Aston Villa host Brentford as the Villans aim to keep within touching distance of Arsenal, while Brentford look to push closer to Europe.
| Tournament: | Premier League |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Villa Park, Birmingham |
| Date: | 01.02.2026 |
| Time: | 14:00 GMT |
Aston Villa vs Brentford Form and Head to Head
Aston Villa secured a valuable win in their last outing, beating Salzburg 3-2 at home in the Europa League. This result comes after a mixed run of form for the hosts in their last six matches across all competitions. While they have suffered two defeats in their last three Premier League encounters, a 7th place standing in the league's form table for the last six matches indicates a solid, if not flawless, recent record.
Brentford, on the other hand, bounced back with a 2-0 away victory against Nottingham Forest in their most recent Premier League fixture. The Bees have demonstrated reasonable form lately, ranking 6th in the league's form table over their last six games. However, their away performances have been a cause for concern, with the visitors suffering consecutive defeats on the road before their win at Forest.
The most recent encounter between these two sides saw Brentford emerge victorious after a 1-1 draw in the League Cup in September 2025, with the Bees triumphing in a penalty shootout.
Looking at the last six meetings, Aston Villa have held a slight edge, securing three wins against Brentford's two, with one match ending in a draw. Interestingly, Aston Villa have scored at least three goals in their last four home matches against Brentford in all competitions, and these games have consistently seen over 2.5 goals scored. Furthermore, the Villans are undefeated in their last eight home matches against the Bees across all competitions.
Who is the betting favourite in Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Latest odds suggest Aston Villa are the favourites to beat Brentford at Villa Park, with an implied win probability of around 43%, while Brentford's chances sit at 29%.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 27/20 | 10bet |
| Brentford | 12/5 | SpreadEx |
| Draw | 51/20 | 10bet |
Odds last updated at 12:15PM Sunday, 1st February.
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Aston Villa vs Brentford Team News
Aston Villa face a significant list of absentees for this fixture. They will be without Barkley, Edward, García, Kamara, McGinn, and Tielemans, all of whom are injured. Additionally, star striker Watkins is listed as doubtful, meaning Abraham is expected to lead the line. The absence of key midfielders like Kamara, McGinn, and Tielemans limits their rotation options, but the return of Douglas Luiz is a boost.
Brentford also have several players sidelined due to injury. Ajer, Carvalho, Damsgaard, Dasilva, and Milambo are all unavailable, impacting their midfield creativity. Despite these absences, Igor Thiago, who has scored 16 league goals this season, will spearhead the attack, supported by wide players such as Schade and Ouattara.
Aston Villa vs Brentford Confirmed Lineups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Martínez; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Maatsen; Bogarde, Luiz; Sancho, Rogers, Buendía; Abraham.
Brentford (4-2-3-1): Kelleher; Kayode, van der Berg, Ajer, Henry; Henderson, Janelt; Ouattara, Jensen, Schade; Thiago.
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Aston Villa vs Brentford Match Prediction
Aston Villa host Brentford at Villa Park in a clash of contrasting forms. Villa, third in the Premier League, are strong at home, excelling with wing play and long shots – a clear threat against Brentford’s defensive weaknesses. The visitors struggle on the road, though their aerial strength and set-piece defending offer some resistance. Overall, Villa’s home advantage and attacking firepower suggest a narrow home win.
Prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Brentford
Aston Villa vs Brentford Player Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Aston Villa vs Brentford.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Morgan Rogers has managed To Score Or Assist in 3 of their last 4 Home games.
Best odds of 13/10 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Vitaly Janelt has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 19/20 at Sporting Index while publishing.
Yehor Yarmoliuk exceeded 0.5 Shots in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 3/4 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Ollie Watkins has attempted 3+ shots in 4 of their last 6 apps in Premier League.
Best odds of 10/11 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Kevin Schade has recorded 1+ shots on target in 5 of their last 7 apps in Premier League.
Best odds of 5/6 at SpreadEx while publishing.
Aston Villa vs Brentford Bet Builder Tip
Our Aston Villa vs Brentford Bet Builder Tip includes:
- Yes - Both Teams To Score
- Over 3.5 - Total Cards
- M. Rogers Over 1.5 - Shots
- Y. Yarmolyuk Over 1.5 - Fouls
Best odds of 6/1 at BetMGM UK at the time of publishing.
Yes – Both Teams To Score
Aston Villa have history on their side at home against Brentford, scoring 3+ in their last three meetings, but recent form tells a tighter story with under 2.5 goals in Villa's last three PL games. Brentford carry danger through Schade and Ouattara's pace, while Villa's attack rarely blanks. Both sides netting looks likely given that three of the last four fixtures have crossed this leg.
Over 3.5 Total Cards
Referee Tim Robinson averages 3.65 yellows per game, and Brentford have picked up 8 cards across their last three away outings. Villa average 1.5 yellows per game this season too. With both teams scrapping for points and disciplinary flashpoints in recent home meetings, 4+ bookings looks a banker.
Morgan Rogers Over 1.5 Shots
Rogers has smashed this line consistently: 2, 6, 3, 2, 2 shots across his last five games. With Watkins likely sidelined, he'll carry more attacking responsibility centrally alongside Sancho and Buendía. In decent nick too, this leg carries real appeal against Brentford's low block.
I. Thiago Over 3.5 - Shots
Thiago's in red-hot form as the Premier League's second-highest goalscorer, and his shot volume proves it: 2, 2, 6, 6, 1 across his last five matches. Against an injury-hit Aston Villa side, Brentford will look to press for a result, and Thiago becomes their key attacking outlet. Expect him to pepper the Villa goal with efforts from all angles.
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