Get the latest Derby vs Swansea prediction, betting tips, odds, and predicted lineups. Read our expert match preview and top bet builder picks now.
Derby vs Swansea Match Summary
Competition | English Championship |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 29 August 2026 |
Match Time | 12:30 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Derby, Pride Park Stadium |
Our Derby vs Swansea prediction sizes up a Saturday lunchtime Championship fixture at Pride Park, with the hosts chasing a first win and the visitors quietly building.
Derby are still without a victory this campaign, though they showed plenty of spirit by twice fighting back to draw with Cardiff in their last outing.
Swansea arrive unbeaten in their last five in the Championship and sitting just outside the play-off places, having taken four points from their opening two games.
Across the last six meetings between these sides, Swansea edge it with three wins to Derby's two, with one draw completing the run.
Derby vs Swansea Form
Derby remain without a win in all competitions, but there is fight here. They came from two goals down to earn a draw with Cardiff, and the goals have flowed in all five of their recent Championship outings — over 2.5 goals on each occasion. The flip side is worrying: they have shipped at least two goals in every one of those matches. Carlton Morris carries their attacking threat up top.
Swansea are the more settled of the two, undefeated in their last five Championship matches and hovering just outside the play-off spots. A goalless draw with Sheffield United kept their record intact, and four points from six is a solid enough start. Zan Vipotnik is pushing for a starting berth up front as the visitors look to add a cutting edge to their tidy build-up play.
Derby vs Swansea Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Derby: D. J. Murkin (Injured/out), P. Agyemang (Injured/out), M. Clarke (Injured/out), S. Szmodics (Injured/out)
Swansea: C. Burgess (Injured/out), G. Franco (Injured/out), B. Cabango (Injured/out)
Derby
Sam Szmodics' thigh injury will keep him out of action for two to three weeks, joining a treatment room that also includes Murkin, Agyemang and Clarke. Filip Bilbija could get his chance after being an unused substitute against Cardiff, with no further changes expected.
Swansea
Ben Cabango faces a spell out with a heel injury picked up against Sheffield United, so Joshua Key is expected to fill in out of position at centre-back. Zan Vipotnik could come in to lead the line in place of Adam Idah.
Derby vs Swansea Predicted Lineup
Derby
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: Zetterström; Taylor, Sanderson, Langås, Johnston; Travis, Mowatt; Blackett-Taylor, Bilbija, Clark; Morris
Swansea
Formation: 4-3-3
Predicted Starting Lineup: Vigouroux; Tymon, Welsh, Key, Lissah; Fulton, Stamenic, Just; Yeo, Vipotnik, Opoku
Derby vs Swansea Key Stats & Match Facts
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Derby's last five games in the Championship.
Derby have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five Championship matches.
Swansea are undefeated in their last five Championship matches.
Derby have received 2+ cards in four of their last four matches against Swansea in the Championship.
Derby have had 5+ shots on target in four out of six matches against Swansea in the Championship.
Derby vs Swansea Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: This looks a tight, open contest between two sides who cannot stop conceding and scoring respectively. Derby are marginal favourites at 132/100 with 10Bet, but with a projected total north of 2.5 goals and both defences leaking, we make it a score draw with goals at both ends.
Best Bets
Over 2.5 Goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market for Derby vs Swansea. The projected total sits at 2.73 goals, with a 51% implied probability attached. The Rams have gone over that line in all five of their recent Championship outings, so the goals should keep flowing here.
Both Teams To Score (Yes) in the Both Teams To Score market for Derby vs Swansea. The AI puts the likelihood of both sides finding the net at 55%, with Derby expected to score 1.42 goals and Swansea 1.30. With Derby shipping at least two a game across their last five league matches, a goal apiece looks the smart read.
Derby vs Swansea Bet Builder
Our four-leg bet builder leans on the head-to-head record: Carlton Morris and Rhian Brewster to score anytime, Craig Forsyth to be carded, and Over 1.5 Derby cards.
Carlton Morris to score anytime is the anchor, with the striker having found the net in three of his last five appearances against Swansea in the Championship.
Rhian Brewster adds a second goal threat, having scored in two of his last three outings against Swansea in the Championship.
Craig Forsyth to be shown a card fits the pattern, with the defender booked in two of his last three appearances against Swansea in the Championship.
Over 1.5 Derby cards rounds it off, given the Rams have picked up 2+ cards in each of their last four matches against Swansea in the Championship.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 85/1 and is as short as 40/1 elsewhere. That's a difference in potential winnings of £450 from best to worst price.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builder with Oddschecker's Exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.
Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Derby vs Swansea Talking Points
The story here is a Derby defence that cannot keep goals out against a Swansea side that knows how to stay in games. The Rams have conceded at least two across all five of their recent league fixtures, while the visitors arrive unbeaten in five. Cards are worth watching too, with Derby picking up 2+ bookings in four of their last four against Swansea in the Championship. If Derby are to end their wait for a first win, they need to sharpen up at the back, because there are goals in this fixture whichever way it breaks.
Derby vs Swansea Predictions FAQs
What is the prediction for Derby vs Swansea?
For full match predictions, expert tips, and bet builder selections for Derby vs Swansea, check out the prediction section of our preview.
Where is Derby vs Swansea being played?
Derby vs Swansea will be played at Pride Park Stadium.
Where can I find the latest betting odds for Derby vs Swansea?
You can find comprehensive match odds, including match result and bet builder markets, in our full Derby vs Swansea preview.
Where can I see the predicted lineups for Derby vs Swansea?
Probable lineups and prematch team news for both Derby and Swansea are available in the dedicated lineups section of this match preview.
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