Inter Milan vs Fiorentina prediction, probable lineups, odds and bet builder tips for Sunday's Serie A clash. Find the betting angle before kick-off.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Match Summary
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Match Date | Sunday 25 October 2026 |
Match Time | 11:30 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
Inter Milan host Fiorentina at San Siro on Sunday, as a Serie A title chaser meets a side stuck in the drop zone. The Inter Milan vs Fiorentina betting odds back the hosts.
Reigning champions Inter are unbeaten in the league under Cristian Chivu, collecting 19 points and sitting second in the table. They arrive in the kind of rhythm that punishes struggling visitors.
Fiorentina are 18th with four points under Paolo Vanoli, and the back line is the problem. They travel to San Siro looking every bit a side short on confidence.
Inter have the upper hand in this fixture too, remaining undefeated across the vast majority of recent meetings with Fiorentina in all competitions. History leans heavily one way, and nothing about the current table suggests that changes here.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Form
Inter have gone unbeaten domestically for 17 league games on the spin, and backed that up with a win away at Bologna. In the Champions League they ground out a 1-0 win over Shakhtar Donetsk, with Carlos Augusto scoring late. Marcus Thuram drives the attack, and with Lautaro Martínez injured he carries even more of the load.
Fiorentina are winless in three on the domestic front, most recently beaten at home by Como. The defence is the real issue, shipping at least two goals in six of their past seven outings. They take plenty of shots, but finishing is a weakness, which leaves Mateo Pellegrino and Franco Mastantuono with a lot to prove.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Inter Milan: Lautaro Martínez (Injured/out), Benjamin Pavard (Injured/out), John Stones (Doubtful), Curtis Jones (Doubtful)
Fiorentina: Fabiano Parisi (Injured/out), Arthur Atta (Doubtful)
Inter Milan
Lautaro Martínez's absence is the big story in the Inter Milan vs Fiorentina lineups, so Marcus Thuram partners young striker Francesco Pio Esposito in Chivu's probable 3-5-2. Ivan Provedel starts in goal behind Alessandro Bastoni, Manuel Akanji and Yann Bisseck. Benjamin Pavard is also injured, while John Stones and Curtis Jones are doubts.
Fiorentina
Vanoli sets up in a probable 4-3-3, with David de Gea in goal and Radu Drăgușin at the heart of the back four. Fabiano Parisi is ruled out injured and Arthur Atta is doubtful, while Mateo Pellegrino leads the line between Alieu Njie and Franco Mastantuono.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Predicted Lineup
Inter Milan
Formation: 3-5-2
Predicted Starting Lineup: Ivan Provedel; Alessandro Bastoni, Manuel Akanji, Yann Bisseck; Andy Diouf, Nicolò Barella, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Carlos Augusto; Marcus Thuram, Francesco Pio Esposito
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-3-3
Predicted Starting Lineup: David de Gea; Dodô, Marin Pongračić, Radu Drăgușin, Álex Jiménez; Marco Brescianini, Nicolò Fagioli, Cher Ndour; Franco Mastantuono, Mateo Pellegrino, Alieu Njie
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Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Key Stats & Match Facts
Marcus Thuram has scored or assisted in 5 of his last 5 Serie A appearances.
There have been 28+ shots taken in 6 of Inter's last 6 Serie A matches.
There have been 28+ shots taken in 3 of the last 3 Serie A meetings between Fiorentina and Inter.
Inter have had 6+ corners in 4 of their last 5 Serie A matches against Fiorentina.
Nicolò Barella has assisted in 2 of his last 3 Serie A appearances against Fiorentina.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Inter 2-1 Fiorentina. The hosts are 3/8 with 10Bet, a short price that reflects goals all over this Inter side against a defence that keeps opening up. Fiorentina carry enough shooting intent to nick one, but our Inter Milan vs Fiorentina prediction has the champions comfortably in charge of this fixture.
Best Bets
Both Teams To Score - Yes. Inter are expected to score, and Fiorentina have the attacking threat to reply. Our numbers put both teams scoring at 62.4%, comfortably above the implied probability of the price. Fiorentina take plenty of shots and Inter can be got at down the flanks, which makes this the first of our Inter Milan vs Fiorentina best bets.
Total Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 Goals. Inter's attack is in form against a leaky Fiorentina defence. This line has landed consistently for the hosts domestically this season, and it's also been a regular feature whenever these two have met at San Siro in all competitions. This visiting back line gives us no reason to expect a stubborn afternoon.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Bet Builder
Our Inter Milan vs Fiorentina bet builder tips lean on the hosts' attack: Marcus Thuram to score anytime, Inter over 1.5 home goals and Francesco Pio Esposito to land a shot on target.
Thuram has been directly involved in a goal in each of his last five Serie A outings. With Lautaro Martínez sidelined, he is the obvious focal point against a back line this porous.
Inter have hit the two-goal mark in every one of their five most recent league outings. Against a Fiorentina defence that keeps shipping goals, this looks the most comfortable leg of the three.
Pio Esposito has found the target with at least one shot in six of his past seven league starts. Starting up top alongside Thuram, he should get the shooting volume to clear this line.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 11/8 and is as short as 23/20 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Talking Points
Chivu said after the Shakhtar win that his squad showed the willingness to suffer and dig deep, and that grit matters with the fixture list piling up and a Derby della Madonnina against AC Milan on the horizon. Vanoli, meanwhile, admits Fiorentina need a perfect performance at San Siro after too many defensive lapses and early goals conceded. The engine room is where this gets decided, with Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Nicolò Barella up against Nicolò Fagioli. If Inter win that battle, Marcus Thuram gets the service to test the Fiorentina centre-backs in direct, physical duels, and it is hard to see the visitors holding firm for long.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Predictions FAQs
When is Inter Milan vs Fiorentina being played?
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina is on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 11:30 UK time.
Where is Inter Milan vs Fiorentina being played?
The match is being played at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
What competition is Inter Milan vs Fiorentina in?
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina is a Serie A match in the 2026/2027 season.
Disclaimer
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