Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction, probable lineups, bet builder tips and odds. Check team news, betting angles and key stats before the kick-off whistle.
Atalanta vs Frosinone Match Summary
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Match Date | Sunday 25 October 2026 |
Match Time | 14:00 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | New Balance Arena |
Atalanta vs Frosinone pits a struggling home side against one of Serie A's early surprises, yet history and the market still lean towards the hosts at New Balance Arena.
Atalanta arrive having lost four of their previous five league matches. Maurizio Sarri has openly called this a "year of construction", and defensive consistency is very much the work in progress.
Frosinone have won four of their opening seven league games. Massimiliano Alvini's side sit in the top half, ahead of their hosts, and carry plenty of menace going forward.
History sides with Atalanta: four wins, one draw and one defeat in previous meetings. They have also won their last 3 home matches against Frosinone in all competitions.
Atalanta vs Frosinone Form
Atalanta's form is a genuine concern. Defeat at AC Milan in Serie A was followed by another at Ajax in Europe, with an earlier Conference League win over Pafos offering some relief. They have won 4 of their last 10 matches against all opponents, and much depends on Charles De Ketelaere supplying Nikola Krstović.
Frosinone are the in-form side. Antonio Raimondo's hat-trick fired a 4-2 win over Sassuolo in their latest Serie A outing, and Massimiliano Alvini was named Serie A Coach of the Month for August and September. They have won 5 of their last 10 matches against all opponents, with Giorgi Kvernadze a constant threat on the left.
Atalanta vs Frosinone Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Atalanta: Isak Hien (Injured/out), Odilon Kossounou (Injured/out), Thomas Pompei (Injured/out), Sead Kolašinac (Injured/out), Giorgio Scalvini (Injured/out), Kamaldeen Sulemana (Doubtful), Giacomo Raspadori (Doubtful)
Frosinone: Florian Grillitsch (Injured/out)
Atalanta
The Atalanta vs Frosinone lineups hinge on the home back four. With five players ruled out, Sarri's probable 4-2-3-1 leans on Relja Obrić and Thomas Kristensen in the middle, while Charles De Ketelaere pulls the strings behind lone striker Nikola Krstović.
Frosinone
Frosinone are close to full strength, with Florian Grillitsch the only confirmed absentee. Alvini's probable 4-2-3-1 mirrors the hosts, and it is a settled side built to get Giorgi Kvernadze and Antonio Raimondo on the ball in the final third.
Atalanta vs Frosinone Predicted Lineup
Atalanta
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Marco Carnesecchi; Raoul Bellanova, Thomas Kristensen, Relja Obrić, Lorenzo Bernasconi; Éderson, Mario Pašalić; Eljif Elmas, Charles De Ketelaere, Jonathan Rowe; Nikola Krstović
Frosinone
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Lorenzo Palmisani; Anthony Oyono, Gabriele Calvani, Giorgio Cittadini, Gabriele Bracaglia; Patrizio Masini, Giacomo Calò; Farès Ghedjemis, Romano Schmid, Giorgi Kvernadze; Antonio Raimondo
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Atalanta vs Frosinone Key Stats & Match Facts
Atalanta have had 16+ shots in 6 out of 6 matches against Frosinone in Serie A.
Atalanta have scored 4+ goals in 3 out of 4 matches against Frosinone in Serie A.
There have been 11+ shots on target in 3 of the last 3 meetings between Atalanta and Frosinone in Serie A.
Mario Pašalić has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 3 appearances against Frosinone in Serie A.
There have been 28+ shots taken in 7 of Frosinone's last 7 Serie A matches.
Atalanta vs Frosinone Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Atalanta to edge it, but this Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction comes with goals at both ends. The projections favour the hosts on a 2.16-1.67 projected goals split, which is an edge rather than a stroll. Atalanta are 10/11 with Unibet, a fair price for a side with history on their side but holes at the back.
Best Bets
Over 3.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The model projects a high-scoring game between Atalanta and Frosinone. The projected total sits comfortably above this line, and the implied probability of the price undersells how open this should be. Atalanta have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 4 matches against Frosinone in all competitions, and neither defence looks capable of shutting the door.
Yes in the Both Teams To Score market. Frosinone have the attacking threat to score at a stretched Atalanta defence. Of our Atalanta vs Frosinone best bets, this has the strongest backing, with the projections rating both teams scoring at 71.84%. Frosinone carve teams open through individual skill and counter attacks, and they face a home side missing five players, Isak Hien and Giorgio Scalvini among them.
Atalanta vs Frosinone Bet Builder
Our Atalanta vs Frosinone bet builder tips lean into the visitors' attack: Antonio Raimondo shots and shots on target, a Giorgi Kvernadze goal and Frosinone to score twice.
Antonio Raimondo Over 3.5 Player Shots: the striker has attempted 4+ shots in each of his last 3 Serie A outings, and Frosinone are a side who shoot on sight.
Giorgi Kvernadze Anytime Goalscorer: he has found the net in 3 of his last 5 Serie A games, and operating from the left he targets Atalanta's weakness against attacks down the wings.
Antonio Raimondo Over 1.5 Player Shots On Target: he has managed 2+ shots on target in four of his previous six Serie A outings, and a depleted home defence should give him the looks.
Frosinone Over 1.5 Total Away Goals: Frosinone have had 17+ shots in four straight Serie A matches. Against a home side short of bodies at the back, two goals is a fair ask.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 21/1 and is as short as 10/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Atalanta vs Frosinone Talking Points
The engine room is where this fixture tilts. Mario Pašalić has a habit of hurting Frosinone, and his battle with Giacomo Calò decides who sets the tempo. Atalanta's knack for slicing teams open with through balls lands squarely on a Frosinone side that struggles to defend them, while Nikola Krstović will relish the physical scrap in the box. The flip side is just as stark: Atalanta are vulnerable to attacks down the wings, and Giorgi Kvernadze does his best work on the left. Expect it to be messy, open and short on clean sheets.
Atalanta vs Frosinone Predictions FAQs
When is Atalanta vs Frosinone?
The match kicks off at 14:00 UK time on Sunday 25 October 2026.
Where is Atalanta vs Frosinone being played?
Atalanta vs Frosinone is being played at New Balance Arena.
What competition is Atalanta vs Frosinone in?
Atalanta vs Frosinone is an Italian Serie A match.
Disclaimer
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