
Roma vs Cagliari prediction, probable lineups and betting tips for Tuesday's Serie A clash. Compare the odds and bet builder angles before kick-off.
Roma vs Cagliari Match Summary
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Match Date | Tuesday 27 October 2026 |
Match Time | 19:45 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Stadio Olimpico |
Roma vs Cagliari is a Tuesday night Serie A fixture at the Stadio Olimpico, with more than 60,000 supporters expected and the hosts carrying almost all the weight of expectation.
Gian Piero Gasperini's Roma sit third on 18 points and are still unbeaten in the league. Finishing is their standout strength, which is handy with Paulo Dybala and Lorenzo Pellegrini both injured.
Fabio Pisacane's Cagliari arrive ninth on 13 points. They like to sit in their own half and protect a lead, but finishing is a weakness, and that is a problem in Rome.
The history is stark. Roma have won 9 of their last 10 home matches against Cagliari in all competitions, so the visitors are fighting the record as much as the opposition.
Roma vs Cagliari Form
Roma are undefeated in their last 15 matches in Serie A, and the 3-3 draw at Napoli last time out showed their bite, with Leonardo Balerdi scoring a late brace after Matías Soulé had struck. In the Champions League they brushed Slovan Bratislava aside at home. Soulé and Donyell Malen carry this attack.
Cagliari's bright start has stalled. A 2-0 home defeat to Bologna was their second straight Serie A loss without scoring, and the goals have dried up at the worst moment. Daniel Maldini remains the one bright spark going forward, with four goal involvements across his last six Serie A outings.
Roma vs Cagliari Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Roma: Paulo Dybala (Injured/out), Manu Koné (Injured/out), Lorenzo Pellegrini (Injured/out), Mile Svilar (Injured/out)
Cagliari: Riyad Idrissi (Injured/out), Mattia Felici (Injured/out)
Roma
Mile Svilar's absence hands the gloves to Pierluigi Gollini, while Manu Koné's injury leaves Marten de Roon and Bryan Cristante to run the engine room. The probable Roma vs Cagliari lineups have Gasperini sticking with his back three, with Soulé and Rodrigo Mora tucked in behind Malen.
Cagliari
Riyad Idrissi and Mattia Felici are both out injured. Pisacane's probable 4-3-2-1 has Elia Caprile in goal, with Jacopo Fazzini and Maldini operating behind Kevin Carlos up top.
Roma vs Cagliari Predicted Lineup
Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: Pierluigi Gollini; Mario Hermoso, Leonardo Balerdi, Gianluca Mancini; Nahuel Molina, Marten de Roon, Bryan Cristante, Emanuele Lulli; Matías Soulé, Rodrigo Mora; Donyell Malen
Cagliari
Formation: 4-3-2-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: Elia Caprile; Zé Pedro, Juan Rodríguez, Yerry Mina, Adam Obert; Alessandro Romano, Roberto Gagliardini, Michel Adopo; Jacopo Fazzini, Daniel Maldini; Kevin Carlos
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Roma vs Cagliari Key Stats & Match Facts
Roma have had 15+ shots in 7 out of 10 matches vs Cagliari (Serie A).
Nahuel Molina has scored in 2 of his last 3 apps vs Cagliari (Serie A).
Matías Soulé has attempted 2+ shots in 5 of his last 6 apps vs Cagliari (Serie A).
Roberto Gagliardini has been carded in 3 of his last 4 apps vs Roma (Serie A).
Cagliari have received 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 matches vs Roma (Serie A).
Roma vs Cagliari Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Roma win, and win with something to spare, though a Cagliari consolation would not shock anyone. The Roma vs Cagliari betting odds make the hosts 3/10 with 10Bet, which is short but fair. The projection points to 3.13 goals with the bulk of them Roma's, and Cagliari's frailty against set pieces and long shots plays straight into a side that finishes as well as anyone.
Best Bets
Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Roma are projected to score freely at the Olimpico. Roma have scored at least 2 goals in 12 of their last 13 Serie A matches, and they face a defence that struggles badly at set pieces. Of our Roma vs Cagliari best bets, this is the one with the most behind it, as the projection sits clear of the line and the implied probability in the price looks too low.
Both Teams To Score: Yes. Cagliari have enough attacking threat to find a goal against a Roma side missing several players. The numbers make both teams scoring roughly a coin flip, yet it rates as the best value angle on the card. For all Cagliari's finishing problems, Roma are without Svilar, Koné, Dybala and Pellegrini, and Maldini's recent scoring touch gives the visitors a genuine outlet.
Roma vs Cagliari Bet Builder
Our Roma vs Cagliari bet builder tips lean on the home attack, pairing Malen shots and shots on target with Roma over 1.5 goals, plus Paul Mendy over 1.5 fouls.
Donyell Malen Over 2.5 Shots: Malen has attempted 3+ shots in 6 of his last 7 Serie A apps, and as the lone central forward he will get the volume again.
Roma Over 1.5 Total Home Goals: Roma have scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 8 matches in Serie A, and Cagliari are weak at defending set pieces and long shots.
Donyell Malen Over 0.5 Shots On Target: the forward has found the target at least once in six of his last seven Serie A outings. With Dybala out, even more of the finishing falls on him.
Paul Mendy Over 1.5 Fouls: Mendy has picked up two or more fouls in every one of his six Serie A appearances this season, underlining how often he is dragged into midfield battles.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 6/4 and is as short as 13/10 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Roma vs Cagliari Talking Points
Gasperini spoke on the eve of the game about the physical and mental toll of a packed run of fixtures since the international break, and this is a Roma side that rotates its first eleven as much as anyone. Malen is the one name he can least afford to rest, having led the line in both Serie A and the Champions League. Across the previous meetings, Roma hold four wins to Cagliari's one, with a single draw, and that lopsided record underpins our Roma vs Cagliari prediction.
Roma vs Cagliari Predictions FAQs
When is Roma vs Cagliari kick-off?
Roma vs Cagliari kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 27 October 2026.
Where is Roma vs Cagliari being played?
Roma vs Cagliari is being played at the Stadio Olimpico.
What competition is Roma vs Cagliari in?
Roma vs Cagliari is a Serie A match.
Disclaimer
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