Newcastle United F.C. vs FK Qarabağ

Leg 1: Kevin Medina – To Be Shown A Card

Best odds of 16/5 during publishing.

Medina comes into this one with two yellow cards in his last six matches, and the matchup does him no favours. EV Eagle AI gives him a 29% probability of going into the book, which is strong for a defensive player.

He is likely to be tested repeatedly down his side, especially if he lines up against a physical presence like William Osula and the pace of Newcastle’s right-sided options such as Anthony Elanga, Harvey Barnes or Jacob Murphy. If he gets isolated in transition or forced into recovery sprints, tactical fouls become a real possibility. Against quick, direct runners, one mistimed challenge is often enough for a booking.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympiacos F.C.

Leg 2: Santiago Hezze – To Be Shown A Card

Hezze’s recent numbers suggest he plays on the edge. His last six foul counts read 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 1, and he has picked up two yellow cards in that stretch. EV Eagle AI projects a 27% chance of a booking at the BayArena, which aligns with the game state expectations.

Olympiacos are chasing qualification and they will need to be aggressive, especially if they find themselves protecting or pushing for a late goal. That opens up space for Leverkusen to counter. In those moments, holding midfielders often take one for the team. Hezze’s role in breaking up transitions makes him a prime candidate to commit a tactical foul under pressure.

Inter Milan vs FK Bodø/Glimt

Leg 3: Alessandro Bastoni – To Be Shown A Card

Bastoni has seen two yellow cards in his last three matches, with foul counts of 2, 1 and 1 in that period. EV Eagle AI rates his booking probability at 22%, which is solid value considering the tactical setup. With Federico Dimarco frequently pushing high up the pitch, Bastoni is often left covering the channel behind him.

If Inter are chasing the game, that defensive exposure increases. Bodo Glimt thrive in transition and could target that space, forcing Bastoni into recovery tackles or last-ditch challenges. When a centre-back is repeatedly drawn wide or isolated one-on-one, the risk of a booking rises significantly.

The best odds for the above Acca is 60/1 at Betfred while publishing, which is much more than other bookmakers like Paddy Power at 49/1, BetMGM at 41/1, and more.