Burnley vs Man City

Manchester City travel to Turf Moor on Wednesday evening looking to move top of the Premier League table for the first time since August.

Burnley, on the other hand, are staring down the barrel of relegation after losing five of their last six outings, and a fixture against a side who have beaten them in 14 consecutive meetings is about as daunting as it gets.

City are priced at 1/6 to take all three points, and everything about this one points to a comfortable evening for Pep Guardiola's men.

Burnley vs Man City Form

Burnley's season has gone from bad to worse. They have conceded at least two goals in five of their last six Premier League matches, and their most recent defeat at Nottingham Forest has left their top-flight status all but over. The Clarets have managed just one win from their last six league fixtures, and their defence has been the worst in the division.

Manchester City, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last ten league outings and have scored two or more goals in eight of those. City hammered Burnley 5-1 in the reverse fixture back in September and have kept clean sheets in their last four visits to Turf Moor.

Burnley vs Man City Predicted Lineups

Burnley

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Predicted Starting Lineup: Dúbravka; Walker, Ekdal, Estève, Hartman; Ward-Prowse, Florentino; Edwards, Ugochukwu, Anthony; Flemming

None of Burnley's absentees are likely to return for this fixture. Hannibal Mejbri and Zeki Amdouni are at the front of the queue but are not expected back until next month. Josh Cullen has been ruled out for the rest of the season with a long-term knee problem, which is a significant blow to the engine room.

Man City

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Predicted Starting Lineup: Donnarumma; Nunes, Guéhi, Khusanov, O'Reilly; Rodri, Silva; Doku, Cherki, Semenyo; Haaland

Manchester City have no fresh injury concerns and are expected to name the same XI that started against Arsenal. Ruben Dias could return soon from a thigh issue, but Josko Gvardiol is still a few weeks away from coming back from his long-term injury.

Burnley vs Man City Key Stats & Match Facts

  • Man City have won their last 14 matches against Burnley in all competitions, scoring at least two goals in 11 of those.
  • Man City have kept a clean sheet in their last four away matches against Burnley in all competitions.
  • Burnley have conceded at least two goals in five of their last six Premier League matches.
  • Antoine Semenyo has scored in all three of his last three appearances against Burnley in the Premier League.
  • Erling Haaland has attempted four or more shots in each of his last three Premier League appearances.

Burnley vs Man City Prediction & Best Bets

Our prediction: Man City to win 3-0.

With Burnley's place back in the Championship fast approaching, and City knowing that three points here would take them level on points with Arsenal at the top of the table, there looks only one outcome.

Given their dominance in this fixture and the gulf in quality between the two sides, Guardiola's men could be in the mood to boost their goal difference against the Premier League's worst defence.

Best Bets

Antoine Semenyo Anytime Goalscorer at Evens with SpreadEx.
Semenyo has scored in all three of his previous Premier League appearances against Burnley and has recorded one or more shots on target in eight of his last ten league outings. He is a direct, explosive wide player who should have plenty of joy against this Burnley backline.

Over 2.5 Man City Goals at 8/13 with various bookmakers.
There have been over 2.5 goals in each of Burnley's last four meetings with Man City, and City have scored two or more in eight of their last ten Premier League matches. With Burnley's rearguard in such a messy state, City goals look inevitable here.

Burnley vs Man City Bet Builder

Our four-legged bet builder tip for Burnley vs Man City is:

Both Teams to Score - No
As mentioned above, City have kept clean sheets in their previous four trips to Turf Moor and Burnley have the worst home record for goals scored (0.94/match).

Man City - Over 2.5 Goals
In contrast, Man City have the league's best attack (65 goals) and come up against the league's worst defence. This looks a prime opportunity for Man City to add to their goal difference. 

Man City - Over 7.5 Corners
Man City have hit this line in three consecutive Premier League matches and should see plenty of opportunities to rack up the corners with the potent wingers they posses.

Antoine Semenyo - Anytime Goalscorer
Semenyo has scored in his three previous appearances vs Burnley in the Premier League and has nine in 18 appearances since joining Man City.

This bet builder is a best price of 10/1 with Paddy Power when publishing and is as short as 7/1 elsewhere.

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