14:00 - Southampton v Man Utd

Manchester United look to continue their fine away form as they head to St Mary’s on Sunday. It’ll be easier said than done though, Southampton have been excellent this season and sit proudly in fifth place with 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats to their name. Ralph Hassenhuttl is showing what he’s all about and it’s looking more and more like an inspired appointment by the South coast club.

They’ve had to do without the influential Danny Ings in the past few weeks but the German has found a way around it, employing Saints old boy Theo Walcott as a central striker and he’s thrived in that role. Walcott has recorded 2 or more shots in each of his last 4 games and with a great foil in Che Adams he looks overpriced at 4/1 to notch anytime here after his goal last week at Molineux.

Where is the value?

  Southampton Draw Man Utd
Best Odds 14/5 13/5 21/20

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has a big game at Old Trafford coming up midweek against PSG and even though the Red Devils are in fine form on the road, they’ve still failed to fully convince. They’re getting penalties at an unsustainable rate, they also have a negative expected goals ratio, which considering the number of penalties they’re accruing, is hugely alarming.

They do have pace going forward to hurt the high defensive line of their hosts and it’s rare for them not to notch away from home but I’m sceptical to whether they can come away with a win against a strong opponent. Quotes of even-money on them are far from appealing. Instead I’m going to go into an alternative market and take Southampton ‘double chance’ and both teams to score at 9/5.

Here we would get a score draw or a Southampton win and btts both onside.

Southampton ‘double chance’ and both teams to score - 1pt @ 9/5
Theo Walcott to score anytime - 1pt @ 4/1