Read our Roma vs Real Madrid prediction with betting tips, odds, and expected lineups ahead of Wednesday's Champions League match at the Stadio Olimpico.
Roma vs Real Madrid Match Summary
Competition | Champions League |
|---|---|
Match Date | Wednesday 14 October 2026 |
Match Time | 20:00 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Rome, Stadio Olimpico |
Broadcast (TV / Streaming / Radio / Bookmaker Streaming) | TNT Sports 4 (UK), ESPN (Ireland) |
Roma vs Real Madrid takes Jose Mourinho's side to the Stadio Olimpico in the Champions League, and at 20/21 with William Hill the visitors are rightly fancied.
Roma arrive unbeaten in seven in all competitions. Yet three draws from their last four outings point to a stubborn side rather than a ruthless one.
Madrid have won four of their last five in all competitions, beating Serie A champions Inter in this competition and seeing off Villarreal despite Vinicius Junior's red card.
History sides with the visitors too. Real Madrid are undefeated in their last 7 matches against Roma in all competitions, and Roma need something special to change that.
Roma vs Real Madrid Form
Roma showed real spirit at Como in Serie A on Sunday, defending well after Donyell Malen's red card to leave with a point and a clean sheet. In Europe they drew 1-1 away to Fenerbahçe. The hosts have the win in six of their past ten matches against all opponents, with Dybala and Malen the men who make them tick.
Madrid have the sharper edge. They beat Inter 2-1 in the Champions League and won at Villarreal with ten men, a victory that would be their eighth from the past ten matches against all opponents. Kylian Mbappé leads the line, with Bellingham and Vinicius Junior providing the menace behind him.
Roma vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Roma: B. Cristante (Injured/out), K. Koulierakis (Injured/out), M. Svilar (Injured/out)
Real Madrid: É. Militão (Injured/out), R. Asencio (Injured/out), Rodrygo (Injured/out)
Roma
Donyell Malen was sent off against Como in Serie A on Sunday, but the red card does not carry over, so he is free to lead the line here. Bryan Cristante is part of a three-man injury list, and with Svilar sidelined, Gollini is the probable starter in goal behind a back three of Hermoso, Ndicka and Mancini.
Real Madrid
The Roma vs Real Madrid lineups look far kinder to the visitors. Eduardo Camavinga, Bernardo Silva and Arda Güler are all available again, while Vinicius Junior and Marc Cucurella should both start after being named on the bench against Villarreal. Denzel Dumfries could return at right-back and Dean Huijsen has served his suspension, though Militão and Rodrygo stay out injured.
Roma vs Real Madrid Predicted Lineup
Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Gollini; Hermoso, Ndicka, Mancini; Wesley, Koné, de Roon, Rensch; Soulé, Dybala; Malen (probable XI)
Real Madrid
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Courtois; Dumfries, Rüdiger, Huijsen, Cucurella; Tchouaméni, Valverde; Güler, Bellingham, Vinícius Júnior; Mbappé (probable XI)
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Roma vs Real Madrid Key Stats & Match Facts
Real Madrid have scored 2+ goals in 4 out of 4 matches vs Roma in the Champions League.
There have been 28+ shots taken in 4 of the last 4 meetings between Real Madrid and Roma in the Champions League.
Real Madrid have had 5+ shots on target in 4 out of 4 matches vs Roma in the Champions League.
Roma have had 6+ corners in 4 of their last 4 matches vs Real Madrid in the Champions League.
Both sides head into the game with three players missing through injury.
Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Real Madrid to win a messy, open game in Rome. The visitors carry a 50.69% win probability, comfortably clear of Roma. A projected total of 3.35 goals says the hosts will have their moments, but Madrid simply have more ways to hurt you.
Best Bets
Real Madrid to win at Roma in the Win Market. The visitors are the model's favourites. Our Roma vs Real Madrid best bets start with the obvious one, as Madrid hold a 51% AI probability for the win. They go into this unbeaten in their last 7 against Roma in all competitions, which is the kind of consistency Roma cannot match.
Both teams to score: Yes, in the Both Teams To Score market. Both teams scoring carries a 64.5% probability, and Roma have the attacking pieces in Dybala and Malen to land a blow at home. At the other end, Real Madrid have scored at least 2 goals in their last 6 matches against Roma in all competitions.
Roma vs Real Madrid Bet Builder
Our Roma vs Real Madrid bet builder tips combine a Madrid win, Kylian Mbappé to score anytime, both teams to score and Mario Hermoso to be shown a card.
Real Madrid to win: Mourinho's side have won four of their last five in all competitions, and their front four looks far stronger than anything Roma can put out.
Mbappé anytime goalscorer: Real Madrid have scored 2+ goals in 4 out of 4 matches vs Roma in the Champions League. The forward leads that line and is the obvious man to profit.
Both teams to score: There have been 12+ shots on target in 3 of the last 3 meetings between the sides in the Champions League. Games this open rarely stay one-sided.
Hermoso to be carded: Real Madrid have had 7+ shots on target in 3 out of 3 matches vs Roma in the Champions League, so the centre-back faces a long, stretched night.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 10/1 and is as short as 6/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Roma vs Real Madrid Talking Points
The storyline writes itself. Jose Mourinho returns to the Stadio Olimpico to face the club he guided to the 2022 Europa Conference League title, for the first time since leaving in January 2024. He admitted his affection for Roma on the eve of the game but was blunt about the job: "We put pressure on ourselves because we want to win." Gian Piero Gasperini's side will feed off the atmosphere, and having Malen available is a lift, but the Roma vs Real Madrid betting odds lean towards the visitors for good reason. Sentiment will not stop Mbappé.
Roma vs Real Madrid Predictions FAQs
When is the Roma vs Real Madrid Champions League game?
The match takes place on Wednesday 14 October 2026, kicking off at 20:00 UK time.
Where is Roma vs Real Madrid being played?
The match is being played at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
Where can I watch Roma vs Real Madrid?
The match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 4 in the UK and ESPN in Ireland.
What competition is Roma vs Real Madrid in?
Roma vs Real Madrid is taking place in the Champions League.
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