
The EV Eagle picks out four value bets from Sunday's football action across Europe after 3/4 wins yesterday.
The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker!
In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers.
In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five of the best EV bets from today's football.
How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?
When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Yesterdays Results:
Maxence Lacroix – Over 1.5 Tackles - 1.5pt - WON @ 5/6
Declan Rice – Over 0.5 Fouls - 0.5pt - LOST
Curtis Jones – Over 0.5 Fouls - 1pt - WON @ 1/1
Andrea Cambiaso – Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt - WON @ 11/10
Alex Grimaldo – Over 0.5 Fouls - 1.5pt - VOID
Aston Villa vs Man United
Tip 1: Ezri Konsa - Over 0.5 Fouls - 1pt
Best odds of 11/10 at bet365 while publishing.
Ezri Konsa looks set to rack up at least one foul against Manchester United's slick attackers. He's already committed two fouls across his last two outings and sits on a steady 0.5 fouls per game average this season. United boast some real foul magnets up top, with Bruno Fernandes drawing 1.5 per match, Cunha pulling in 1.7, and Mount at 0.7, so Konsa will have his hands full marking them. Throw in a potential physical showdown with Sesko if he starts, and this feels like a banker for the bet builder at those odds.
Genoa vs Atalanta
Tip 2: Charles De Ketelaere - Over 2.5 Shots - 1.5pt
Best odds of 11/10 at Paddy Power while publishing.
Charles De Ketelaere has turned into a shot machine lately, averaging a whopping 3 shots per game over his last five outings after sitting at 1.8 for the season. Those numbers break down to 4, 3, 5, 3, and even a quiet 0, showing he's ramping up the attacking intent big time. With Atalanta desperate to grab points off bottom-half Genoa and push up the table, expect him to keep firing from all angles in this one.
Real Betis vs Getafe
Tip 3: Juan Iglesias - Over 0.5 Shots - 0.5pt
Best odds of 11/10 at Unibet while publishing.
Juan Iglesias is racking up shots like few centre-backs do, hitting 0.7 per game this season and a scorching 1.6 average over his last five outings. That's 1, 2, 2, 1, and 2 shots across those matches, proving he's got a real knack for getting forward. Facing a Celta Vigo side short on height, he should find space to ping in another one and clear this bet builder leg with ease.
Fiorentina vs Udinese
Tip 4: Fabiano Parisi - Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt
Best odds of 21/20 at SpreadEx while publishing.
Fabiano Parisi is primed to notch at least one shot, with a recent run of 1, 0, 1, 2, and 0 across his last five games showing he's pushing forward more aggressively. That uptick in attacking positions gives him prime chances to test the keeper. Udinese's leaky defense has shipped 22 goals already, so expect him to capitalize on the space and fire one in for this solid bet builder leg.








