Stevenage vs MK Dons: Lineups, Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Stevenage vs MK Dons Match Summary

Stevenage vs MK Dons at the SPORTA Arena pits one of League One's form sides against a team scrapping near the bottom, and the momentum gap is stark.

Stevenage arrive buoyant after a 3-0 home win over Plymouth on Tuesday night. Alex Revell's side have now won six of their last eight matches in all competitions.

MK Dons were beaten 2-0 at Blackpool in midweek, and Paul Warne's side have managed just one win from their opening 10 league fixtures. They are in a proper scrap.

There is nothing to split these two across their previous meetings, with two wins apiece and two draws. On current form, though, the gap between them looks far wider.

Stevenage vs MK Dons Form

Stevenage are flying, and the Plymouth result showed a side happy to control games in the opposition's half and go direct when it suits. Dan Kemp is the danger man from the number ten role, with five separate League One outings now producing 3+ shots apiece. With Magennis ahead of him, the hosts carry real menace.

MK Dons have failed to win 17 of their last 18 matches in League One, which is a grim run for a squad with this much attacking intent. Aaron Collins remains the bright spot, directly involved in a goal in five of his seven most recent League One appearances, but a leaky defence keeps leaving him too much to do.

Stevenage vs MK Dons Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Stevenage: J. Pattenden (Injured/out), J. Roberts (Injured/out), W. Marçal (Injured/out), L. Thompson (Injured/doubtful)

MK Dons: K. Wilson (Injured/out), R. Hepburn-Murphy (Injured/out), C. Paterson (Injured/out), C. MacGillivray (Injured/out), R. Barnett (Injured/out)

Stevenage

Louis Thompson will be checked over after picking up an injury against Plymouth in midweek, and Phoenix Patterson could step into the engine room if he misses out. Alex Revell could also recall Oliver Sanderson, while Pattenden, Roberts and Marçal remain sidelined. The probable Stevenage vs MK Dons lineups below reflect those calls.

MK Dons

Expect at least one change from Paul Warne, with Ben Wiles pushing for a recall in central midfield. A five-man injury list, including Hepburn-Murphy and MacGillivray, limits his options, so a probable 3-5-2 with Nombe and Collins up top looks the likeliest shape.

Stevenage vs MK Dons Predicted Lineup

Stevenage

Formation: 4-4-1-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: T. Setford; L. James-Wildin, T. Vancooten, C. Piergianni, S. Earley; O. Sanderson, D. Phillips, P. Patterson, B. Broggio; D. Kemp; J. Magennis

MK Dons

Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: W. Dennis; J. Sanders, M. Ekpiteta, C. Goode; S. Silvera, R. Wintle, A. Gilbey, B. Wiles, E. Campbell; S. Nombe, A. Collins

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Stevenage vs MK Dons Key Stats & Match Facts

• Aaron Collins has attempted 2+ shots in 7 of his last 7 apps (League One).

• Aaron Collins has attempted 2+ shots in 4 of his last 4 apps vs Stevenage (League One).

• Sam Nombe has committed 3+ fouls in 4 of his last 4 apps (League One).

• Daniel Phillips has been carded in 3 of his last 5 apps (League One).

• Saxon Earley has won 3+ fouls in 3 of his last 3 apps (League One).

Stevenage vs MK Dons Prediction & Best Bets

Our prediction: Stevenage to take the points in an open game where both sides find the net. That is our Stevenage vs MK Dons prediction, and the form, the table and the projections all lean towards the hosts, who carry a 46% win probability against 30% for the visitors. MK Dons have enough up top to score, but their struggles defending wide areas and long shots play straight into Stevenage's hands.

Best Bets

Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The model projects a high-scoring game at the SPORTA Arena. The projections have this game at 2.95 total goals. The AI probability on the overs sits at 56.6%, above the implied probability on offer, and it suits a Stevenage side on the front foot against a flimsy back line.

Both Teams To Score: Yes. Stevenage are projected to score 1.67 and MK Dons 1.29. The both teams to score probability comes out at 58.72%, ahead of what the price implies. MK Dons' defensive weaknesses hand Stevenage their goals, while Collins gives the visitors a genuine outlet at the other end.

Stevenage vs MK Dons Bet Builder

Our Stevenage vs MK Dons bet builder tips combine Aaron Collins to score, Stevenage or the draw, and both teams to score.

Collins has been directly involved in a goal across five of his past seven League One appearances, and MK Dons' habit of attacking through the middle puts him right where the goals come.

Stevenage or the draw has landed in 9 of the last 10 matches, and with the hosts in this kind of form, a home defeat looks a stretch.

Both teams to score has landed in 5 of MK Dons' last 7 matches, which squares with a side that struggles to defend but still carries a threat.

At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 11/2 and is as short as 4/1 elsewhere.

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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.

Stevenage vs MK Dons Talking Points

Alex Revell hailed the Plymouth win as one of the best performances of his time at the club, and the market has followed his lead. Stevenage have been backed in since the opening show while MK Dons have drifted, leaving the Stevenage vs MK Dons betting odds at 21/20 (Coral) for the home win and 3/1 (Betfair Sportsbook) for the visitors. The battle to watch is at set pieces. Both sides are strong attacking from dead balls, but Stevenage are dominant in the air and MK Dons are not, which could be where this messy, direct fixture is decided.

Stevenage vs MK Dons Predictions FAQs

When is the Stevenage vs MK Dons game?

Stevenage vs MK Dons is on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time.

Where is Stevenage vs MK Dons being played?

Stevenage vs MK Dons is being played at SPORTA Arena.

What competition is Stevenage vs MK Dons in?

Stevenage vs MK Dons is a League One match.

Disclaimer

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