I can’t see anything but a Norwich City win this Friday. The Canaries, who sit top of The Championship, have the opportunity to pull seven points clear of Sheffield United in third place, and considering Swansea have lost their last three away games, Daniel Farke should be hopeful of victory.

Norwich have won eight of their last 11 at Carrow Road – netting a whopping 30 times – and their ability to simply outscore sides has proven incredibly effective.

My first tip is pretty simple: a Norwich win. Quality and momentum both favour the hosts, and if you want to be promoted, winning matches like this is a necessity.

Norwich - 2pts @ 18/25

This is becoming a pretty regular tip for Norwich matches – particularly because it keeps landing: the last goal to be scored between 76 minutes and full-time.

Norwich have now scored 25 goals in the last 15 minutes of their matches – which is more than Bolton have scored all season – while Swansea have netted 15 times in this same period, also their most prosperous period.

Priced at a shade under evens, this is a good value bet.  

time of last goal: 76-FT - 1pt @ 19/20

Come on, you should know my final tip by now: Teemu Pukki to score first.

The Finnish striker has delivered us some solid profit this season, and with goals in seven of his last nine home games, you simply can’t back against him scoring first.  

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Pukki FGS - 1pt @ 57/17