Aston Villa face Brighton at Villa Park in a key Premier League clash, with Unai Emery's men look to solidify their Champions League place.
| Tournament: | Premier League |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Villa Park, Birmingham |
| Date: | 11.02.2026 |
| Time: | 19:30 GMT |
Aston Villa vs Brighton Form and Head to Head
The home side enters this fixture following a 1-1 draw away to Bournemouth in their last Premier League outing. This result contributes to a mixed run of form for Aston Villa, who have secured three wins, one draw, and two losses across their last six matches in all competitions. Despite their strong league position, their recent Premier League form sees them ranked 9th over the last six games, with their home form slightly better at 5th. Notably, there have been under 2.5 goals scored in Aston Villa's last five Premier League games, indicating a recent trend towards tighter contests.
Brighton's last match saw them fall to a 0-1 defeat away against Crystal Palace in the Premier League. The visitors have struggled for consistency, failing to win in 11 of their last 12 Premier League matches. Their recent form across all competitions reflects this difficulty, with just one win, three draws, and two losses in their last six outings. This poor run places them 16th in the league form table for both overall and away matches. Interestingly, under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of Brighton's last six Premier League games.
The most recent encounter between these two teams was a thrilling seven-goal spectacle in December 2025, where Brighton suffered a 3-4 home defeat against Aston Villa in the Premier League. Looking at the broader head-to-head record, Aston Villa have historically held the upper hand, remaining undefeated in 10 of their last 11 matches against Brighton across all competitions.
In the last six meetings, the Villans have secured four victories, with one draw and one loss to the Seagulls. Furthermore, Aston Villa have seen over 2.5 goals in seven of their last eight matches against Brighton in all competitions, suggesting this fixture often produces goals.
Who is the betting favourite in Aston Villa vs Brighton?
Aston Villa are the favourites to beat Brighton at Villa Park, with the latest odds giving them an implied win probability of around 49%. Brighton are priced as underdogs with roughly 26% chance of victory.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 21/20 | AK Bets |
| Brighton | 14/5 | BresBet |
| Draw | 14/5 | bet365 |
Odds last updated at 4:30PM Wednesday. 11th February.
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Aston Villa vs Brighton Team News
Aston Villa face a significant challenge in midfield, with John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, and Boubacar Kamara all remaining sidelined due to injury. Additionally, R. Barkley, A. Edward, and A. García are also reported injured. Ian Maatsen could be a direct replacement for Lucas Digne, while Ollie Watkins is expected to lead the line despite Tammy Abraham pushing for a start.
For Brighton, the injury list includes S. March, S. Tzimas, A. Webster, M. Wieffer, and D. Gómez. Yasin Ayari is doubtful with a shoulder injury, which could open the door for veteran James Milner to feature in the starting XI if Ayari is unavailable. Yankuba Minteh and Danny Welbeck are in line for starts as the visitors look to inject some much-needed attacking impetus.
Aston Villa vs Brighton Predicted Lineups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Martínez; Maatsen, Torres, Konsa, Cash; Onana, Luiz; Buendía, Rogers, Sancho; Watkins
Brighton (4-3-3): Verbruggen; D. Cuyper, Dunk, v. Hecke, Kadioglu; Groß, Baleba, Milner; Mitoma, Welbeck, Minteh
Lineups powered by WhoScored.com.
Aston Villa vs Brighton Match Prediction
Aston Villa remain strong at home, sitting third in the league with a potent attack down the wings and from free-kicks, though vulnerable in the air and to through balls. Brighton struggle away, prone to defensive errors and offside calls, though they can threaten with long shots and individual skill.Villa dominate the head-to-head, unbeaten in 10 of the last 11 meetings. Despite midfield injuries, their home advantage and attacking edge make a narrow win, with both teams likely to score, the most probable outcome.
Prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Brighton
Aston Villa vs Brighton Player Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Aston Villa vs Brighton.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Jan Paul Van Hecke has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 11/10 at SpreadEx while publishing.
Lewis Dunk has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 5 of their last 7 games.
Best odds of 10/11 at QuinnBet while publishing.
Lewis Dunk has exceeded 0.5 Fouls in 4 of their last 5 Away games.
Best odds of 10/11 at Coral while publishing.
Morgan Rogers has recorded 1+ shots on target in 5 of their last 5 apps in Premier League.
Best odds of 1/2 at Paddy Power while publishing.
Ferdi Kadioglu has made 3+ tackles in 3 of their last 5 apps in Premier League.
Best odds of 6/4 at Coral while publishing.
Aston Villa vs Brighton Bet Builder Tip
Our Aston Villa vs Brighton Bet Builder Tip is:
- L. Dunk Over 1.5 - Tackles
- J. P. v. Hecke Over 0.5 - Fouls Won
- Douglas Luiz - To Be Shown A Card
Best odds of 14/1 at bet365 while publishing.
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