Leeds vs Burnley

Leeds welcome already-relegated Burnley to Elland Road on Friday night looking to take another stride towards Premier League safety.

Daniel Farke's side are unbeaten in five league outings and can move nine points clear of the drop zone with a victory here.

Burnley's season has been a write-off since a fourth straight defeat to Manchester City confirmed their relegation last week. The Clarets did win the last time they visited Elland Road, back in September 2024, but a repeat looks a tall order given their dire form on the road.

Leeds are priced at 2/5 to take all three points and the hosts look well placed to deliver.

Leeds vs Burnley Form

Leeds come into this fixture with a mixed run of one win, two draws and two losses from their last five outings. Seven of their nine Premier League victories this season have come at Elland Road, though, and they have scored at least twice in each of their last three league matches.

Burnley, by contrast, have lost six of their last seven top-flight fixtures and their away record makes for grim reading, with just two wins, three draws and twelve defeats on the road.

Leeds vs Burnley Predicted Lineups

Leeds

Formation: 3-4-2-1

Predicted Starting Lineup: K. Darlow; J. Rodon, P. Struijk, J. Justin; G. Gudmundsson, A. Tanaka, E. Ampadu, J. Bogle; B. Aaronson, N. Okafor; D. Calvert-Lewin

Ilia Gruev will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. Left-back Gabriel Gudmundsson is struggling with a hamstring problem and is rated doubtful. Leeds have no other absentees, leaving Daniel Farke with a near full-strength squad to choose from.

Burnley

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Predicted Starting Lineup: M. Dúbravka; Q. Hartman, M. Estève, H. Ekdal, K. Walker; J. Ward-Prowse, Florentino; J. Anthony, L. Ugochukwu, M. Edwards; Z. Flemming

Zeki Amdouni, Axel Tuanzebe and Hannibal Mejbri all have a chance of returning from their respective injuries. Connor Roberts is still another week or so away from being back in action. Josh Cullen has been ruled out for the rest of the campaign alongside Josh Beyer.

Leeds vs Burnley Key Stats & Match Facts

  • Leeds are undefeated in their last five Premier League matches.
  • Burnley have lost six of their last seven league outings.
  • There have been over 2.5 goals in each of Leeds' last three Premier League fixtures.
  • Burnley have kept a clean sheet in their last three meetings with Leeds in all competitions.
  • Across their last 18 encounters, Leeds have won eight times, Burnley six, with four draws.

Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Best Bets

Our prediction: Leeds 2-0 Burnley.

Leeds have been a different side at Elland Road this season and face a Burnley outfit that has nothing left to play for. Seven of Leeds' nine league wins have come on home soil and we fancy them to control this fixture against a side whose relegation was confirmed last week. The hosts should have more than enough quality to see this one through.

Best Bets

Noah Okafor anytime goalscorer at 9/4 with Bet365.
Okafor has scored in two of his last three Premier League outings and has recorded a shot on target in five of his last six. Playing behind Calvert-Lewin, he has been directly involved in goals in four of his last six appearances and looks good value against the league's worst away defence.

Both Teams To Score: Yes at 19/20 with Bet365.
Leeds' Premier League matches this season have featured both teams scoring at a 68% rate, while Burnley's away fixtures have averaged over three goals per game. Even relegated sides tend to have a go in the final weeks and Burnley have enough about them going forward to find the net at least once.

Leeds vs Burnley Bet Builder Tip

Our four-leg bet builder at 6/1 when writing with Bet365 combines a Leeds win with three player props that are well backed by the stats.

Zian Flemming has committed two or more fouls in each of his last five Premier League appearances, making his Over 1.5 Fouls selection one of the strongest legs.

Jaidon Anthony has registered a shot on target in six of his last seven matches, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin has attempted three or more shots in five of his last eight outings.

A £10 stake on this combination would return a profit of £60. The same bet builder is as short as 3/1 elsewhere.