Our Newcastle vs Everton Premier League preview, including a 35/1 bet builder tip and a correct score prediction.
Newcastle and Everton meet for the second time in five days to close Premier League gameweek nine. Everton won Thursday's EFL Cup tie 3-1 at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, but Matthias Jaissle's side sit a point better off in the league on 11 points after a 2-0 win at Crystal Palace. Newcastle have won only one of four league games at St James' Park. David Moyes's Everton were unbeaten in their first six league games but have lost the last two without scoring, and they have drawn three of four away from home. John Brooks is the referee.
Newcastle vs Everton Bet Builder Tips
1. Harrison Armstrong over 1.5 fouls at 2/1
Armstrong starts in midfield for Everton next to James Garner. He has played at least 78 minutes in all eight of Everton's Premier League games this season, then came off the bench for 25 minutes in Thursday's cup tie. He averages 1.22 fouls per 90 minutes this season, up from 0.82 per 90 in 13 appearances last season, and has committed two or more in three of his 10 games: three against Crystal Palace and two each against Bournemouth and Ipswich. The matchup pushes the line up. Visiting teams have committed 13.25 fouls per game in Newcastle's last four home league games, above the league average of 12.09. Newcastle's midfield of Joelinton, Nico González and Joe Willock will run at the space Armstrong has to cover, and Brooks lets the game flow at 21.7 fouls per match. Bet365 offers 2/1.
2. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall over 2.5 fouls won at 11/4
Dewsbury-Hall starts as Everton's number 10 and is fouled 1.76 times per 90 minutes this season, up from 1.67 last season. He has been fouled three or more times in three of his 11 games this season, against Chelsea, Hull City and Tottenham, and two or more times in seven of the 11, including twice in 86 minutes against Newcastle on Thursday. Newcastle give away fouls at home. They have committed 13.25 per game in their last four home league games, above the league average of 11.24, with 19 against Bournemouth and 16 against Liverpool. Bet365 offers 11/4.
3. Draw at 5/2
Everton have drawn four of their eight Premier League games and three of four on the road, at Bournemouth (1-1), Tottenham (0-0) and Hull City (2-2). Newcastle have drawn two of four at home, 2-2 against both Liverpool and Bournemouth. The numbers are close at both ends. Newcastle average 1.18 expected goals in home league games and Everton 1.32 away, and Newcastle have scored and conceded in three of their four home league games. Two of the last five league meetings were draws, 1-1 at St James' Park in April 2024 and 0-0 at Goodison Park that October. Bet365 offers 5/2.
Newcastle vs Everton Betting Tip
Best bet: Everton Draw No Bet at 6/5
Newcastle's home record does not support the short price. They have won one of four league games at St James' Park, beating Hull City 2-1, and are yet to keep a clean sheet there in five games in all competitions, conceding eight goals. They have had a lower expected goals total than their opponent in seven of eight league games this season, averaging 1.14 for and 1.71 against.
Everton have lost only one of four away league games, at Arsenal. They have won three of the last four competitive meetings, including both of their last two league visits to St James' Park: 1-0 in May 2025 and 3-2 in February 2026. Thursday's 3-1 cup win came from 11 shots against Newcastle's 28, but Everton had 1.67 expected goals and finished their chances.
Everton Draw No Bet returns the stake if the game is drawn, which fits the main view, and pays out if Moyes's side win. Bet365, Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power, Sporting Index, Sky Bet and Spreadex offer 6/5.
Who Is the Favourite to Win Newcastle vs Everton?
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Newcastle | 23/20 |
| Draw | 5/2 |
| Everton | 9/4 |
Newcastle are 23/20 with bet365, or 6/5 with BoyleSports, Coral, Ladbrokes and Unibet, despite winning one of four home league games. Everton are 9/4 with bet365 and 23/10 with 10bet after winning the cup tie on Thursday. The draw is 5/2 with bet365, Coral, Ladbrokes, Sky Bet and BoyleSports. Newcastle Draw No Bet is 8/13 with bet365, and Everton Draw No Bet is 6/5.
Newcastle vs Everton Score Prediction
Newcastle 1-1 Everton at 6/1
Newcastle have scored at least two goals in four of their five home games in all competitions, and six in four home league games. The chances behind those goals have been thin. They have averaged 12.25 shots and 3.0 shots on target in home league games, and only one shot on target in the 1-0 defeat to Aston Villa. Their 1.14 expected goals per league game is a modest return for a side with Harvey Barnes, Jacob Murphy and Yoane Wissa in attack.
The defence is the bigger problem. Newcastle have conceded 14 goals in eight league games and allowed 1.88 expected goals per home league game, including 2.98 to Liverpool. Everton are not in great scoring form, with eight goals in eight league games and blanks against Chelsea and Arsenal. Away from home they have scored in two of four games but created 1.32 expected goals per game, and Thierno Barry scored at Newcastle's expense on Thursday.
Everton's away games have finished 1-1, 0-0, 2-2 and 0-2, and Newcastle's home games have been decided by one goal or drawn in all four. A low-scoring draw fits both sides: Newcastle score at home but concede, and Everton have kept games tight on the road. Bet365, BoyleSports, Sporting Index, Spreadex and Unibet offer 6/1 on Newcastle 1-1 Everton.
Newcastle vs Everton Value Betting Tips
Newcastle vs Everton Predicted Lineups
Newcastle (4-2-3-1): Hornícek; Dedic, Schär, Burn, Hall; Joelinton, González; Murphy, Willock, Barnes; Wissa.
Everton (4-2-3-1): Pickford; Röhl, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Armstrong, Garner; Johnson, Dewsbury-Hall, George; Barry.
Out for Newcastle: Ewen Jaouen, Tino Livramento. Will Osula, Lewis Miley and Matias Fernandez-Pardo are doubts.
Out for Everton: No confirmed absentees. Jack Grealish and Jarrad Branthwaite are doubts.
