Aston Villa, sitting third, host struggling Leeds at Villa Park as they seek to cement their place in the top tier, with Leeds hoping to move up the table.
| Tournament: | Premier League |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Villa Park, Birmingham |
| Date: | 21.02.2026 |
| Time: | 15:00 GMT |
Aston Villa vs Leeds Form and Head to Head
The Villans suffered a recent setback in the FA Cup, losing 1-3 at home to Newcastle. However, their last Premier League outing saw them secure a vital 1-0 home victory over Brighton, a result that will have boosted morale. Over their last six matches across all competitions, Aston Villa have recorded three wins, one draw, and two losses.
Notably, there have been under 2.5 goals scored in Aston Villa's last six Premier League games, highlighting a tendency for tighter affairs involving the Birmingham club.
Leeds qualified to the next FA Cup Round in their last fixture, drawing 1-1 away at Birmingham before winning on penalties. In their most recent Premier League match, they managed a 2-2 draw against Chelsea. The Elland Road outfit's form over the last six matches has seen them win three, draw two, and lose one.
Interestingly, there have been over 2.5 goals scored in Leeds's last three Premier League games, suggesting a more open style of play recently.
The most recent encounter between these two sides took place in November 2025 in the Premier League, where Leeds secured a 2-1 victory over Aston Villa at home.
However, historical data paints a different picture, with Aston Villa largely dominating this fixture. The hosts are currently undefeated in their last seven matches against Leeds across all competitions. Looking at the last six meetings, Aston Villa have won four, drawn one, and lost just one against Leeds.
Who is the Betting Favourite in Aston Villa vs Leeds?
Aston Villa go into their clash with Leeds at Villa Park as clear favourites, with latest odds giving them roughly a 52% chance of victory. Leeds are the underdogs on the road, with just a 22% chance of claiming all three points in this Premier League encounter.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 9/10 | Betfred |
| Leeds | 7/2 | BetMGM UK |
| Draw | 11/4 | AK Bets |
Odds last updated at 4:30PM Friday, 20th February.
BresBet
Aston Villa vs Leeds Team News
Aston Villa face several absences for this crucial fixture. Barkley, Kamara, McGinn, and Tielemans are all sidelined with injuries. Additionally, García is considered doubtful, and Bizot is suspended after his sending off in the FA Cup. Cash is also listed as doubtful, which could impact the defensive setup.
Leeds have a few concerns of their own, with Okafor doubtful due to a hamstring injury sustained in the FA Cup. Struijk, a key defender, is also doubtful, as is Stach who has been out with a hip problem. However, Calvert-Lewin is expected to start after recovering from illness.
Aston Villa vs Leeds Predicted Lineups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Martínez; Maatsen, Torres, Konsa, Cash; Onana, Luiz; Rogers, Buendía, Sancho; Watkins
Leeds (3-5-2): Darlow; Rodon, Struijk, Bijol; Gudmundsson, Ampadu, Gruev, Aaronson, Bogle; Calvert-Lewin, Okafor
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Aston Villa vs Leeds Match Prediction
Aston Villa have had a rocky start to 2026, but their recent win over Brighton has boosted confidence. Another victory would bring them within five points of league leaders Arsenal. Villa also have the psychological edge over Leeds, remaining unbeaten in their last seven meetings, including four wins in the last six. Their ability to come back from behind and protect leads shows they have the mental strength for this clash.
Leeds have lost only twice in the last three months but have drawn seven times, struggling to convert chances, especially away from home. While they can create threats from set pieces, Villa’s wing play and individual skill could exploit defensive gaps. Expect the hosts to dominate possession and edge out a narrow victory.
Prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Leeds
Aston Villa vs Leeds Match Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Aston Villa vs Leeds.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Morgan Rogers has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in 8 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 8/11 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Ethan Ampadu has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 6 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of Evens at Betway while publishing.
Pascal Struijk has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 5 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 8/11 at Betway while publishing.
Emiliano Buendia has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 21/20 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
There have been 27+ shots taken in 4 of Aston Villa's last 5 matches in Premier League.
Best odds of 5/4 at Boyle Sports while publishing.
Aston Villa vs Leeds Bet Builder Tip
Our Bet Builder Tip for Aston Villa vs Leeds is:
- Home - Win Market
- Over 1.5 -Total Leeds Cards
- Over 9.5 -Total Corners
- M. Rogers Over 2.5 - Shots
Best odds of 8/1 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Home – Win Market (Aston Villa to win)
Aston Villa are strong favourites at Villa Park, sitting third in the table and unbeaten against Leeds in their last seven encounters. Their home form and historical dominance over Leeds make them likely to secure the win.
Over 1.5 – Total Leeds Cards
Leeds have been prone to disciplinary issues against Aston Villa, picking up 3+ cards in 5 of their last 6 Premier League meetings. In fact, over 1.5 cards has hit in their last 7 encounters at Villa Park, making this a strong possibility.
Over 9.5 – Total Corners
Matches involving Aston Villa recently have been corner-heavy. The last three Premier League games for Villa have seen 12+ corners, suggesting plenty of attacking and wing play opportunities, making an over 9.5 corners bet likely.
M. Rogers Over 2.5 – Shots
Morgan Rogers has been actively involved in Villa’s attacking play, attempting 2+ shots in 9 of his last 10 Premier League appearances. He’s also hit this mark in 4 of his last 6 games against Leeds, making over 2.5 shots a reasonable expectation.
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