**Paris Saint-Germain FC carry a narrow 3-2 aggregate advantage into the second leg at the Parc des Princes, where they aim to finish the job and advance. Meanwhile, AS Monaco FC arrive chasing a big comeback to keep their Champions League hopes alive.
| Tournament: | Champions League |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Parc de Princes, Paris |
| Date: | 25.02.2026 |
| Time: | 20:00 GMT |
PSG vs Monaco Form and Head to Head
The Parisian giants come into this clash on the back of a dominant 3-0 home victory over Metz in Ligue 1, a result that allowed them to rest key players. Their recent form has been strong, with four wins, one draw, and just one defeat in their last six outings across all competitions. This run includes their thrilling 3-2 win away at Monaco in the first leg of this Champions League tie, showcasing their ability to find the net consistently. They also secured impressive league victories against Rennes (3-1 away) and Marseille (5-0 at home), alongside a 1-1 Champions League draw against Newcastle.
Monaco, meanwhile, also head into this encounter with a recent victory, having edged out Lens 3-2 away in Ligue 1. Their form mirrors that of their opponents, boasting four wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six matches. This sequence includes their first-leg defeat to PSG (2-3 at home), but also notable wins against Nantes (3-1 home) and Rennes (4-0 home), demonstrating their attacking prowess.
However, their Champions League away record will be a concern, as they have won only one of their last seven away games in the competition, drawing two and losing four. A significant fact to consider is that PSG have won their last three home matches against Monaco in all competitions.
The most recent encounter between these two formidable sides was the first leg of this Champions League tie, which saw PSG emerge victorious with a thrilling 3-2 win at Monaco. Looking back at their last six meetings across all competitions, PSG have held the upper hand, securing four victories and one draw, with Monaco claiming just one win. This historical dominance, particularly at home, will undoubtedly fuel the confidence of the hosts.
Who is the Betting Favourite in PSG vs Monaco?
Paris Saint-Germain FC are clear favourites to win at the Parc des Princes, with latest odds suggesting about a 77% chance of a home victory. AS Monaco FC face a tough task, with roughly a 9% chance of pulling off an upset and overturning the 3-2 first-leg deficit.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| PSG | 2/7 | PricedUp |
| Monaco | 10/1 | BetVictor |
| Draw | 6/1 | Skybet |
Odds last updated at 2:30PM Wednesday, 25th February.
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PSG vs Monaco Team News
PSG will be without Ousmane Dembélé, who remains sidelined after limping off in the first leg. Fabián Ruiz and Senny Mayulu are also unavailable due to injury, along with Quentin Ndjantou. Despite these absences, Luis Enrique's side is expected to maintain their 4-3-3 formation, focusing on midfield control and aggressive full-back play, with Achraf Hakimi and Nuno Mendes crucial to their attacking width.
Gonçalo Ramos is set to lead the line in Dembélé’s absence, while Désiré Doué, who bagged a brace in the first leg, will be looking to continue his impressive goal-scoring run.
Monaco face a significant blow with Aleksandr Golovin suspended following his red card in the first leg, a substantial loss to their creative midfield. They are also contending with a lengthy injury list that includes M Akliouche, Eric Dier, K Ouattara, C Mawissa, and L Hrádecký, thinning their options in both midfield and defence.
Manager Sébastien Pocognoli is likely to stick with a 3-4-2-1 setup, aiming to balance defensive solidity with rapid counter-attacks. Folarin Balogun, who scored twice in the first leg and has a strong record against PSG, will be their primary attacking threat, with Simon Adingra expected to provide early impetus.
PSG vs Monaco Predicted Lineups
PSG (4-3-3): Safonov; Mendes, Pacho, Marquinhos, Hakimi; Neves, Vitinha, Zaïre-Emery; Kvaratskhelia, Ramos, Doué
Monaco (3-4-2-1): Köhn; Kehrer, Faes, Zakaria; Henrique, Teze, Camara, Diatta; Adingra, Coulibaly; Balogun
PSG vs Monaco Match Prediction
Paris Saint-Germain FC return to the Parc des Princes with confidence after overturning a two-goal deficit to lead 3-2 on aggregate. Their strength lies in controlling possession and creating chances, averaging over 22 shots and nearly 70% possession in the tournament.
AS Monaco FC will look to start quickly, with Folarin Balogun leading the attack. However, the suspension of Aleksandr Golovin weakens their creativity, and Monaco have struggled defensively in away Champions League matches.
PSG’s strong European home record and historical success in protecting first-leg advantages make them favourites. Expect a tight contest, but the hosts should have enough quality to edge a narrow win and secure progression.
Prediction: PSG 2-1 Monaco
PSG vs Monaco Match Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for PSG vs Monaco.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Lee Kang-in has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 19/20 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Folarin Balogun has exceeded 2.5 Shots in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 1/1 at Ladbrokes while publishing.
Achraf Hakimi has exceeded 1.5 Shots in 7 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 5/6 at Coral while publishing.
Willian Pacho has exceeded 1.5 Tackles in 3 of their last 4 games.
Best odds of 23/20 at Coral while publishing.
Paris Saint-Germain have had 6+ shots on target in 3 of their last 3 matches in Champions League.
Best odds of 2/5 at Virgin Bet while publishing.
PSG vs Monaco Bet Builder Tip
Our PSG vs Monaco Bet Builder Tip is:
- Over 6.5 - Total PSG Shots On Target
- F. Balogun Over 0.5 - Shots On Target
- A. Hakimi Over 1.5 - Shots
- N. Mendes Over 0.5 - Shots On Target
Best odds of 9/1 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
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