Read our Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction with betting tips, lineups, and odds analysis for Sunday's clash. Get the latest bet builder value picks.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Match Summary
Competition | German Bundesliga |
|---|---|
Match Date | Sunday 20 September 2026 |
Match Time | 18:30 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Home Deluxe Arena |
Broadcast (TV / Streaming / Radio / Bookmaker Streaming) | Sky Calcio |
Promoted Paderborn welcome TSG Hoffenheim to the Home Deluxe Arena on Sunday, two sides heading in different directions as the visitors arrive fancied to take all three points.
Paderborn are back in the German Bundesliga for the 2026-27 campaign under Ralf Kettemann, but a brutal start has left them yet to score in their first three league fixtures.
Hoffenheim, guided by Christian Ilzer, come off a 2-0 Europa League defeat away to OFI Crete on 17 September, but landed their first league win of the season over VfB Stuttgart beforehand.
The history reads well for the visitors, who are undefeated in their last six matches against Paderborn in all competitions, adding weight to the away side's billing as favourites.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Form
Grim reading for the hosts. Paderborn have failed to win their last 18 matches in the Bundesliga and have been losing at both half time and full time in six of their last seven. They have also failed to score in their last three league outings, most recently in a 3-0 defeat at Borussia Dortmund. Finishing chances is the clear weakness in this side.
Hoffenheim have lost three of their last four games in all competitions, including that OFI Crete reverse, but the attacking numbers pop. Die Kraichgauer have scored at least two goals in their last three Bundesliga matches and hit 15+ shots in each. Adam Daghim has scored or assisted in three straight league appearances, while Adam Hlozek carries the goal threat up top.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Paderborn: L. N. Awortwie-Grant (Injured/out), L. Curda (Injured/doubtful), S. Klaas (Unfit), S. Michel (Unfit), L. Eickel (Unfit)
TSG Hoffenheim: No known injuries or suspensions
Paderborn
Laurin Curda picked up a knock last time out and is rated doubtful, though he is expected to be available. Beyond that, Awortwie-Grant is injured while Klaas, Michel and Eickel are all listed as unfit. Kettemann could otherwise name an unchanged starting XI.
TSG Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim have a clean bill of health for Sunday's Bundesliga game. Alexander Prass returned to the squad for Thursday's Europa League tie, while Bambase Conte and Adam Daghim should come back into the side after being benched against OFI Crete.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Predicted Lineup
Paderborn
Formation: 3-5-2
Predicted Starting Lineup: Noll; Hansen, Scheller, t. Horst; Obermair, Vidovic, Castañeda, Ulrich, Curda; Pieringer, Marino
TSG Hoffenheim
Formation: 4-4-2
Predicted Starting Lineup: Baumann; Rots, Kabak, Hajdari, Coufal; Daghim, Burger, Avdullahu, Conté; Lemperle, Hlozek
Check out all the latest oddschecker Free Bets & Sign-Up Offers for Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Key Stats & Match Facts
Paderborn have failed to win their last 18 matches in the Bundesliga.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of Hoffenheim's last 11 games in the Bundesliga.
Hoffenheim have scored at least two goals in their last three matches in the Bundesliga.
Paderborn have seen under 2.5 goals in five of their last six matches against Hoffenheim in all competitions.
There have been 9+ shots on target in three of the last three meetings between Paderborn and Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: This is Hoffenheim's game to lose. The visitors are favourites at 3/4 with Ladbrokes, and with Paderborn goalless in three league games and winless in 18, our prediction is a 0-1 away win. Die Kraichgauer's attacking output should be enough to see off a stubborn but toothless host.
Best Bets
Marvin Pieringer to commit over 1.5 fouls in the Player Fouls market. Leading the line for a side that struggles to keep the ball, Pieringer carries a standout 70.63% projected probability to rack up at least two fouls, and that reads as real value against the bookmaker pricing.
Tim Lemperle to record over 3.5 shots in the Player Shots market. With Hoffenheim expected to control the play and generate serious attacking volume, Lemperle holds a 62.82% projected probability to clear 3.5 total shots leading the line for the favourites.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Bet Builder
Our four-leg bet builder leans into Hoffenheim's attacking tempo: over 1.5 away goals, Ozan Kabak to be carded, Adam Daghim over 0.5 assists and over 11.5 total corners.
Hoffenheim have scored 2+ goals in three of their last three Bundesliga matches, so backing the visitors to net over 1.5 away goals against a leaky host sits nicely at the top.
Ozan Kabak has been carded in two of his last three Bundesliga appearances, and with Paderborn set to counter, the centre-back could be dragged into another booking here.
Adam Daghim has provided assists in two of his last three league appearances and is in the sort of form that makes the over 0.5 assists leg a live one.
With both teams attacking down the wings and Hoffenheim's high tempo, over 11.5 total corners rounds off the ticket as the continuous pressure drives the count up.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 40/1 and is as short as 40/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Talking Points
The big question for the hosts is simple: can they finally find the net? Paderborn head into Matchday 4 still chasing their first goal of the season after three blanks, and finishing is the glaring flaw in this squad. Hoffenheim will be desperate for a reaction after their 2-0 European defeat to OFI Crete, with captain Oliver Baumann publicly calling for a mental reset. The visitors have the firepower to punish, and Adam Hlozek looks the man to do it after his brace saw off VfB Stuttgart. Expect the away side to dominate the ball and the shot count, with Paderborn's stubbornness the only thing standing between them and another defeat.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Predictions FAQs
When is the Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim German Bundesliga game?
The match kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:30 UK time.
Where is Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim being played?
The match is being played at the Home Deluxe Arena.
Where can I watch Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim?
The match is broadcast live on Sky Calcio.
What competition is Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim in?
The fixture is part of the German Bundesliga.
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