Aston Villa vs Spurs

Aston Villa welcome a battered Tottenham side to Villa Park on Sunday evening, with both clubs having plenty to play for in the Premier League run-in.

Villa need just five points from their final four fixtures to mathematically secure Champions League football, while Spurs are scrapping for their top-flight lives, sitting two points from safety after finally ending a 15-game winless streak last time out against Wolves.

With Villa having won their last four meetings against Tottenham in all competitions, the hosts will fancy their chances of piling more misery on Roberto de Zerbi's injury-ravaged squad.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Form

Villa may have stumbled at Fulham last weekend, but their recent record against Spurs is nothing short of dominant. Unai Emery's side have won seven of their last nine outings against Tottenham across all competitions, including a 2-1 victory at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium earlier this season. That run of form gives them serious momentum heading into this fixture.

Tottenham, meanwhile, finally got off the mark with a league win against Wolves, but you have to go back to the opening two matches of the campaign for the last time they strung together consecutive top-flight victories. Consistency has been a massive problem for Spurs all season, and the form book points firmly in Villa's direction here.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Predicted Lineups

Aston Villa

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Predicted Starting Lineup: E. Martínez; L. Digne, T. Mings, E. Konsa, M. Cash; A. Onana, D. Luiz; J. Sancho, M. Rogers, J. McGinn; O. Watkins

Unai Emery could rotate his squad with the second leg of their Europa League tie against Nottingham Forest on Thursday in mind. Tyrone Mings and Douglas Luiz are among those who could come into the starting lineup, with Boubacar Kamara remaining Villa's only absentee through injury.

Tottenham

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Predicted Starting Lineup: A. Kinsky; D. Spence, M. van de Ven, K. Danso, P. Porro; R. Bentancur, Y. Bissouma; M. Tel, C. Gallagher, R. Muani; Richarlison

Spurs have a lengthy injury list to contend with. Dominic Solanke could miss the rest of the season with a hamstring problem, while Xavi Simons faces months on the sidelines after suffering an ACL injury at Wolves. James Maddison, however, could make his first appearance of the season, offering Postecoglou at least one positive selection note.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Key Stats & Match Facts

  • Aston Villa have won their last four matches against Tottenham in all competitions.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in seven of Villa's last eight meetings with Spurs across all competitions.
  • There has not been a draw between these two sides in their last 22 Premier League encounters, stretching back to May 2012.
  • Morgan Rogers has scored or assisted in each of his last three appearances against Tottenham in the Premier League.
  • Aston Villa have scored at least two goals in each of their last four fixtures against Spurs in all competitions.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction & Best Bets

Our prediction: Aston Villa 2-0 Tottenham.

Villa hold the home advantage and the squad depth to control this fixture, while Tottenham's attacking options are severely weakened by the absences of Solanke and Simons. With Spurs struggling to find goal threats and Villa's defensive shape looking solid, backing the hosts to keep a clean sheet makes good sense from a football standpoint.

Best Bets

Under 2.5 Goals at 5/4
With Tottenham's attack short of firepower through injury, this fixture could be more contained than their recent meetings suggest. The absence of Solanke and Simons limits Spurs' threat considerably, and a lower-scoring affair looks a well-reasoned option given the personnel available to Postecoglou.

Ollie Watkins Anytime Goalscorer at 13/8
Watkins has been Villa's talisman all season and faces a Tottenham backline that will be without the commanding Cristian Romero. Kevin Danso and Mickey van de Ven will have their hands full with a striker who thrives on the kind of direct service Morgan Rogers and Jadon Sancho can provide.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Bet Builder

Our three-leg bet builder combines Aston Villa to win, Under 2.5 Goals and Ollie Watkins to score anytime, available at best odds of 14/1 with BetMGM UK and Bet365.

Villa carry the home advantage and the squad depth, while Tottenham's attack is stripped to the bone through injury, making a tight, controlled Villa victory a well-supported outlook.

Watkins is the most likely source of Villa's goals, backed by a strong AI probability of just over 40%.