How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterday's Results:

Nicolas Domínguez – Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt - WON @ 10/13
Yeremy Pino – Over 1.5 Shots - 1pt - WON @ 17/20
Harry Wilson – Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1pt - LOST
Kevin Schade – Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1 pt - WON @ 5/6
Oliver McBurnie – Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1pt - LOST

Running P/L: 9pts

Torino v AS Roma

Tip 1: Bryan Cristante Over 1.5 Fouls - 1.5pt

Bryan Cristante brings combative edge to midfield, clearing 1.5 fouls in seven of his last 10 games with figures of 3,3,3,1,3 in the most recent five. Averaging 1.6 per match this season, he's EV Eagle's top pick and primed for action in a scrap-filled clash.

Augsburg v Freiburg

Tip 2: Anton Kade - Over 1.5 Shots - 1pt

Best odds of 17/20 at Bet Victor while publishing.

Anton Kade fires freely up top, hitting 1.5+ shots in five of eight recent games (1,4,0,4,1 in five; sub in last). His shooting threat persists from start or bench, landing this leg with strong 77% AI probability and 37% EV.

Aston Villa v Everton

Tip 3: Youri Tielemans Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt

Best odds of 8/11 at Coral while publishing.

Youri Tielemans dominates defensively, surpassing 1.5 tackles in nine of his last 10 outings (2,4,4,1,4 in five) at a 2.3 seasonal average. With Everton threats like Grealish and Garner probing, expect him to rack up challenges and beyond (AI prob 80%, EV 39%).

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Lecce v AC Milan

Tip 4: Jamil Siebert - Over 1.5 Fouls - 0.5pt

Best odds of 59/50 at Virgin Bet while publishing.

Jamil Siebert asserts himself aggressively at centre-back, clearing 1.5 fouls in all three of his last games and averaging three per game this season despite limited outings. His physical style ensures this leg clicks reliably against Milan's attackers.

Lyon vs Brest

Tip 5 - Daouda Guindo - Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt

Best odds of 21/20 at Coral while publishing.

Daouda Guindo consistently tests the keeper, landing 0.5+ shots in five of his last six games with figures of 1,1,2,0,1 across the most recent five outings. His season average sits at 0.5 shots per game, while EV Eagle AI projects 0.6 here, making this a sharp, high-hit-rate leg for the bet builder. Expect him to find space for at least one effort in this matchup.