Get the best Roma vs Fiorentina prediction, lineups, betting tips and odds. Read our full preview and bet builder picks for Monday's Italian Serie A clash.
Roma vs Fiorentina Match Summary
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Match Date | Monday 24 August 2026 |
Match Time | 19:45 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Rome, Stadio Olimpico |
Serie A gets going with a heavyweight opener as Roma host Fiorentina at the Stadio Olimpico. Our Roma vs Fiorentina prediction leans firmly towards the hosts.
Roma go into this one as clear favourites and with a home record against Fiorentina that reads almost flawless. The Giallorossi will fancy three points to launch the campaign in front of their own crowd.
Fiorentina arrive full of belief, dropping just once in their last 11 league outings. A trip to the capital is a stern early test, but they will not be short of confidence heading in.
The recent history is one-sided. Roma have won six of their last seven home meetings with Fiorentina in all competitions, including a 4-0 rout at the Olimpico last May.
Roma vs Fiorentina Form
Roma have hit the ground running, winning their last five Serie A matches, keeping a clean sheet in five of their last seven in the league and scoring at least twice in each of those last five. Pre-season was patchy, just one win in five friendlies, but the defensive base looks stubborn with Paulo Dybala pulling the strings up top.
Fiorentina are the form side elsewhere, going undefeated in 10 of their last 11 fixtures in the Italian top flight and warming up with a 4-1 win over Benevento in the Coppa Italia Round of 64. The caveat is at the sharp end: under 2.5 goals landed in eight of their last nine league games, though Moise Kean carries a real threat.
Roma vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Roma: L. Pellegrini (Injured/out), M. Bah (Injured/out)
Fiorentina: F. Parisi (Injured/out)
Roma
Roma line up in a 3-4-2-1 with Mile Svilar behind a back three of Gianluca Mancini, Evan N'Dicka and Mario Hermoso. Bryan Cristante and Manu Koné anchor the engine room, with Nahuel Molina and Wesley wide. Matías Soulé and Paulo Dybala support Donyell Malen. Lorenzo Pellegrini and Bah miss out through injury.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina are set up in a 4-4-1-1 with David de Gea confirmed in goal. João Mário, Radu Drăgușin, Luca Ranieri and Valdepeñas form the back four, with Cher Ndour, Nicolò Fagioli, Oulaï and Atta across midfield. Albert Gudmundsson operates just off lone striker Moise Kean. Fabiano Parisi is ruled out.
Roma vs Fiorentina Predicted Lineup
Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: Svilar; Mancini, Ndicka, Hermoso; Molina, Cristante, Koné, Wesley; Dybala, Soulé; Malen
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-4-1-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: De Gea; João Mário, Dragusin, Ranieri, Valde; Atta, Fagioli, Oulaï, Ndour; Gudmundsson; Kean
Roma vs Fiorentina Key Stats & Match Facts
Roma have won six of their last seven home matches against Fiorentina in all competitions.
Roma have been winning at both half time and full time in 6 of their last 7 home matches against Fiorentina in all competitions.
Roma have won their last five Serie A matches and scored at least twice in each of them.
Fiorentina are undefeated in 10 of their last 11 Serie A matches, but under 2.5 goals landed in eight of their last nine Serie A games.
Fiorentina have received 2+ cards in each of their last 10 meetings with Roma in Serie A.
Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Roma are the clear favourites here and the numbers point to a home win with goals in it. We make it a 2-1 Roma victory, with the hosts' recent scoring form and dominant record at the Olimpico too much for a Fiorentina side that will still make their presence felt going forward. Roma are 3/4 with AK Bets to take the three points.
Best Bets
Backing Over 2.5 Goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market for Roma against Fiorentina. The projected total for this fixture comes out at 2.86 goals, Roma 1.86 and Fiorentina 1.01, which nudges Over 2.5 into positive value territory. With Roma scoring at least twice in each of their last five Serie A games, the goals should flow.
Selecting Yes in the Both Teams To Score market at the Stadio Olimpico. The projected scoreline points to goals at both ends, with a 53.56% implied probability attached to both teams finding the net. Roma's attack is firing, and Kean gives Fiorentina a genuine outlet even on their travels.
Roma vs Fiorentina Bet Builder
Our four-leg Roma vs Fiorentina bet builder tips lean on Moise Kean's record against Roma and the fiery nature of this fixture, combining his shots, shots on target, a card, and Roma cards.
Kean Over 2.5 shots is the anchor. The striker has attempted 3+ shots in each of his last three appearances against Roma in Serie A, so the volume is there.
Kean Over 0.5 shots on target follows naturally. He has recorded 1+ shot on target in each of his last four outings against Roma in Serie A, a reliable second leg.
Roma Over 1.5 team cards fits the pattern. The hosts have landed Over 1.5 cards in each of their last eight meetings with Fiorentina, a feisty fixture by nature.
Kean to be carded rounds it off. He has been booked in two of his last three appearances against Roma in Serie A, and this is rarely a quiet afternoon for either side.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 11/1 and is as short as 15/2 elsewhere. That's a difference in potential winnings of £35 from best to worst price.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builder with Oddschecker's Exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.
Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Roma vs Fiorentina Talking Points
This one always has an edge to it, and the discipline stats tell the story. Fiorentina have picked up 2+ cards in each of their last 10 Serie A meetings with Roma, so expect a physical, niggly contest. Roma's home dominance is the headline, six wins from their last seven home meetings in all competitions and a 4-0 hammering last May, but Fiorentina's impressive run with only one defeat in their last 11 league games means they arrive with belief. Moise Kean is the man to watch for the visitors, a real handful who has consistently troubled the Roma defence, while Paulo Dybala pulling the strings behind Donyell Malen gives the hosts the guile to unlock a stubborn back four.
Roma vs Fiorentina Predictions FAQs
What is the prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina?
Our preview offers complete analysis for Roma vs Fiorentina, including team news, stats, and recommended betting tips. Check the best bets section above for our top selections.
Where is Roma vs Fiorentina being played?
The match will take place at Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
Where can I find the lineups for Roma vs Fiorentina?
Predicted lineups and team news for both Roma and Fiorentina are updated in our match preview ahead of kick-off.
What are the latest betting odds for Roma vs Fiorentina?
Latest betting odds for Roma vs Fiorentina across match winner, total goals, and bet builder markets are available in our match summary and odds tables.
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