Read our Derby vs Birmingham prediction with the latest betting tips, odds, and probable lineups ahead of Saturday's English Championship clash at Pride Park.
Derby vs Birmingham Match Summary
Competition | English Championship |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 12 September 2026 |
Match Time | 12:30 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Derby, Pride Park Stadium |
Broadcast (TV / Streaming / Radio / Bookmaker Streaming) | Sky Sports Football (UK) |
This Derby vs Birmingham clash pits two sides desperate for a reaction, both arriving at Pride Park nursing midweek defeats in a fixture with plenty at stake in the English Championship.
Derby are still chasing their first home league win of the 2026-27 campaign after a 1-0 defeat to West Bromwich Albion on 9 September, sitting 22nd and badly needing points in front of their own supporters.
Birmingham travel with their own wounds to lick, their unbeaten start to the season ended by a 2-1 loss at Norwich City on 9 September. The Blues have made a much stronger start, sitting 14th.
There is extra spice too, with Derby head coach John Eustace facing his former club, having previously managed Birmingham. The Rams and the Blues have shared this fixture out evenly, two wins each and two draws in their last six meetings.
Derby vs Birmingham Form
Derby's Championship form is a worry, with three defeats in their last four league outings leaving them 22nd in the table. That midweek 1-0 loss summed up the issue Eustace keeps flagging, a lack of a cutting edge in the final third. Sam Szmodics and Henrik Meister carry the goal threat.
Birmingham look the stronger of the two, sitting 14th after a bright opening to the campaign that only ended in midweek. The Blues are dangerous down the right through Bright Osayi-Samuel and Carlos Vicente, with Jay Stansfield leading the line and firing off shots regularly.
Derby vs Birmingham Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Derby: Paul Agyemang (Injured/out), David Junior Murkin (Injured/out), Matt Clarke (Injured/out), Callum Morris (Injured/out), Rhian Brewster (Injured/out), Filip Bilbija (Injured/out), Craig Forsyth (Injured/out), Lewis Travis (Injured/doubtful)
Birmingham: Marc Bird (Injured/out), Marc Leonard (Injured/out), Josh Solís (Injured/out), Tommy Gardner-Hickman (Injured/out), Demarai Gray (Injured/doubtful)
Derby
Rhian Brewster will miss the next handful of games under the concussion protocol, while Lewis Travis remains doubtful and six others are confirmed out. Eustace could hand starts to Henrik Meister and Joe Ward for the visit of Birmingham.
Birmingham
Demarai Gray remains doubtful for the trip to Pride Park after sitting out the midweek clash with Norwich. Expect Alex Cochrane to be recalled at left-back, with Bird, Leonard, Solís and Gardner-Hickman all ruled out.
Derby vs Birmingham Predicted Lineup
Derby
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: Zetterström; Taylor, Cashin, Langås, Ward; Ozoh, Mowatt, Fuseini, Szmodics, Clark; Meister
Birmingham
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: Beadle; Cochrane, Klarer, Neumann, Osayi-Samuel; Seung-Ho, Iwata, Millar, Stansfield, Vicente; Priske
Derby vs Birmingham Key Stats & Match Facts
Both teams have scored in seven of the last ten meetings between Derby and Birmingham (Championship).
There have been 3+ goals in seven of the last ten meetings between the sides (Championship).
Birmingham have received 2+ cards in five of their last five matches (Championship).
Birmingham have received 4+ cards in three of their last three matches against Derby (Championship).
Jay Stansfield has attempted 2+ shots in four of his last four apps (Championship).
Derby vs Birmingham Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Birmingham are the favourites here and we're siding with the visitors, who look the stronger side against a Derby team that has struggled at home. Our projected scoreline is a 2-1 away win, with both teams finding the net. Birmingham are 6/5 with AK Bets in the Win Market.
Best Bets
Mohammed Fuseini Over 2.5 in Player Shots. Fuseini shapes up as strong value here, with the projections handing him just under a coin-flip probability of clearing 2.5 shots against Birmingham and a healthy expected value to back that up.
Henrik Meister in To Be Shown A Card. Derby's starting striker is in for a physical afternoon against a stubborn Birmingham back line, and with a projected card probability north of 30 per cent, there's genuine value in taking him to see yellow.
Derby vs Birmingham Bet Builder
Our four-leg bet builder leans on Birmingham's card habit and attacking threat: Bright Osayi-Samuel to be carded, both teams to score, over 1.5 Birmingham cards and Jay Stansfield over 1.5 shots.
Bright Osayi-Samuel has been carded in three of his last five apps (Championship), so the right-back is a solid shout in the To Be Shown A Card market.
Both teams have scored in five of Birmingham's last five matches (Championship), and with goals flowing in this fixture, a Yes in Both Teams To Score makes plenty of sense.
Birmingham have received 2+ cards in five of their last five matches (Championship), so over 1.5 away team cards is well supported by their recent disciplinary record.
Jay Stansfield has attempted 2+ shots in four of his last four apps (Championship), making over 1.5 shots for the striker a natural leg to round things off.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 11/1 and is as short as 5.65/1 elsewhere.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builder with Oddschecker's Exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.
Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Derby vs Birmingham Talking Points
The subplot is impossible to ignore, with John Eustace up against the club he used to manage. He has warned that Birmingham are a difficult opponent who have played together a long time and know the Championship inside out, and the numbers back that up as the visitors sit 14th to Derby's 22nd. Eustace says the focus in training has been on improving execution and finding a cutting edge in the final third, exactly the flaw that cost the Rams in midweek. He has also called for players, staff and supporters to stay united as a family and break sides down at Pride Park. Given both teams score regularly when these two meet, and Birmingham's tendency to pick up cards, this has the makings of a lively, messy afternoon.
Derby vs Birmingham Predictions FAQs
When is the Derby vs Birmingham English Championship game?
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 September 2026, kicking off at 12:30 UK time.
Where is Derby vs Birmingham being played?
Derby vs Birmingham is being played at Pride Park Stadium.
Where can I watch Derby vs Birmingham?
The match will be broadcast live in the UK on Sky Sports Football.
What competition is Derby vs Birmingham in?
The match is taking place in the English Championship.
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