EV Eagle's Five Football Betting Tips for Sunday's PL Action

Sunday brings another busy schedule of football, and Oddschecker’s EV Eagle has identified five selections across goalscorer, player fouls and match result markets.

The EV Eagle model compares its estimated probability of an outcome with the probability implied by bookmakers’ odds, highlighting bets where it believes the price offers value.

This week’s selections feature players enjoying strong attacking form, potential opportunities in the player fouls markets and an away win pick against a Liverpool side that has shown some vulnerabilities. Here are the five tips for Sunday.

EV Eagle’s Best Value Bets for Sunday

TIP 1: Evanilson – To Score or Assist

Best odds: 8/5 with Betfair.
1pt advised stake.

Evanilson has been making a consistent contribution in the final third and is backed to either score or provide an assist on Sunday.

The Bournemouth forward has landed the score-or-assist market in six of his last ten games, while his recent form is particularly encouraging, with three goals and one assist across his last four matches.

His shooting numbers also suggest he is regularly getting involved in attacking situations. Evanilson has recorded 2, 6, 4, 3, 2, 2, 0, 3, 3 and 0 shots across his listed appearances this season, showing that he is capable of generating plenty of opportunities in front of goal.

Manchester United's defensive struggles could provide further encouragement. United have conceded 12 goals across their last six matches and have failed to win any of them, raising questions about their defensive organisation and confidence.

With Evanilson in productive form and United struggling to keep opponents out, the Bournemouth striker has a good opportunity to contribute to the scoresheet.

TIP 2: Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Over 1.5 Fouls

Best odds: 23/20 with Ladbrokes.
1pt advised stake.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is backed to commit at least two fouls on Sunday, with his recent numbers suggesting this line is well within reach.

The striker has committed two or more fouls in five of his last seven games. His individual statistics this season read 3, 3, 1, 1, 3, 2 and 2, meaning he has cleared the line in five of those seven appearances.

Calvert-Lewin is averaging 2.39 fouls committed per 90 minutes this season, which is comfortably above the two-foul threshold required for this selection.

The opposition's numbers also offer encouragement, with Sunderland allowing 12.7 fouls per game compared with the league average of 12 — around 5.7% higher.

TIP 3: Brighton – Match Winner

Best odds: 9/4 with AK Bets.
1pt advised stake.

Brighton head into their meeting with Liverpool in encouraging form, having won four of their last five matches.

They have already demonstrated that they can compete with top opposition this season, recording victories against Arsenal and Manchester United. Their recent away form is particularly impressive, with wins in their last two away matches, both accompanied by clean sheets.

Liverpool will still benefit from playing at Anfield, and that home advantage should not be underestimated. However, their recent performances have raised questions, giving Brighton reason to believe they can take advantage.

With the Seagulls building momentum and showing they can deliver results on the road, backing them to win at 9/4 offers an appealing price for those expecting another strong performance.

TIP 4: Axel Disasi – Over 0.5 Fouls

Best odds: 11/10 with William Hill.
1pt advised stake.

Axel Disasi is backed to commit at least one foul on Sunday, with his recent record suggesting he could be involved in some physical contests.

The defender has committed at least one foul in five of his last six games. His listed figures this season are 2, 1, 1, 0 and 0, meaning he has registered a foul in three of those five appearances.

The potential matchup is another factor worth considering. Yoane Wissa has drawn increasing numbers of fouls across his listed games, recording 0, 0, 1, 0, 2, 3, 4 and 4 fouls won. Harvey Barnes has also shown an ability to draw contact, with figures of 3, 1, 1, 1, 0, 4, 1 and 3.

If Disasi is tasked with containing direct attacking runs and quick movement, he could be forced into a challenge or mistimed tackle.

TIP 5: Kevin Schade – Anytime Goalscorer

Best odds: 2/1 with Ladbrokes.
1pt advised stake.

Kevin Schade is an interesting anytime goalscorer option as he looks to get back among the goals after an injury-disrupted spell.

The Brentford forward made a strong start to the season, and his shooting numbers suggest he remains an important attacking threat. Schade has recorded 4, 3, 2, 0, 3 and 5 shots across his listed appearances, showing that he can generate a healthy volume of attempts when involved.

In fact, no Brentford player has recorded a higher average for shots per 90 minutes this season, underlining his willingness to take on defenders and test the goalkeeper.

The upcoming match against Hull presents an opportunity for Schade to rediscover his goalscoring touch. If he can maintain his usual shooting output and find himself in the right positions, he has the potential to make the difference.