In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five of the best EV bets from today's football.

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterday's Results:

Joao Gomes – Over 1.5 Fouls vs West Ham - 1pt - LOST
Piero Hincapié – Over 1.5 Tackles vs Bournemouth - 1pt - WON
Zeki Celik – Over 0.5 Shots vs Atalanta - 1pt - LOST
Juan Foyth – Over 1.5 Tackles vs Elche - 1pt - VOID
Valentin Rongier – Over 0.5 Shots vs Lille - 1.5pt - LOST 

Running P/L: +8.8 pts

Man City v Chelsea

Tip 1: Joao Pedro - Over 1.5 Shots - 1pt

Best odds of even at William Hill while publishing.

Joao Pedro consistently tests goalkeepers from multiple angles for Chelsea. He averages 1.92 shots per game this season and has taken 2, 3, 2, 1 shots in his last four PL games. With Chelsea pushing for European spots and Cole Palmer's return boosting creativity, expect Pedro to remain central to their goalscoring chances.

(AI Probability 70.71%, Implied 50%, EV 41.42%)

Newcastle v Crystal Palace

Tip 2: Yeremy Pino - Over 1.5 Shots - 1.5pt

Best odds of 23/20 at Virgin Bet while publishing.

Yeremy Pino thrives on Crystal Palace's right flank, cutting inside for regular shots. He has cleared 2+ shots in his last five league games while averaging 1.6 attempts per match. Newcastle's high line leaves space for Pino to fire off at least two efforts. EV Eagle gives this 55.75% probability versus 46.3% implied odds, yielding 20.42% EV.

Fulham v Liverpool

Tip 3: Virgil van Dijk - Over 0.5 Shots - 2pt

Best odds of 17/20 at Coral while publishing.

Virgil van Dijk rules Liverpool's set pieces, rising highest on corners and free kicks. He averages 0.8 shots per game this season and has taken 6 shots across his last five starts. Fulham's shaky set-piece defence makes this a lock for at least one header. EV Eagle predicts 66.23% probability against 54.05% implied odds for 22.53% EV.

Tottenham v Sunderland

Tip 4: Rodrigo Bentancur - Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt

Best odds of 4/5 at bet365 while publishing.

Rodrigo Bentancur drives Tottenham's midfield press with relentless energy, averaging 1.96 tackles per 90 minutes and clearing 2+ tackles in 80% of his Premier League starts this season. His recent form shows 0, 2, 2, 3, 2 tackles across the last five games, including three home starts with exactly 2 tackles each time. Facing Sunderland's counter-attacking style at home, Bentancur should thrive in broken play. EV Eagle's top pick today rates this at 71.88% probability (29.38% EV vs 55.56% implied).

Everton v Brentford

Tip 5: Jake OBrien - Over 1.5 Tackles - 1.5pt

Best odds of 11/10 at bet365 while publishing.

Jake O'Brien brings physicality to Everton's defence, frequently winning duels in midfield areas. The Irish centre-back averages 1.4 tackles per game in the Premier League and has cleared this line in all four previous outings. Brentford's pacy forwards like Igor Thiago should provide ample tackling opportunities at home at 54.63% AI probability (14.72% EV).