Our Liverpool vs Chelsea Carabao Cup preview, including a 21/1 bet builder tip and a correct score prediction.
Liverpool vs ChelseaSee All Odds
Liverpool host Chelsea in the Carabao Cup fourth round on Wednesday night. Andoni Iraola's side have lost once in 12 games in all competitions this season, 3-0 at home to Man City, and have won four in a row since. They beat Villarreal 4-3 in the Champions League and Brighton 2-0 on Sunday. Xabi Alonso's Chelsea lost 2-0 at home to Tottenham on Saturday, when Cole Palmer was sent off, and he is suspended here. Both managers are expected to rotate before big league games at the weekend. Darren England is the referee.
Liverpool vs Chelsea Bet Builder Tips
1. Alexis Mac Allister over 0.5 shots on target at 2/1
Mac Allister starts in the Liverpool midfield and has had at least one shot on target in six of his 12 appearances this season, averaging 0.75 shots on target and 2.48 shots per 90. He had two against Villarreal, one at Brentford, one against Man City and one against Tottenham in the last round of this competition. He averaged 0.5 shots on target per 90 last season. Chelsea have faced 5.2 shots on target per game this season and 6.5 per game away from home, with Arsenal landing nine and Brentford six. Liverpool average 5.42 shots on target per game in all competitions. Bet365 offers 2/1.
2. Milos Kerkez over 1.5 fouls committed at 7/4
Kerkez starts at left back and has committed two or more fouls in five of his 10 appearances this season, averaging 1.73 fouls per 90, up from 0.99 last season. He made three against Brighton on Sunday, four at Bournemouth, three against Tottenham in the last round and three at Newcastle. He committed two fouls against Chelsea last season. He faces Estêvão down the Chelsea right, and Estêvão wins 2.28 fouls per 90. England averages 22.31 fouls and 4.24 yellow cards per game, both above the league average. Bet365 offers 7/4.
3. Valentín Barco over 2.5 tackles at 2/1
Barco starts in the Chelsea midfield and averages 3.65 tackles per 90 this season. He has made three or more tackles in two of his three appearances of 87 minutes or more: seven against Leeds in the last round and three at Brentford, with two against Luton in the second round. He has not featured since the Brentford game on 18 September, so this is a return to the side. Liverpool's opponents have made 17.42 tackles per game this season, with Tottenham making 22 at Anfield in the last round and Atlético Madrid 21. Liverpool average 16.42 shots per game. Bet365 offers 2/1.
Less Risky Bet Builder
Liverpool vs Chelsea Betting Tips
Tip: Over 2.5 goals at 11/21
Liverpool have scored 26 goals and conceded 16 in 12 games in all competitions, and eight of those games have gone over 2.5 goals. Three of their last four have produced at least three goals: 6-3 at LASK, 2-1 at Brentford and 4-3 against Villarreal.
Chelsea have scored 25 and conceded 18 in 10 games, with seven going over 2.5 goals. Their two ties in this competition finished 2-0 against Luton and 6-3 against Leeds, and they have faced 6.5 shots on target per away game.
Both sides are expected to make changes, and Chelsea are without Reece James and goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez. Liverpool made 10 changes for the 3-1 win over Tottenham in the last round. Unibet offers 11/21, with 19/40 at bet365.
Liverpool vs ChelseaSee All Odds
Who Is the Favourite to Win Liverpool vs Chelsea?
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Liverpool | 5/4 |
| Draw | 3/1 |
| Chelsea | 21/10 |
These are 90 minute prices. Liverpool are 5/4 with IvyBet, or 6/5 with bet365 and Unibet, after four straight wins. Chelsea are 21/10 with AK Bets, or 2/1 with Betfair Sportsbook, and have lost two of their last four games. The draw is 3/1 with Betfred and AK Bets, or 29/10 with bet365. To qualify, Liverpool are 3/4 with QuinnBet and 7/10 with bet365, while Chelsea are 11/10 with Paddy Power and Sky Bet. Bet365 offers 6/1 on either side winning on penalties.
Liverpool vs Chelsea Score Prediction
Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea at 17/2
Liverpool have scored 26 goals in 12 games in all competitions from an average of 1.77 xG, with 16.42 shots and 5.42 shots on target per game. They have scored in 10 of the 12 and have 13 goals in their last four games. At Anfield they have scored 13 in seven games. Alexander Isak has six goals in seven Premier League appearances, and Rio Ngumoha set up two goals against Villarreal.
Liverpool have conceded 16 goals in 12 games and kept four clean sheets, and the 2-0 win over Brighton was their first clean sheet in five games. They conceded three to Man City, LASK and Villarreal in that run. Chelsea have scored 25 goals in 10 games, though they are without Palmer and João Pedro. Danny Welbeck scored twice against Leeds in the last round and has five goals in 28 appearances against Liverpool. Chelsea have scored six goals in four away games.
Both teams scored in seven of Liverpool's 12 games and six of Chelsea's 10. Liverpool have won 2-1 against Atlético Madrid and at Brentford this season, and they beat Chelsea 2-1 at Anfield in October 2024. The last meeting at Anfield finished 1-1 in May, and Chelsea won 2-1 at Stamford Bridge in October 2025. Bet365, IvyBet, PricedUp, QuinnBet and Unibet offer 17/2 on Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea.
Liverpool vs Chelsea Value Betting Tips
Liverpool vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Mamardashvili; Araujo, Jacquet, van Dijk, Kerkez; Nyoni, Mac Allister; Ngumoha, McConnell, Gakpo; Isak.
Chelsea (3-4-2-1): Penders; Fofana, Lacroix, Colwill; Palestra, Lavia, Barco, Hato; Estêvão, Rogers; Welbeck.
Out for Liverpool: Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitiké, Jeremie Frimpong, Giovanni Leoni, Dominik Szoboszlai. Florian Wirtz and Víctor Muñoz are doubts.
Out for Chelsea: Cole Palmer (suspended), Reece James, Emiliano Martínez, João Pedro, Jamie Gittens, Emmanuel Emegha. Pep Chavarría is a doubt.
