Sheffield Wednesday v Brentford - Tuesday 19:45

Brentford have shown there’s life after Scott Hogan, netting ten times in four matches following 14-goal striker’s departure to Aston Villa, but they might meet stiffer resistance at Hillsborough, where Sheffield Wednesday have taken 19 points from the last available 21 and no opposition player has found the net in the last six matches. Back the home win at evens.

The Owls are back in their groove and building up a head of steam in their bid to exorcise the ghosts of last season’s heartbreaking play-off final defeat at Wembley. Not everyone is convinced by some of their recent display but their game-management is second to none under Carlos Carvalhal and the competition for places up front only makes them more formidable.

Fernando Forestieri has had a quiet season by his own standards but the January captures of Jordan Rhodes and Sam Winnall have certainly put him on his toes and the mercurial Argentinian was on the scoresheet at Nottingham Forest on Saturday, bagging what proved to be the winner in a 2-1 success at the City Ground, then jumping six deep into the away end to celebrate.

If this is Wednesday when they’re unconvincing, then imagine what they might do in a routine fixture like this if everything clicks. My 16-match shot data makes them almost a full goal superior to Dean Smith’s men on home soil from a marginally smaller total goals expectancy than the market. The Wednesday 3-0 correct score at 18/1 is the point of maximum value.

Sheff Wed to win - 1pt @ 1/1
Sheff Wed 3-0 correct score - 1pt @ 18/1