The EV Eagle picked out three winning bets in yesterday's column and is back with five angles for Freiburg vs Villa.
Freiburg vs Aston Villa
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Tuesday's Results:
Cole Palmer Over 2.5 Shots vs Tottenham - 1.5pts - WON (7/5)
Cole Palmer Over 3.5 Shots vs Tottenham - 0.5pts - LOST
Nico O’Reilly 2+ Shots vs Bournemouth - 1pt - WON (6/4)
Tyler Adams 2+ Fouls vs Man City - 1pt - WON (11/10)
Kevin Danso To Be Shown a Card vs Chelsea - 0.75pts - LOST
Jeremy Doku Anytime Goalscorer vs Bournemouth - 0.75pts - LOST
2025/26 Season P/L: +20.48pts
Wednesday's Europa League Final Tips
| Tip | Stake |
|---|---|
| Freiburg vs Aston Villa Bet Builder | 0.25pts |
| Youri Tielemans 2+ Fouls | 1pt |
| Johan Manzambi 1+ Shot on Target | 1pt |
| John McGinn 2+ Shots | 1pt |
| Ollie Watkins Anytime Goalscorer | 1pt |
Freiburg vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip
Johan Manzambi - 1+ Shot on Target
Youri Tielamans - 1+ Foul Committed
John McGinn - 2+ Shots
Ollie Watkins - Anytime Goalscorer
The bet builder is a best price of 12/1 with BetMGM when publishing. Best Super Sub odds of 10/1 with bet36.
Johan Manzambi - 1+ Shot on Target (1pt)
Best odds of 11/10 with Sky Bet / Paddy Power.
Johan Manzambi looks a strong shot-on-target play after landing 1+ SOT in seven of his 11 starts, including five shots on target across his previous four Europa League matches.
With at least one central midfielder recording a shot on target against Villa in four of their last six matches, Manzambi’s role, form and confidence make 1+ SOT a very backable line.
Youri Tielemans Over 1.5 Fouls vs Freiburg (1pt)
Best odds of 7/5 with BetMGM.
Youri Tielemans appeals for Over 1.5 Fouls in what should be a high-intensity Europa League final midfield battle. The matchup with Manzambi is key, with the Freiburg midfielder averaging 3.38 fouls won per 90 this season.
Tielemans has committed 2+ fouls in three of his last five Villa starts and in four of his previous seven European starts for the club, so he is no stranger to defensive involvement in this tournament.
Villa and Freiburg are the two top-scoring sides in this season’s competition, which should create plenty of transition moments. With at least one central midfielder committing 2+ fouls against Freiburg in seven of their last eight matches, Tielemans looks well placed to clear this line.
John McGinn 2+ Shots vs Freiburg (1pt)
Best odds of 1/1 with bet365 / Boyle Sports.
John McGinn looks a solid 2+ shots angle after averaging three shots per game across his last three starts, scoring twice in that run. His European profile also supports the bet, with 2+ shots landing in 10 of his 17 European starts for Villa, showing he is not shy of taking responsibility in these bigger continental fixtures.
There is a matchup angle as well, with right wingers/forwards recording shot totals of 1, 4, 3, 2, 2, 1 against Freiburg in recent matches. Given Villa are the Europa League’s top scorers this season with 28 goals, McGinn should have enough attacking involvement to reach two efforts.
Ollie Watkins Anytime Goalscorer vs Freiburg (1pt)
Best odds of 29/20 with BetVictor / Ladbrokes / Coral.
Ollie Watkins is the obvious Villa goalscorer angle after scoring 10 goals in his last 12 starts, including four in his last three and five in his last five Europa League starts.
Watkins also warmed up perfectly for this final by scoring twice against Liverpool as Villa sealed Champions League qualification domestically. With Unai Emery’s side chasing a first major trophy in 30 years and Watkins operating as their central striker, he looks well placed to add another big-game goal.
