Get our Fiorentina vs Frosinone prediction, team news, lineups and match odds. Discover top bet builder tips and expert analysis for this Italian Serie A clash.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone Match Summary
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 29 August 2026 |
Match Time | 17:30 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Florence, Artemio Franchi |
A familiar Serie A meeting lands at the Artemio Franchi as Fiorentina host Frosinone, with the hosts firmly favoured by the market to make home advantage count. Our Fiorentina vs Frosinone prediction leans towards the hosts.
Fabio Grosso, appointed Fiorentina head coach on 3 June 2026, wants his side to show humility after their opening result. He shapes them in a 4-3-2-1 built around Mateo Pellegrino up top.
Frosinone arrive with a clean bill of health and set up in a 4-3-3, leaning on the width of Kvernadze and Fini and the physical presence of Raimondo to trouble the home rearguard.
The last time these two met, Fiorentina ran out 5-1 winners in Serie A on 11 February 2024. Across the six previous meetings, the record reads two home wins, three draws and one away win.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone Form
Fiorentina have been a real handful going forward in this fixture, having managed 18 or more shots in all six of their last six meetings with Frosinone in Serie A, and six-plus shots on target in five of those six. This is a direct, long-ball side that likes to create from distance, with Pellegrino leading the line and Gudmundsson and Mastantuono pulling the strings behind him.
Frosinone's issue has been finding the net. They have failed to score in five of their last seven Serie A matches, and there have been under 2.5 goals in each of their last three Serie A games. Alvini's stubborn 4-3-3, strong in the air, relies on Raimondo and the wide runners of Kvernadze and Fini to carry the threat.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Fiorentina: F. Parisi (Injured/out), M. Kean (Injured/doubtful)
Frosinone: No reported injuries or suspensions
Fiorentina
Grosso lines Fiorentina up in a 4-3-2-1, with De Gea between the posts behind a back four of Valdepenas, Ranieri, Dragusin and Dodo. Parisi is out with a knee ligament injury, while Kean is doubtful with his availability tied to ongoing transfer developments. The engine room of Brescianini, Fagioli and Ndour provides the balance, with Mastantuono and Gudmundsson supporting Pellegrino.
Frosinone
Frosinone go with a 4-3-3 and have no reported injuries or suspensions to worry about. Palmisani starts in goal behind a line of Terzic, Cittadini, Calvani and Monterisi. Calo anchors a midfield alongside Masini and Schmid, while the front three of Fini, Raimondo and Kvernadze are tasked with testing the Fiorentina backline.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone Predicted Lineup
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-3-2-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: De Gea; Dodo, Ranieri, Dragusin, Valde; Ndour, Fagioli, Brescianini; Mastantuono, Gudmundsson; Pellegrino
Frosinone
Formation: 4-3-3
Predicted Starting Lineup: Palmisani; Monterisi, Cittadini, Calvani, Terzic; Schmid, Calo, Masini; Fini, Raimondo, Kvernadze
Fiorentina vs Frosinone Key Stats & Match Facts
Fiorentina have had 18 or more shots in six out of six matches against Frosinone in Serie A.
There have been 29 or more total shots in six of the last six meetings between Fiorentina and Frosinone in Serie A.
Frosinone have failed to score in five of their last seven Serie A matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Frosinone's last three Serie A games.
Frosinone have received three or more cards in four of their last five matches against Fiorentina in Serie A.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Fiorentina are the clear favourites here, and we make the hosts good value at 73/100 (10Bet) in the Win Market. The projected scoreline points to a 2-1 home win, with both teams expected to get on the scoresheet. Frosinone, at 4/1 (Paddy Power), carry a threat but their scoring troubles make a home win the sensible call.
Best Bets
Backing Both Teams To Score (Yes) as Fiorentina host Frosinone at Artemio Franchi. These sides tend to produce open, high-shot encounters, and the projected total of well over three goals plus a 63% read on both teams finding the net makes this a strong angle. Fiorentina's attacking numbers and Frosinone's aerial threat point to goals at both ends.
Selecting Fiorentina midfielder Marco Brescianini to record Over 1.5 Player Shots. Brescianini starts in the engine room for dominant hosts who create plenty of long-range opportunities, and the projections give him a strong read on registering at least two shots. In a game Fiorentina should control, he is well placed to get his efforts away.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone Bet Builder
Our four-leg Fiorentina vs Frosinone bet builder tips combine a Fiorentina win, Mateo Pellegrino to score anytime, both teams to score and Giorgio Cittadini to be shown a card.
Fiorentina are strong favourites at home and their attacking record in this fixture, with 18-plus shots in all six recent meetings, backs them to take the three points.
Pellegrino leads a Fiorentina attack that has been relentless against Frosinone, and as the central striker he is the obvious man to find the net.
With 29 or more total shots in six of the last six meetings, these are open games, so both teams to score fits the pattern nicely.
Frosinone have picked up three or more cards in four of their last five against Fiorentina, so defender Cittadini carding is a fair shout.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 15/1 and is as short as 9/1 elsewhere. That's a difference in potential winnings of £63 from best to worst price.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone Talking Points
There is a nice subplot here given Grosso led Frosinone to the Serie B title in 2022-23 before taking the Fiorentina job, so he knows the visitors well. On the pitch the tactical battle centres on Fagioli, Brescianini and Ndour trying to break through the midfield density of Masini, Calo and Schmid. Fiorentina's edge lies in creating long-range opportunities, and if Mastantuono and Gudmundsson click between the lines they should unlock a Frosinone side that has struggled to keep the ball. The visitors' aerial strength and the width of Fini and Kvernadze give them an outlet, but on quality and home advantage the hosts hold the whip hand.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone Predictions FAQs
What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Our prediction for Fiorentina vs Frosinone covers key match betting markets and team form. Check out our full match preview for our detailed analysis and predictions.
Where is Fiorentina vs Frosinone being played?
The Fiorentina vs Frosinone match will be played at Artemio Franchi in Florence.
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Best bets for Fiorentina vs Frosinone include popular options across match winner, total goals, and both teams to score markets. Refer to our match preview section for complete betting tips.
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