EV Eagle Picks Four Betting Tips for New Year's Day PL Action

In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five of the best EV bets from today's football.

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Crystal Palace vs Fulham

Tip 1: Antonee Robinson - Over 2.5 Tackles - 0.5pt

Best odds of 10/11 at bet365 during publishing.

Antonee Robinson has landed over 2.5 tackles in five of his last 10 matches, including four of his most recent away games, highlighting his defensive workload on the road and making this a solid bet builder selection. Since returning from injury, he has recorded four tackles in each of his last three matches, while his average of 2.57 tackles per game last season, combined with his improving form, increases the likelihood of this bet builder leg landing again.

Tip 2: Dominik Szoboszlai - Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1pt

Best odds of 9/10 at BetMGM while publishing.

Dominik Szoboszlai has landed over 0.5 shots on target in seven of his last 10 games, including four of his last five appearances at Anfield. While his season average sits at a modest 0.6 shots on target due to playing in multiple roles for Liverpool, his output improves significantly when deployed in midfield, averaging one shot on target per game across his last four matches in that position.

Tip 3: Nico Gonzalez - Over 1.5 Fouls - 1pt

Best odds of 11/10 at BetMGM during publishing.

Nico González looks well placed to clear over 1.5 fouls given his recent form and role within the side. He has gone over this line in seven of his last 10 matches and has also done so in four of his last five away games, where he tends to play with greater intensity.

González is averaging 1.5 fouls per match across the season, rising to 1.7 per game away from home, underlining the situational value. His numbers have increased further in recent weeks, committing 1, 2, 3, 3 and 2 fouls in his last five outings, an average of 2.2 fouls per game, which suggests this line remains well within reach.

Tip 4: Micky van de Ven - Over 0.5 Fouls - 1.5pt

Best odds of 4/5 at Betway while publishing.

Micky van de Ven has gone over 0.5 fouls in seven of his last 10 appearances, showing a consistent baseline for this line. He is averaging 0.8 fouls per game this season, and while his overall recent figures read 0, 1, 0, 1 and 2 fouls across his last five matches, his numbers increase notably in away fixtures. In his last five games on the road, van de Ven has committed 0, 1, 3, 4 and 0 fouls, suggesting his defensive workload and physical involvement rise away from home, making this bet builder leg a viable option.