Macca is back with his first best bets column of 2026 and has picked out three bets for Wednesday's Premier League slate.
Brighton v Man City
Tip 1: Jan Paul Van Hecke O0.5 fouls - 1pt
Best odds of 1/1 with betway. 5/6 Ladbrokes. 8/11 bet365.
Van Hecke has committed at least one foul in five of his last six starts and now faces one of the toughest matchups in the league against Erling Haaland, who has been fouled in nine of his last twelve starts. The matchup history also supports this angle.
In head to head meetings with Manchester City, Van Hecke averages 1.4 fouls per 90 minutes and has been booked in three of his last five meetings against them.
With Haaland’s strength and tendency to draw contact in central areas, Van Hecke is likely to be put under sustained pressure again, and should be making a foul.
I’ve also paired this up with Haaland to be fouled for a nice double around 3X your money.
BresBet
Fulham v Chelsea
Tip 2: Enzo Fernández - 1+ Shot On Target - 1pt
Best odds of 10/11 with Sky Bet & Paddy Power.
Enzo Fernández is averaging 1.93 shots per game for Chelsea this season, the highest of any player in the squad. Despite being listed in a deeper holding midfield role over the last three matches, his output has remained strong, registering eight shots and scoring twice in that spell. Chelsea’s in possession shape often looks very different to the team sheet, with Marc Cucurella inverting to join the pivot alongside Moisés Caicedo, allowing Enzo to push into more advanced areas.
That setup should be especially effective here against Fulham, one of the most passive defensive sides in the league, who tend to sit deep and concede territory. This game script suits Enzo. He has recorded a shot on target in twelve of his last fifteen games and with Chelsea expected to dominate possession once again, the price looks generous for another effort hitting the target.
Newcastle v Leeds
Bruno Guimarães - Over 0.5 Shots on Target - 1pt
Best odds of 5/4 with 10BET. 21/20 Ladbrokes.
Bruno Guimarães has hit the target ten times across his last eight starts for Newcastle, showing a level of shooting consistency that the market still appears slow to price correctly. This is a home game against Leeds, where the 1X2 odds suggest Newcastle are expected to control possession for large periods.
When filtering to home games only, the Brazillian averages more shots on target per game than any other Newcastle player. He has also scored in five of his last ten home matches and continues to operate in an advanced role, often arriving late into the box rather than sitting deep. With Newcastle likely to dominate in front of their home crowd, the Brazilian should see enough attacking involvement to justify the price.
