Read our Newport County vs Grimsby prediction with expert betting tips, lineups, and odds preview as the two League Two sides face off at Rodney Parade.
Newport County vs Grimsby Match Summary
Competition | English League Two |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 26 September 2026 |
Match Time | 15:00 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Newport, Rodney Parade |
Any Newport County vs Grimsby prediction has to start with the gulf in form, as two sides heading in opposite directions meet at Rodney Parade in this fixture on Saturday 26 September in English League Two.
Newport County sit 19th, with six points from their opening seven fixtures under Hayden Mullins. The hosts are winless in six in the league, but head into this one unbeaten in their last three across all competitions.
Grimsby arrive third in the table, unbeaten in the 2026/27 league campaign after three wins and four draws. Only the fourth time in club history they have avoided defeat across their opening seven EFL fixtures.
The recent record between these two is remarkably tight. The last six head-to-head meetings have produced three draws and three away wins, and Newport have drawn their last three home matches against Grimsby in all competitions.
Newport County vs Grimsby Form
Newport have failed to win their last six in League Two, but they have steadied themselves lately, unbeaten in three across all competitions. That run took in a nil-nil draw at Accrington Stanley and a 2-0 EFL Trophy win at Swindon. Shaquille Gwengwe leads the line and their scoring with four league goals so far this season.
Grimsby are the form side, undefeated in their last eight League Two matches and up to third after back-to-back 2-0 home wins over Bristol Rovers and Crawley Town. The Mariners have scored at least two goals in each of their last five league outings, with Kieran Green in scintillating touch in the engine room.
Newport County vs Grimsby Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Newport County: J. Crole (Injured/out), H. Pugh (Injured/doubtful), T. Nyakuhwa (International duty)
Grimsby: J. Andrews (Injured/out), H. Cartwright (Injured/out), R. Staunton (Injured/out), D. Tharme (Injured/out), A. Cook (Injured/out), J. Walker (Injured/doubtful), M. Shelton (Injured/doubtful), G. Turi (International duty)
Newport County
Newport are without the injured J. Crole, while H. Pugh is a doubt and Tanatswa Nyakuhwa is away with Wales U21s. Shaquille Gwengwe pulled out of the Malawi squad and is available, so Hayden Mullins can call on his leading marksman and Michael Adu-Poku here.
Grimsby
Grimsby have a lengthy list to manage, with J. Andrews, H. Cartwright, R. Staunton, D. Tharme and Andy Cook all injured. Midfield duo Jamie Walker and Mark Shelton face late fitness checks, while Géza Dávid Turi is away on international duty with the Faroe Islands.
Newport County vs Grimsby Predicted Lineup
Newport County
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: J. Wright; J. Thomas, K. Cameron, L. Jenkins; M. Jacob, C. Brennan, M. Dibley-Dias, C. Norman; H. Biggins, M. Adu-Poku; S. Gwengwe
Grimsby
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: C. Pym; J. Sweeney, M. Kacurri, C. McJannet, H. Rodgers; K. Green; C. Vernam, C. Doyle, F. Cartwright, S. Finch; I. Morgan
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Newport County vs Grimsby Key Stats & Match Facts
Newport have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 12 home matches against Grimsby in all competitions.
Newport have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their last 12 home matches against Grimsby in all competitions.
Grimsby are undefeated in their last eight matches against Newport in all competitions.
Grimsby have scored at least two goals in their last five matches in League Two.
Kieran Green has scored or assisted in each of his last five League Two appearances.
Newport County vs Grimsby Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Grimsby are favourites here at 19/20 with Coral, and their 49.07% win implied probability makes them the pick. But this is a fixture that keeps producing tight, low-scoring affairs at Rodney Parade, and with the draw a genuine factor we lean towards a cagey Mariners edge. The projected scoreline is 1-2 in Grimsby's favour.
Best Bets
Back 'No' in the Both Teams To Score market at Rodney Parade. This one carries a healthy value edge, and it is backed hard by history. Newport have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their last 12 home meetings with Grimsby in all competitions, so one end staying quiet is well within range.
Back Under 2.5 Goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The numbers put Under 2.5 at a 52.73% implied probability, and the trend is emphatic. Every one of the last 12 meetings between these clubs at Newport has finished under 2.5 goals, so the pattern is hard to argue with.
Newport County vs Grimsby Bet Builder
For the Newport County vs Grimsby bet builder tips we have gone four legs deep: Kieran Green anytime, Over 1.5 total away goals, the Draw and Grimsby or the Draw in the Double Chance.
Kieran Green to score anytime is the standout leg, with the Grimsby man having found the net in each of his last three League Two appearances heading into this one.
Over 1.5 in the Total Away Goals market looks sound given Grimsby have scored two or more goals in each of their last five matches in League Two.
The Draw in the Win Market fits the pattern too, with Newport having drawn each of their last three home matches against Grimsby in all competitions.
Grimsby or the Draw in the Double Chance provides cover across two possible outcomes, leaning on the Mariners being undefeated in their last eight matches against Newport in all competitions.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 25/1 and is as short as 17/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Newport County vs Grimsby Talking Points
This is a classic case of form meeting fortress. Grimsby are flying, undefeated in eight in League Two and full of goals, but Rodney Parade has been a stubborn place for them. Newport remain undefeated at home in the league this season, and Hayden Mullins has spoken about keeping his defensive discipline while pressing aggressively. Grimsby manager David Artell has noted that Newport's low possession figures are down to direct restarts from goal kicks rather than any passive philosophy, so expect a direct, messy contest that stays low on goals, exactly the sort of afternoon these fixtures tend to serve up. If Grimsby's engine room can create through Kieran Green, they will fancy their chances, but Newport have made a habit of frustrating the Mariners on their own patch.
Newport County vs Grimsby Predictions FAQs
When is the Newport County vs Grimsby English League Two game?
Newport County vs Grimsby kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 26 September 2026.
Where is Newport County vs Grimsby being played?
The match is being played at Rodney Parade in Newport.
What competition is Newport County vs Grimsby in?
Newport County vs Grimsby is being played in English League Two.
What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Grimsby?
The projected scoreline is 1-2 in Grimsby's favour.
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