Read our Villarreal vs Napoli prediction with expert betting tips, odds, and probable lineups as both sides target their first Champions League points.
Villarreal vs Napoli Match Summary
Competition | Champions League |
|---|---|
Match Date | Tuesday 13 October 2026 |
Match Time | 20:00 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Villarreal, Estadio de la Cerámica |
Broadcast (TV / Streaming / Radio / Bookmaker Streaming) | TNT Sport Extra (UK) |
Villarreal host Napoli at the Estadio de la Cerámica with both sides still hunting their first Champions League points of the campaign. Somebody has to blink.
Iñigo Pérez's side gave Real Madrid plenty to think about at the Bernabéu, but a long winless run in this competition hangs over them, and another defeat would set an unwanted record for a Spanish club.
Napoli arrive on the back of a comfortable domestic win, yet they are still waiting for their first Champions League goal of the campaign, and Massimiliano Allegri has five players out.
With nobody on the board, the Villarreal vs Napoli betting odds lean towards the hosts at 6/5 with AK Bets, and Napoli's patched-up defence and engine room go a long way to explaining why.
Villarreal vs Napoli Form
Villarreal have offered plenty of effort and not much reward. They lost at Dortmund in their European opener despite Santiago Mouriño's goal, then went down at the Bernabéu after seeing more of the ball than Real Madrid. The real worry is a Champions League run of 12 games without a win, including seven straight defeats.
Napoli eased past Frosinone at the weekend, with Kevin De Bruyne scoring twice and Noa Lang also on target, while Scott McTominay returned off the bench after heart surgery. Europe is another story. They lost at home to Arsenal without scoring and have not won any of their last six Champions League away fixtures.
Villarreal vs Napoli Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Villarreal: Nicolas Pépé (Injured/out), Tajon Buchanan (Injured/out)
Napoli: Antonio Vergara (Injured/out), Frank Anguissa (Injured/out), Alisson Santos (Injured/out), Mathías Olivera (Injured/out), Alessandro Buongiorno (Injured/out)
Villarreal
The Villarreal vs Napoli lineups start with the hosts missing Nicolas Pépé and Tajon Buchanan, which strips two wide options out of the rotation. Santiago Mouriño keeps his place at right-back after scoring at Dortmund, and he has averaged 8.2 duels won per 90 minutes in the Champions League, the best among defenders since his debut. Georges Mikautadze is in line to lead the line after coming off the bench against Real Madrid.
Napoli
Allegri is without five players, including Alessandro Buongiorno, Mathías Olivera and Frank Anguissa, leaving Napoli short in defence and midfield. Kevin De Bruyne should operate centrally behind Rasmus Højlund after his double against Frosinone. Højlund is the one to watch for the wrong reasons, having drawn a blank in his last four away games in the competition.
Villarreal vs Napoli Predicted Lineup
Villarreal
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Gulácsi; Mouriño, Navarro, Veiga, Cardona; Gueye, Comesaña; Moreno, Saliba, Oluwaseyi; Mikautadze (probable)
Napoli
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Meret; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Marín, Favasuli; Lobotka, Gilmour; Politano, De Bruyne, Neres; Højlund (probable)
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Villarreal vs Napoli Key Stats & Match Facts
Villarreal have won three of the previous meetings between the clubs, Napoli have won two, and one finished as a draw.
Napoli produced only 0.22 expected goals in their home defeat to Arsenal.
Napoli have no win in their last eight Champions League matches against Spanish opposition.
Villarreal had 53% possession at Real Madrid in their 1-0 defeat.
Both sides are set to line up in a 4-2-3-1.
Villarreal vs Napoli Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Our Villarreal vs Napoli prediction is a home win in an open, messy game. Napoli's absences cut right through the spine of their side, and Villarreal carried enough threat at the Bernabéu to trouble a reshaped back line. The projections rate the hosts at a 48% implied probability. Napoli sit well behind on 30%, and their record on the road in this competition gives little reason to argue.
Best Bets
Over 2.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Both sides carry attacking threat while missing key defenders and midfielders. The first of our Villarreal vs Napoli best bets rests on the projections landing at 3.35 total goals. That sits comfortably above where the market has set its line, and two leaky, injury-hit sides are hard to picture keeping this stubborn.
Yes in the Both Teams To Score market. Villarreal and Napoli are each projected to score. The projections put a 65% implied probability on goals at both ends. Villarreal found the net in Dortmund, and with De Bruyne in form against a home defence that has been far from watertight, Napoli have the tools to end their European scoring drought.
Villarreal vs Napoli Bet Builder
Our Villarreal vs Napoli bet builder tips back the hosts to win, Georges Mikautadze to score anytime, both teams to score and Lorenzo Lucca to be shown a card.
Villarreal hold home advantage, and a Napoli side without Buongiorno, Olivera and Anguissa looks there for the taking if the hosts turn their pressure into goals.
Mikautadze is set to lead the line and is Villarreal's main goal threat. The projections give him a 41.25% implied probability of scoring against a weakened Napoli defence.
Villarreal created plenty at the Bernabéu without finishing, while De Bruyne's form gives Napoli a direct route to goal. Neither defence inspires much confidence.
Lucca is not in Napoli's probable XI, so this leg leans on him getting minutes. If he does, an intense physical battle up front puts him firmly in the referee's sights.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 18/1 and is as short as 12/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Villarreal vs Napoli Talking Points
Rafa Marín provides the subplot, lining up against the club where he made 31 appearances on loan last season. Allegri has talked up game interpretation over rigid tactical shapes, while warning about Villarreal's defensive discipline and their one-on-one threat out wide, which is a fair point even with Pépé and Buchanan missing. German referee Daniel Siebert takes charge, with Sören Storks on VAR duty.
Villarreal vs Napoli Predictions FAQs
When is the Villarreal vs Napoli Champions League game?
Villarreal vs Napoli kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Tuesday 13 October 2026.
Where is Villarreal vs Napoli being played?
The match is being played at Estadio de la Cerámica in Villarreal.
Where can I watch Villarreal vs Napoli?
Villarreal vs Napoli will be broadcast live on TNT Sport Extra in the UK.
What competition is Villarreal vs Napoli in?
The fixture is being played in the Champions League.
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