leading the attack.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Predicted Lineup
Sassuolo
Formation: 4-3-3
Predicted Starting Lineup: Stefano Turati; Josh Doig, Cas Odenthal, Duje Ćaleta-Car, Simone Cinquegrano; Darryl Bakola, Nemanja Matić, Vasilije Adžić; Armand Laurienté, Sebastiano Esposito, Domenico Berardi
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-3-3
Predicted Starting Lineup: David de Gea; Valde, Viery, Radu Drăgușin, Álex Jiménez; Marco Brescianini, Nicolò Fagioli, Cher Ndour; Alieu Njie, Mateo Pellegrino, Franco Mastantuono
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Key Stats & Match Facts
Fiorentina have received 2+ cards in 10 of their last 10 Serie A matches against Sassuolo.
There have been 3+ goals scored in 7 of the last 9 Serie A meetings between Fiorentina and Sassuolo.
Domenico Berardi has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 4 Serie A appearances against Fiorentina.
Franco Mastantuono has won 3+ fouls in 4 of his last 4 Serie A appearances.
Luca Ranieri has been carded in 4 of his last 6 Serie A appearances against Sassuolo.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Fiorentina, in a game with goals at both ends. The numbers give the visitors a win probability of around 46%, comfortably ahead of the home side. A projected total of 3.65 goals tells you all you need to know about two defences this generous, so our Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction is an away win with nobody keeping a clean sheet.
Best Bets
Over 3.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Both sides concede freely and the model projects a high-scoring game. Over 2.5 goals has landed in eight of Fiorentina's last nine Serie A games. Sassuolo have also seen over 2.5 goals in six of their last seven home matches against Fiorentina in all competitions, so a fourth goal is far from a stretch.
Fiorentina to win, in the Win Market. They are the model's favourites in a game where they should create plenty of chances. The value metrics back the away win as well as the raw implied probability. Sassuolo are missing three players through injury and Thorstvedt through suspension, and Fiorentina's habit of taking a lot of shots makes them the side to follow among our Sassuolo vs Fiorentina best bets.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Bet Builder
Our Sassuolo vs Fiorentina bet builder tips combine four player legs: Mastantuono shots, a Berardi card, an Adžić goal and a Berardi shot on target.
Franco Mastantuono Over 1.5 Player Shots. He has attempted two or more shots in eight of his last eight Serie A appearances, and Fiorentina's shoot-on-sight style suits him.
Domenico Berardi To Be Shown A Card. He has been booked in three of his last four Serie A outings, and Sassuolo's habit of fouling in dangerous areas keeps him busy.
Vasilije Adžić Anytime Goalscorer. The midfielder has scored in three of his last five Serie A appearances, and this Fiorentina defence gives him every opportunity to add another.
Domenico Berardi Over 0.5 Player Shots On Target. He has registered at least one shot on target in eight of his last 10 Serie A appearances against Fiorentina.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 30/1 and is as short as 13/1 elsewhere.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builder with Oddschecker's Exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.
Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Talking Points
Aquilani faces the club where he won youth trophies in charge of the Primavera side, which adds an edge on the touchline. On the pitch, both teams have scored in eight of the last 10 Serie A meetings between these sides, and nothing about either defence suggests that pattern stops here. The key battle is in the engine room, where Nemanja Matić has to keep a lid on Nicolò Fagioli. If Fiorentina control that area, their wide men will enjoy themselves against a Sassuolo side that struggles to defend attacks down the flanks.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Predictions FAQs
When is the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Italian Serie A game?
The match kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 17:30 UK time.
Where is Sassuolo vs Fiorentina being played?
The match is being played at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
What competition is Sassuolo vs Fiorentina in?
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina is a Serie A match in the 2026/2027 season.
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