Bristol City face Derby at Ashton Gate in a mid-table showdown, with both teams looking to climb the standings.
| Tournament: | Championship |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Ashton Gate, Bristol |
| Date: | 30.01.2026 |
| Time: | 20:00 GMT |
Bristol City vs Derby Form and Head to Head
The Robins head into this fixture on the back of a solid 2-0 home victory over Sheffield Wednesday in their last Championship outing. This win snapped a challenging run for the home side, who had picked up just one point from their preceding three league matches.
Over their last six Championship games, Bristol City have secured three wins, one draw, and two defeats, showcasing a mixed but generally competitive recent run.
Derby also had a mixed bag of results in their recent Championship fixtures. Their last league game saw them held to a 1-1 draw at home against West Bromwich Albion, a result that felt like a loss after conceding a 95th-minute equaliser. Prior to that, the Rams had secured a 2-1 away win against Charlton.
Overall, Derby's last six Championship matches have yielded three wins, one draw, and two defeats. Despite the recent setback, the visitors travel to Ashton Gate with generally good away form, ranking fifth in the league for their last six away games.
The most recent meeting between these two teams, in August 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw at Derby. Looking at their last six encounters in the Championship, Bristol City have had the slight edge with three wins to Derby's two, alongside one draw.
A notable trend in this fixture is Bristol City's strong home record against Derby, having won their last four home matches against Derby in all competitions. Furthermore, the Robins have kept a clean sheet in their last three home matches against Derby, indicating a defensive solidity when playing host.
Who is the betting favourite in Bristol City vs Derby?
According to latest odds, Bristol City enter as narrow betting favourites to defeat Derby County in their Championship clash at Ashton Gate. The Home team holds around 45% chance of victory, shading Derby's 27% implied win probability.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 6/5 | Bresbet |
| Derby | 13/5 | BetMGM UK |
| Draw | 12/5 | SpreadEx |
Odds last updated at 17:15 Friday, 30th January.
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Bristol City vs Derby Team News
Bristol City face a significant list of absentees for this encounter. The home side will be without McNally, Williams, Mayulu, Bird, and Vyner, all sidelined due to injury. Zak Vyner, in particular, is expected to miss up to a month with an ankle issue. Adding to their challenges, Anis Mehmeti, a key player, has recently transferred to Ipswich, leaving a void in the Robins' attacking setup. Mark Sykes could return to the starting XI on the right side after missing out last time.
For Derby, the injury list is shorter, with Morris, Johnston, and Vickers all unavailable. Max Johnston has suffered a fresh calf injury, extending his time on the sidelines. However, there's positive news for the Rams as Matt Clarke has served his one-match suspension and is expected to reclaim his place in the starting line-up, bolstering their defence.
Bristol City vs Derby Predicted Lineups
Bristol City (3-4-2-1): Vítek; Atkinson, Dickie, Tanner; Pring, Knight, Randell, Sykes; Mehmeti, Earthy; Riis
Derby County (4-2-3-1): Zetterström; Elder, Clarke, Langås, Ward; Ozoh, Travis; Brewster, Clark, Brereton; Agyemang
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Bristol City vs Derby Match Prediction
This fixture promises to be closely contested, with both teams showing flashes of quality amid inconsistent results. Bristol City’s recent home win over Sheffield Wednesday boosts their confidence, and their strong record against Derby at home is key. The Robins are solid at defending set pieces and dangerous on the wings and on the counter, which could exploit Derby’s struggles against wide attacks. They also create chances regularly, with plenty of shots and through balls.
Derby, meanwhile, have shown resilience on the road despite conceding a late equaliser last week. The Rams are sharp in finishing and skilful in creating chances, which could test Bristol City’s defence. Their use of long balls and frequent crosses adds another layer of threat. With both sides boasting strengths and weaknesses that could cancel each other out, a draw looks a likely outcome in this Championship clash.
Prediction: Bristol City 1-1 Derby
Bristol City vs Derby Player Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Bristol City vs Derby.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Ben Brereton has exceeded 1.5 Shots in 5 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 8/11 at Ladbrokes while publishing.
Bobby Clark has exceeded 1.5 Shots in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 11/10 at Skybet while publishing.
Luke McNally has exceeded 1.5 Tackles in 5 of their last 6 games.
Best odds of 11/10 at bet365 while publishing.
Rob Dickie has exceeded 0.5 Fouls in 5 of their last 6 games.
Best odds of 11/10 at bet365 while publishing.
Ross McCrorie has managed To Score Or Assist in 3 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 19/5 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Bristol City vs Derby Bet Builder Tip
Our Bristol City vs Derby Bet Builder Tip includes:
- Home - Win Market
- Yes - Both Teams To Score
- A. Randell Over 0.5 - Fouls
- P. Agyemang Over 1.5 - Fouls
Best odds of 14/1 at bet365 at the time of publishing.
Bristol - Win Market
Bristol City’s dominance over Derby at Ashton Gate is clear. They have won their last four home matches against Derby in all competitions and have kept three consecutive clean sheets in these fixtures. Their ability to defend set pieces, counter effectively, and exploit Derby’s weakness against wing attacks gives them the edge. Combined with home advantage and their recent form, the Robins are favourites to secure a win in this clash.
Yes - Both Teams To Score
Despite Bristol City’s strong home record against Derby, including four straight wins and three consecutive clean sheets, Derby’s recent form makes BTTS a credible pick. The Rams have scored in each of their last 20 games, showing consistency in attack regardless of opposition. While the Robins are defensively solid at home, Derby’s threat in creating chances through individual skill and finishing quality suggests both sides are likely to find the net.
A. Randell Over 0.5 - Fouls
Adam Randell has exceeded 0.5 fouls in 6 of his last 10 matches, reflecting his combative style in midfield. He often engages in tackles and challenges, particularly in central areas where Derby like to press or transition quickly. Given Derby’s tendency to attack through skillful players and through balls, Randell is likely to commit at least one foul as he seeks to break up play and protect Bristol City’s defensive shape.
P. Agyemang Over 1.5 - Fouls
Patrick Agyemang averages 1.6 fouls per match this season and has exceeded 1.5 fouls in 4 of his last 5 games, making him a high-probability pick. Operating in wide or attacking positions, Agyemang often tracks back to press defenders and disrupt Derby’s build-up play. With Derby’s reliance on crosses and long balls, he will likely be involved in repeated defensive challenges, leading to multiple fouls.
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