Read our Lazio vs Monza prediction with expert betting tips, odds, and predicted lineups ahead of Sunday's Italian Serie A clash at the Stadio Olimpico.
Lazio vs Monza Match Summary
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Match Date | Sunday 11 October 2026 |
Match Time | 14:00 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Rome, Stadio Olimpico |
Lazio vs Monza at the Stadio Olimpico pits the third-placed side in Serie A against a Monza outfit stuck in the bottom half, and on paper it looks a mismatch.
Gennaro Gattuso's side have won five of their last six in Serie A, and with Mattia Zaccagni causing havoc down the left, they look a team in proper rhythm.
Ivan Jurić's Monza claimed their first Serie A win of the season against Sassuolo before the international break, with Gustavo Varela scoring both goals. Victories have otherwise been scarce.
History offers Monza little comfort. Lazio are unbeaten in their last seven matches against Monza in all competitions, and that record underpins our Lazio vs Monza prediction.
Lazio vs Monza Form
Lazio have won six of their last 10 matches against all opponents, and the attack is doing the heavy lifting. Mattia Zaccagni has scored or assisted in each of his last three Serie A appearances, while Davide Frattesi keeps arriving late from the engine room to add goals. Wing play and clinical finishing are this side's calling cards.
Monza have won just two of their last 10 against all opponents, which tells its own story. Gustavo Varela is the exception, having scored in three of his last four Serie A appearances, with Ricardo Mangas supplying from the left. Jurić's side create plenty going forward, but their finishing remains wasteful.
Lazio vs Monza Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Lazio: Albert Gudmundsson (Injured/out), Danilo Cataldi (Injured/out), Nicolò Rovella (Doubtful), Adrian Przyborek (Doubtful), Matteo Cancellieri (Doubtful), Adam Marusic (Doubtful)
Monza: Matteo Pessina (Injured/out), Patrick Ciurria (Injured/out), Jan Ziółkowski (Injured/out), Idrissa Touré (Doubtful)
Lazio
Albert Gudmundsson and Danilo Cataldi are both injured, and Gattuso has four more doubts in Nicolò Rovella, Adrian Przyborek, Matteo Cancellieri and Adam Marusic. The Lazio vs Monza lineups still point to a 4-3-3 for the hosts, with Christos Mandas in goal and Reda Belahyane anchoring Davide Frattesi and Kenneth Taylor in the engine room.
Monza
Jurić is without Matteo Pessina, Patrick Ciurria and Jan Ziółkowski, while Idrissa Touré is a doubt. Expect a 3-4-2-1, with Noel Törnqvist in goal, Ricardo Mangas and Samuele Birindelli providing the width, and Andrea Colpani and Patrick Cutrone working behind lone striker Gustavo Varela.
Lazio vs Monza Predicted Lineup
Lazio
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Christos Mandas; Nuno Tavares, Oliver Provstgaard, Josip Sutalo, Romano Floriani Mussolini; Davide Frattesi, Reda Belahyane, Kenneth Taylor; Mattia Zaccagni, Tijjani Noslin, Gustav Isaksen (probable)
Monza
Formation: 3-4-2-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Noel Törnqvist; Eddy Kouadio, Lorenzo Lucchesi, Andrea Carboni; Ricardo Mangas, Michael Folorunsho, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Samuele Birindelli; Andrea Colpani, Patrick Cutrone; Gustavo Varela (probable)
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Lazio vs Monza Key Stats & Match Facts
The previous meetings read four Lazio wins and two draws, with Monza yet to win any of them.
Lazio have had 5+ shots on target in 3 out of 3 matches against Monza in Serie A.
There have been 26+ shots taken in 3 of the last 3 meetings between Lazio and Monza in Serie A.
Andrea Colpani has recorded 1+ shots on target in 4 of his last 4 appearances against Lazio in Serie A.
Mattia Zaccagni has won 3+ fouls in 4 of his last 5 appearances against Monza in Serie A.
Lazio vs Monza Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Lazio win, with both sides scoring. The hosts are projected for just over two goals and carry the sharper edge in front of goal. Monza's projection of more than one goal reflects a side that creates enough to trouble anyone, so we have Lazio as clear favourites without trusting them to keep a clean sheet, and that view shapes our Lazio vs Monza best bets.
Best Bets
Both Teams To Score: Yes. Lazio and Monza are both expected to find the net at the Olimpico. Both teams scoring comes out at just over 64% in the projections, and the matchup backs that up. Monza love to get crosses into the box and aerial duels are the one clear soft spot in this Lazio side, while Monza's flimsy set-piece defending hands the hosts their own route to goal.
Lazio to win the match in the Win Market. Lazio sit third in the form table with Monza well down it, and the gap in quality is obvious. Gattuso's side are at their best attacking down the wings, which is exactly where Monza are most vulnerable, and the hosts carry a 54% win probability into kick-off.
Lazio vs Monza Bet Builder
Our Lazio vs Monza bet builder tips combine four legs: Mattia Zaccagni over 2.5 shots, Gustavo Varela to score anytime, Lazio over 1.5 home goals and Michael Folorunsho to be carded.
Zaccagni has attempted 3+ shots in every one of his five Serie A outings this term, and with Lazio attacking down the left so often, he will get plenty of sights of goal.
Varela has found the net three times across his last four league outings and is Monza's focal point, which fits neatly with our view that both sides find the net.
Lazio have scored at least two goals in each of their last three Serie A matches, and a Monza defence that struggles in wide areas gives them every opportunity to repeat it.
Folorunsho has picked up a booking twice in his past three top-flight appearances, and Lazio are a side opponents tend to play aggressively against.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 33/1 and is as short as 30/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Lazio vs Monza Talking Points
Gattuso insisted on the eve of the game that he has no "vertigo" about where Lazio sit, and he was quick to praise Monza as a young, energetic side who press with courage and intensity. He is right to be wary. Monza are aggressive, good at stealing the ball and carry a genuine threat from direct free kicks, so a stubborn, messy afternoon is not out of the question. Still, the Lazio vs Monza betting odds leave little doubt about who the market fancies, with the hosts 8/11 (AK Bets) and Monza out at 4/1 (Betfair Sportsbook). That gap feels fair given the quality on show in Lazio's attack.
Lazio vs Monza Predictions FAQs
When is the Lazio vs Monza Italian Serie A game?
The match takes place on Sunday 11 October 2026, kicking off at 14:00 UK time.
Where is Lazio vs Monza being played?
The match is being played at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
What competition is Lazio vs Monza in?
Lazio vs Monza is a Serie A fixture in the 2026/2027 season.
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