Tottenham vs Newcastle: Best Bets, Odds & 15/1 Bet Builder Tip

Roberto De Zerbi's first competitive test at Spurs ended in a 3-0 battering at Brentford, a performance that saw plenty of the ball but precious little end product. The response was more encouraging in midweek, with Tottenham putting five past Charlton in the Carabao Cup, new signing Savio scoring and assisting off the bench to stake a real claim for a starting role here.

Newcastle head south having shared eight goals in an entertaining 2-2 draw with Liverpool on the opening weekend, before backing that up with a 3-2 win over West Brom in the League Cup. Matthias Jaissle's side have shown they can score against anyone, but the same fixtures have exposed a defence still finding its feet.

Who is the Betting Favourite in Tottenham vs Newcastle?

According to the latest odds, Tottenham are the narrow favourites to win at home, with an implied win probability of around 47%, while Newcastle sit closer to 29%.

Best Odds to Win:

Tottenham: 11/10
Draw: 12/5
Newcastle: 5/2

Tottenham vs Newcastle Best Bet

Best Bet: William Osula - Over 2.5 Shots
Odds: 6/4 (bet365)
Stake: 1pt

Osula's shot volume has picked up sharply across his last five starts, with counts of 2, 0, 3, 4 and 4 showing a clear upward trend as he's settled into Newcastle's attack. Against a Tottenham defence that's already shipped three goals in a single afternoon this season, there should be plenty of chances on offer for Newcastle's front line to work with.

Worth noting too that bet365 are running their sub-play protection on this market, meaning the bet remains live even if Osula is withdrawn before full-time, with Nick Woltemade the most likely man to replace him should Jaissle look to freshen things up late on.

Tottenham vs Newcastle Bet Builder Tip

Our Tottenham vs Newcastle Bet Builder Tip includes the following legs:

• Both Teams To Score – Yes
• Conor Gallagher Over 1.5 – Fouls
• Sandro Tonali Over 1.5 – Fouls Won
• Jacob Ramsey Over 2.5 – Tackles

Best odds available of 15/1 at bet365 while publishing.

The first leg backs Both Teams To Score, a market that has been automatic in this fixture lately, landing in each of the last four meetings between these two sides. With Tottenham's defence leaking goals at Brentford and Newcastle having already shown they can trade blows with Liverpool, there's little reason to expect a clean sheet at either end here.

Conor Gallagher Over 1.5 Fouls follows, and this specific matchup has been kind to backers of this line, with Gallagher clearing it in four straight meetings with Newcastle. His underlying numbers support it too — a foul count of 1, 4, 3, 1 and 2 across his last five matches, and a home record of 1, 3, 1, 1, 2, 3 and 2 that shows he's rarely far from this mark at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

The third leg is Sandro Tonali Over 1.5 Fouls Won, and there's a narrative angle worth flagging alongside the numbers. This will be Tonali's first game facing Newcastle supporters since his move to North London, and it's easy to imagine some of his former admirers in blue and white wanting to leave a mark on him early. He's drawn fouls at a rate of 1, 0, 1, 2 and 0 across his last five Premier League games, and a game with this much personal edge to it should push that number up.

The final leg backs Jacob Ramsey Over 2.5 Tackles, leaning on a player whose defensive workrate has been a consistent feature of Newcastle's engine room. He's recorded tackle counts of 3, 5, 5, 3, 1, 1, 3, 0, 4 and 4 across his last ten appearances, and his away-specific numbers — 5, 3, 3, 0, 4, 1, 1, 3, 0 and 3 across his last ten league away games — show he's just as willing to put in the defensive work on the road. Facing a Tottenham midfield that will want to dominate the ball, Ramsey should be kept busy.

Tottenham vs Newcastle Team News & Predicted Lineup

Tottenham host Newcastle at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium looking to bounce back from a heavy opening-day defeat, while the Magpies are after a first league win of the campaign following their draw with Liverpool.

Tottenham

Roberto De Zerbi is dealing with a lengthy absentee list in the final third, with Dejan Kulusevski, Wilson Odobert, Mohammed Kudus and Xavi Simons all missing, while Pape Sarr and James Maddison are doubts. Savio's impact off the bench in midweek — a goal and an assist against Charlton — puts real pressure on De Zerbi to hand him a first Premier League start.

Injuries: Kulusevski, Odobert, Kudus, Simons Doubtful: Sarr, Maddison Pushing for a start: Savio

Predicted Tottenham XI (4-2-3-1): Vicario; Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence; Tonali, Bentancur; Savio, Gallagher, Moore; Solanke

Newcastle

Matthias Jaissle is without Joelinton and Dan Burn through injury, while Tino Livramento and William Osula are both doubts heading into the weekend. Nick Woltemade remains the leading option off the bench if Osula isn't risked for the full 90 minutes.

Injuries: Joelinton, Burn Doubtful: Livramento, Osula Available off the bench: Woltemade

Predicted Newcastle XI (4-3-3): Pope; Dedic, Botman, Thiaw, Hall; Guimarães, Miley, Ramsey; Barnes, Osula, Elanga

Tottenham vs Newcastle Match Prediction

Both sides arrive at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium short of their best, but Tottenham's home advantage and a point to prove after the Brentford mauling should be enough to nudge this one their way.

Newcastle have shown throughout preseason and their opening weeks that they can't be trusted defensively, drawing 2-2 with Liverpool having led before conceding, while Tottenham's own defensive frailties mean this has all the hallmarks of an open, end-to-end contest. Both teams scoring in each of the last four meetings between these sides only strengthens that expectation.

Savio's introduction to the starting XI could be the difference-maker Tottenham need going forward, while Newcastle's attack, led by Osula and supported by Elanga and Barnes, should ensure they're never out of the contest.

Match Prediction: Tottenham 2-2 Newcastle

Tottenham vs Newcastle Player Prop Bet

Best Bet: Amar Dedic - Over 0.5 Shots
Best Odds: 11/10 (SpreadEx)
Stake: 1pt

Dedic has exceeded this line in three of his last six games, and already cleared it against Liverpool on the opening weekend, a promising early sign as he beds into Newcastle's system under a new manager. His shot count across his last five competitive matches stands 1, 1, 1, 1 and 0, showing he gets forward with real regularity from right-back.

The matchup also plays into his hands defensively. Tottenham have conceded an average of 13.25 shots per game across their last 20 matches, and that number has spiked further recently, with 26, 10, 9 and 11 shots conceded across their last four Premier League outings. With both sides still finding their feet under new management and Tottenham vulnerable to being overrun, Dedic getting forward to test the Spurs goal looks a solid line.