Lille host Aston Villa in a compelling Europa League Round of 16 first leg at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Villa, who finished second in the league phase, face a Lille side that advanced past Red Star Belgrade in the playoffs.
Lille vs Aston Villa Form and Head to Head
Lille approach this European encounter following a 1-1 draw against Lorient in their last Ligue 1 outing. Over their last six matches across all competitions, the French side has recorded three wins, two draws, and one loss, demonstrating a mixed bag of results. Their recent form includes a crucial 2-0 away victory in the Europa League against FK Crvena Zvezda, showcasing their ability to perform on the continental stage, alongside domestic wins against Nantes and draws against Brest.
Aston Villa's recent form paints a less encouraging picture. Their last match saw them suffer a heavy 1-4 home defeat to Chelsea in the Premier League. The Villans have endured a challenging run domestically, with only one win from their last six matches. This period includes losses to Wolves and Newcastle (in the FA Cup), and draws against Leeds and Bournemouth. Their sole victory in this sequence came against Brighton in the Premier League.
The previous encounter between these two sides was a dramatic affair in the Conference League, where Lille secured a 2-1 victory at home. However, Aston Villa ultimately progressed in the tie after a penalty shootout.
Looking at their limited history, these two clubs have met only four times previously. In these encounters, Lille holds a slight edge with two wins, one draw, and one loss in regular time, while Aston Villa has one win, one draw, and two losses. Their other meetings date back to the Intertoto Cup in 2002, where Lille registered an away win and a home draw against the English outfit.
Who is the Betting Favourite in Lille vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa are clear betting favourites to beat Lille. Latest odds imply roughly a 42% chance of a Villa win, around 30% for the draw, and 28% for Lille.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Lille | 12/5 | AK Bets |
| Aston Villa | 132/100 | BresBet |
| Draw | 14/5 | bet365 |
BresBet
Lille vs Aston Villa Team News
Lille face several injury concerns ahead of this crucial tie. The hosts will be without Marc-Aurèle Caillard (elbow), Osame Sahraoui (groin), Hamza Igamane (ACL), Ethan Mbappé Lottin (thigh), and Ousmane Touré (knee). Goalkeeper Berke Özer, centre-backs Aïssa Mandi and Nathan Ngoy, and midfielder Ayyoub Bouaddi are all walking a disciplinary tightrope, being one booking away from suspension, but are expected to start. Romain Perraud is set to continue at left-back, with Nabil Bentaleb featuring in midfield. Veteran striker Olivier Giroud, who has netted four of his nine goals this season in European competition, is expected to lead the line.
Aston Villa also contend with significant absentee issues. Youri Tielemans (ankle), Boubacar Kamara (knee), and Andres Garcia (thigh) are all ruled out. John McGinn remains a doubt as he recovers from a knee problem, while Matty Cash (calf) and Harvey Elliott will undergo late fitness assessments. Ross Barkley is unavailable as he was omitted from their Europa League squad, meaning Amadou Onana and Douglas Luiz are likely to partner in central midfield. Morgan Rogers is expected to operate in an advanced role, and Ollie Watkins should start up front. Jadon Sancho is pushing for a recall on the right flank.
Lille vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups
Lille (4-3-3): Özer; Perraud, Mandi, Ngoy, Santos; André, Bouaddi, Bentaleb; Correia, Giroud, Haraldsson
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Martínez; Maatsen, Konsa, Mings, Cash; Luiz, Onana; Rogers, Buendía, Sancho; Watkins
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Lille vs Aston Villa Match Prediction
This Europa League Round of 16 clash at Stade Pierre-Mauroy should be tightly fought. Aston Villa bring proven European nous under Unai Emery, who boasts a perfect last-16 knockout record, excelling from set pieces, clinical finishing and counter attacks. Yet their patchy domestic run exposes frailties against tricky wide attackers.
Lille under Bruno Génésio rely on individual flair and wide play for chances, with a habit of late fightbacks. They struggle to hold leads however, and remain open to long-range strikes.
Villa's dead-ball threat may trouble Lille, while the hosts' final-third invention guarantees openings. Both carry dangers alongside flaws, pointing to a cautious first leg draw.
Prediction: Lille 1-1 Aston Villa
Lille vs Aston Villa Match Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Lille vs Aston Villa.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Benjamin Andre has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 5 of their last 7 games.
Best odds of 22/25 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Matias Fernandez has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in 8 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 5/6 at bet365 while publishing.
Romain Perraud has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 8 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 3/4 at Betway while publishing.
Morgan Rogers has exceeded 2.5 Shots in 3 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 59/50 at VirginBet while publishing.
Tyrone Mings has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 5 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 23/20 at Coral while publishing.
Lille vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip
Our Lille vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip is:
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Yes - Both Teams To Score
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M. Fernandez Over 1.5 - Shots
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M. Rogers Over 1.5 - Fouls Won
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Over 3.5 - Total Cards
Best odds of 6/1 at bet365 while publishing.
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