EV Eagle's five best value bets for Tuesday's Champions League action, including Villarreal vs PSG and Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich.
Tuesday’s Champions League action features Villarreal vs PSG, Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting, Galatasaray vs Stuttgart, Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich and Feyenoord vs Inter. Oddschecker’s EV Eagle has picked out five selections that offer positive expected value.
The model compares its own probability for each outcome with the probability implied by the bookmakers’ odds. We’ve selected five of its best value bets for Tuesday, 3 November 2026, covering player shots, fouls and anytime goalscorer markets.
EV Eagle’s Best Value Bets for Tuesday
| EV Eagle Tips | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Achraf Hakimi Over 1.5 Shots | 11/10 | Star Sports |
| Luis Suárez Anytime Goalscorer | 11/8 | Sky Bet |
| Ermedin Demirović Over 2.5 Shots | 21/20 | BetVictor |
| Konrad Laimer Over 1.5 Fouls | 19/20 | Coral |
| Anis Hadj Moussa Over 2.5 Shots | 23/20 | BetVictor |
Odds last updated at 09:39 Tuesday, 3 November 2026.
TIP 1: Achraf Hakimi Over 1.5 Shots vs Villarreal
Best odds of 11/10 with Star Sports.
1pt advised stake.
- AI Probability: 65.4%
- Odds Implied: 47.6%
- Expected Value: 37.3%
Hakimi Shots, last 10 starts: 6, 0, 2, 3, 5, 1, 2, 4, 2, 1
He’s had two or more shots in seven of his last ten starts and averages 3.01 shots per 90 in Ligue 1. Few full-backs shoot like that. He scored a hat-trick against Le Havre on Friday from six shots.
He’s at right-back in the predicted PSG XI and gets forward relentlessly.
Villarreal have allowed 17.0 shots a game in this season’s Champions League, so PSG should have plenty of the ball.
11/10 is too big for a player who shoots like a winger.
TIP 2: Luis Suárez Anytime Goalscorer vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Best odds of 11/8 with Sky Bet.
1pt advised stake.
- AI Probability: 48.2%
- Odds Implied: 42.1%
- Expected Value: 14.4%
Suárez Goals, last 10 starts: 0, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1
He’s scored in nine of his last ten starts, and that includes three Champions League goals in his last two European outings, a brace against LASK and one against Lens. He has eight league goals at 1.08 per 90 and is the focal point of the predicted Sporting XI.
He’s not just a poacher either. He had eight shots against Académico Viseu and five against Casa Pia in his last two league starts.
Shakhtar are tight domestically, but they’ve conceded three in three in this competition.
11/8 on a striker who’s scored in nine of ten starts is a standout price.
TIP 3: Ermedin Demirović Over 2.5 Shots vs Galatasaray
Best odds of 21/20 with BetVictor.
1pt advised stake.
- AI Probability: 60.2%
- Odds Implied: 48.8%
- Expected Value: 23.4%
Demirović Shots, last 10 starts: 3, 5, 4, 4, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 4
He’s had three or more shots in each of his last five starts for Stuttgart. Three of his four misses in the last ten came in international starts for Bosnia, and the other came against Dortmund. He averages 4.03 shots per 90 in the Bundesliga.
He’s in top form too, having scored twice at Leverkusen on Saturday with three shots, all on target.
He’s in the predicted Stuttgart XI. Galatasaray have conceded nine goals and allowed 15.0 shots a game in three Champions League matches.
21/20 on his club form is a good price.
TIP 4: Konrad Laimer Over 1.5 Fouls vs Atlético Madrid
Best odds of 19/20 with Coral.
1pt advised stake.
- AI Probability: 59.4%
- Odds Implied: 51.3%
- Expected Value: 15.9%
Laimer Fouls Committed, last 10 starts: 2, 1, 1, 4, 3, 1, 2, 0, 2, 3
He’s committed two or more fouls in six of his last ten starts, including four against Arsenal in his last Champions League start. In the Bundesliga he commits 2.36 fouls per 90 and wins only 0.64.
He’s at right-back in the predicted Bayern XI, which means a running battle down Atlético’s left side.
Atlético have drawn 13.0 fouls a game in their two Champions League matches, so their opponents give plenty away.
19/20 on a tenacious defender at his foul rate is a good bet.
TIP 5: Anis Hadj Moussa Over 2.5 Shots vs Inter
Best odds of 23/20 with BetVictor.
1pt advised stake.
- AI Probability: 48.2%
- Odds Implied: 46.5%
- Expected Value: 3.6%
Hadj Moussa Shots, last 10 starts: 2, 5, 4, 1, 5, 3, 3, 4, 2, 4
He’s had three or more shots in seven of his last ten starts and averages 3.05 shots per 90 in the Eredivisie. He had five against Como and four against Real Betis in his last two Champions League starts.
He’s in the predicted Feyenoord XI.
Inter are a step up, and Feyenoord have averaged just 9.7 shots a game in Europe. But Hadj Moussa has kept up his volume in this competition.
23/20 is a fair price with a slim edge.
