Derby vs Stoke predictions, probable lineups, team news and bet builder tips. Compare the odds, check team news and find the best bets before kick-off.
Derby vs Stoke Match Summary
Competition | English Championship |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 17 October 2026 |
Match Time | 15:00 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Pride Park Stadium |
Derby vs Stoke pits a side in freefall against one of the Championship's form teams, and the market agrees, with the visitors 6/4 (10Bet) favourites.
John Eustace's Rams sit 23rd and look in real trouble. Wednesday's 4-1 humbling at QPR summed up a side that leaks goals and cannot buy a win.
Stoke were unbeaten in six before a stoppage-time Neto Borges goal snatched it for Middlesbrough on Tuesday. Harsh, but Mark Robins' side arrive as the division's third-best form team.
Pride Park has been kind to the Rams in this fixture, with Derby undefeated in their last 7 home matches against Stoke in all competitions. That record has rarely looked more vulnerable.
Derby vs Stoke Form
Derby's winless Championship run has stretched to six games, and a win for the Rams has landed only once across their last 10 outings against all opponents. A home league win still eludes them this season, with a leaky back line doing the damage. Bobby Clark and Sam Szmodics carry most of the threat.
Stoke have hit at least two goals in four straight Championship outings, and a Stoke win has come 5 times across their last 10 matches against all opponents. Tuesday's late sting stung, but this is a stubborn, direct side. Jack McGlynn is the creative spark, with Justin Devenny due back to add more craft.
Derby vs Stoke Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Derby: M. Johnston (Injured/out), P. Agyemang (Injured/out), D. J. Murkin (Injured/out), M. Clarke (Injured/out), C. Forsyth (Injured/out), J. W. Zetterström (Injured/out), C. Taylor (Injured/out), E. Cashin (Injured/out), S. Langås (Injured/out)
Stoke: S. Ingelsson (Injured/out), A. Cresswell (Injured/out), S. Gallagher (Injured/out), A. Ampah (Unfit)
Derby
Centre-back Sondre Langås is a confirmed absentee after suffering an issue against QPR in midweek, which reshapes the Derby vs Stoke lineups at the back. Ryan Nyambe could fill in out of position at centre-back, while Henrik Meister could be recalled up top.
Stoke
Mark Robins should recall Justin Devenny for the trip to Pride Park, and Maksym Talovierov is available again after serving his one-match suspension. Sam Gallagher is the latest name on an injury list that also includes Svante Ingelsson and Aaron Cresswell.
Derby vs Stoke Predicted Lineup
Derby
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: J. Vickers; J. Ward, R. Nyambe, D. Sanderson, R. Hedges; D. Ozoh, A. Mowatt; C. Morris, S. Szmodics, B. Clark; H. Meister (probable)
Stoke
Formation: 3-4-2-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: V. Johansson; L. Graham, M. Talovierov, B. Wilmot; B. Johnson, E. Galbraith, D. Soumaré, E. Bocat; J. Devenny, J. McGlynn; L. Cissé (probable)
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Derby vs Stoke Key Stats & Match Facts
Derby have received 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 matches vs Stoke (Championship).
Sam Szmodics has scored in 2 of his last 3 appearances vs Stoke (Championship).
Sam Szmodics has attempted 4+ shots in 3 of his last 4 appearances (Championship).
Jack McGlynn has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 4 appearances (Championship).
Ben Wilmot has been carded in 2 of his last 3 appearances vs Derby (Championship).
Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Derby 0-2 Stoke. The Rams are the division's worst form side and finishing is a genuine weakness, while Stoke carry the sharper attack, so the Derby vs Stoke betting odds offering Derby at 15/8 (Bet365) hold little appeal.
Best Bets
Under 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The projected total sits just below this line, and with Derby so blunt in front of goal, two goals looks like the ceiling rather than the floor. Pride Park also tends to keep this fixture tight, with Derby keeping a clean sheet in 6 of their last 7 home matches against Stoke in all competitions.
Both Teams To Score - No. A home side this short of goals is hard to trust to break down a stubborn Stoke outfit, so we see the damage being done at one end only. It sits neatly alongside the under and rounds off our Derby vs Stoke best bets.
Derby vs Stoke Bet Builder
Our Derby vs Stoke bet builder tips take a punt on a livelier script than our prediction, combining Stoke goals, Bobby Clark shots, a Carlton Morris goal and a Maksym Talovierov card.
Stoke Over 1.5 Total Away Goals: the Potters have found the net at least twice in each of their past four Championship fixtures, and a leaky Derby back line offers little resistance.
Bobby Clark Over 0.5 Player Shots On Target: Clark has been on target with at least one effort in each of his previous four Championship outings and is Derby's most reliable outlet.
Carlton Morris Anytime Goalscorer: Morris has scored in 3 of his last 4 appearances against Stoke in the Championship, so if Derby do find a way through, he is the man.
Maksym Talovierov To Be Shown A Card: back from suspension, the defender has picked up a booking twice in his past three Championship appearances, and Stoke play an aggressive game.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 40/1 and is as short as 40/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Derby vs Stoke Talking Points
The big question is how much longer John Eustace can ride this out, with Derby already two points adrift of safety. Losing Sondre Langås and asking Ryan Nyambe to play out of position at centre-back is a worry against a Stoke side whose strength is creating long-shot opportunities. Proud home record or not, our Derby vs Stoke prediction backs the visitors to leave Pride Park with the points.
Derby vs Stoke Predictions FAQs
When is the Derby vs Stoke English Championship game?
Derby vs Stoke kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026.
Where is Derby vs Stoke being played?
Derby vs Stoke is being played at Pride Park Stadium.
What competition is Derby vs Stoke in?
Derby vs Stoke is a match in the English Championship, 2026/2027 season.
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