The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker! 

In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five of the best EV bets from today's football.

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham

Tip 1: Tyrick Mitchell - Over 0.5 Fouls - 1pt

Best odds of 17/20 at Coral while publishing.

Tyrick Mitchell has committed at least one foul in seven of his last nine appearances, showing a consistent pattern of defensive involvement. While his season average sits at 0.6 fouls per game, his recent form has seen that rise to 1.2 per match over the last five outings (1, 2, 1, 0, 2 fouls).

With an AI probability of 75.5% and implied odds suggesting 54.05%, this selection offers solid value. Overall, it looks like a strong option to include in a bet builder.

Sunderland vs Leeds

Tip 2: Ethan Ampadu - Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt

Best odds of 23/20 at 10bet while publishing.

Ethan Ampadu has registered at least one shot in six of his last ten Premier League matches for Leeds United. Recent outings show shots in 5 of the last 9 games listed (0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1), with a season total of 9 shots across 15 appearances at an average of 0.61 per 90 minutes. This defensive midfielder's willingness to venture forward makes over 0.5 shots a reliable bet builder inclusion.

Tip 3: Matteo Politano - Over 0.5 Fouls - 1pt

Best odds of 8/11 at Coral while publishing.

Matteo Politano has committed over 0.5 fouls in 6 of his last 10 Serie A appearances for Napoli, with fouls recorded in games against Sassuolo (1), Cagliari (0), Fiorentina (1), Pisa (0), Milan (0), Genoa (0), Torino (0), Inter (1), Lecce (1), and Como (1).

His season average stands at 0.5 fouls per match across 8 league outings, totaling around 4-7 fouls depending on the source, which aligns with a modest but consistent defensive output. Facing Cremonese's pacy wingers should draw him into additional challenges.

Tip 4: Marcus Thuram - Over 0.5 Tackles - 1.5pt

Best odds of 5/6 available at bet365 while publishing.

Marcus Thuram has made at least one tackle in 5 of his last 9 Serie A games for Inter, with recent form showing tackles in 4 of the last 6 outings listed (fouls often proxy for defensive actions: 4,5,1,0,3,2). Season stats reveal 5 tackles across 10 appearances (0.70 per 90 minutes), reflecting his forward role but active pressing involvement. With AI probability at 66.37% versus 54.56% implied, this leg carries 21.66% EV and fits well in bet builders.